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9518 Clarkville Trl
D- Composite 38.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0

$299,999

9518 Clarkville Trl · Colorado Springs, CO 80927
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,008 sqft · Townhouse · 1 Days on market
Built 2026 1,998 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Let the Compass guide you home! This bright and inviting duet-style home offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,008 square feet of efficient, well-balanced living across two levels. A spacious open-concept main floor connects the kitchen, dining, and great room areas for seamless everyday living. Upstairs, the primary suite includes a private bath and walk-in closet, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. With a 2-car garage, smart storage, and the added benefit of end-unit privacy, the Compass delivers everything you need in a home that fits your budget and your lifestyle. Enjoy access to Banning Lewis Ranch’s incredible amenities, includ

Key facts

  • Access to amenities
  • Private bath
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT MAIN FLOORPRIVATE BATHWALK-IN CLOSETEND-UNIT PRIVACYACCESS TO AMENITIESPARKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Estimated finished living area reported
  • Financial info: Financing terms: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Cable available; Electricity available; Telephone available
  • Home design: Townhouse, end unit; To be built
  • Construction: Framed on lot construction; Aluminum/Vinyl/Steel siding; Composite shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by Oakwood Homes (model: Compass)
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Main floor bedroom; Master bedroom located on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Laundry & utility: Electric washer/dryer hookup; Laundry located on the upper level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-205 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (9.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (21.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $237k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • El Paso County Colorado School District 49 (urban): math 27% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #27 of 86 in CO (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($164k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $236,546 (21.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.47%
Cash-on-cash
-2.92%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.24% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-45,688
Equity at exit
$69,036
10-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-62,007
Equity at exit
$69,651

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80927

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Rents YoY
-4.7%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,365 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax est. 1.5%
$375 /mo · $4,500/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$-205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,624
Max offer price $270,406
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3 -5% $-101 +0% $-205 +5% $-308 +10% $-412
Rent -10% $-391 -5% $-298 +0% $-205 +5% $-111 +10% $-18
Rate -1.0pp $-53 -0.5pp $-128 base $-205 +0.5pp $-282 +1.0pp $-361

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9286 Henson Pl Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 2.5 1400 $2,200 $1.57 3d 1 0.28mi
6027 Notch Top Way Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 2.5 1450 $2,400 $1.66 3d 1 0.28mi
6031 Notch Top Way Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 2.0 1436 $2,475 $1.72 22d 1 0.29mi
6087 Notch Top Way Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 2.0 1436 $2,315 $1.61 3d 1 0.31mi
9454 Crosshaven Vw Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 2.5 1280 $1,975 $1.54 3d 1 0.72mi
6463 Crossdrum Pt Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 2.0 1280 $2,150 $1.68 11d 1 0.77mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 693-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $299,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,386
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$4,500
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,271
− Management
−$2,271
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$7,688
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,845
After-tax cash flow
$-609/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
El Paso County Colorado School District 49
NCES district ID
0803870
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$75,604
Composite
34.38/100
National rank
#5210
State rank
#27 of 86 in CO

Livability — Colorado Springs

Score
78/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#2639

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living C- Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Colorado Springs, CO
County
El Paso County · 689,348 people
City population
555,783
Metro
Colorado Springs, CO
Population (ZIP)
8,036
Household income
$163,803
Rent vs Own
8.4% rent · 91.6% own

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
768,926 people
By 2030
815,739 · +6.1%
By 2040
903,489 · +17.5%
By 2050
981,204 · +27.6%
By 2075
1,155,542 · +50.3%
By 2100
1,202,070 · +56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 16% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.8) · D 43.8% · R 53.5% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -9.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.8 2020: R+10.8 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.24%
Current HPI
176.9533
Rent YoY
▼ -4.71%
Metro
Colorado Springs, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $299,999 elevateMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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