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40 Merrick St Unit A Multi-family
B- Composite 68.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$409,000

40 Merrick St Unit A · Worcester, MA 01609
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,536 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 2007 3,688 sqft lot Est $593k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Discover this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath attached Colonial, perfectly located near the new Worcester stadium and surrounded by some of the city’s most breathtaking destinations. This young home features a large living room with gleaming hardwood floors, and a spacious kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances. The dining room overlooks a private patio directly off the kitchen — ideal for family meals and entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 baths tucked away from the main living area, giving you the privacy and comfort you deserve. Additional highlights include a two-car garage for year-round convenience, plus a patio overlook

Key facts

  • Level yard
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Large living room

Tags

UPDATED COLONIALLARGE LIVING ROOMSPACIOUS KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESPRIVATE PATIOLEVEL YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community near public transportation, shopping, parks, walk/jog trails, medical facilities, highway access, houses of worship, public schools, T-Station, and university

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; 2 covered spaces; 2 open parking spaces; Total of 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220V electrical service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property
  • Construction: Concrete perimeter foundation; Built as recorded in public records
  • Exterior features: Public road frontage; Paved driveway and paved surfaces; Off-street parking; Under-cover parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $409k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $999 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $409k).
  • Recommended offer: $403k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.1% in Worcester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 87/100 on livability (#9 in MA, #312 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living D.
  • Worcester (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #280 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Park Community (math 4% / reading 24%, grade F, #881 of 938 statewide, top 94%, 415 students, 0% FRL); Forest Grove Middle (math 19% / reading 31%, grade F, #234 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 897 students, 0% FRL); Doherty Memorial High (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #214 of 343 statewide, top 65%, 1,344 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 66% district-wide (66 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 50 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,629/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 1183% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $115k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($403k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $409k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $402,865 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.22%
Cash-on-cash
10.47%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$592,896
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1 Dayton Pl 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,425 (-7%) 10mo $550,000 $386 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-886
Equity at exit
$60,983
10-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$88,393
Equity at exit
$35,363

Cash invested: $114,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01609

Home prices YoY
-15.9%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
14.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,629 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,145
Tax from tax record
$342 /mo · $4,108/yr
Insurance
$170
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$972
Net cashflow
$999

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,364
Max offer price $409,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,231 -5% $1,115 +0% $999 +5% $884 +10% $768
Rent -10% $634 -5% $816 +0% $999 +5% $1,182 +10% $1,365
Rate -1.0pp $1,205 -0.5pp $1,103 base $999 +0.5pp $893 +1.0pp $786

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,629

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$102,250
Closing costs
$12,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15 Hawley St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 2.0 1948 $1,075 $0.55 46d 1 0.11mi
15 Hawley St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 2.0 1908 $1,050 $0.55 46d 1 0.11mi
23 Bellevue St Apt 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 25d 1 0.12mi
23 Bellevue St Apt 3 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,500 $2.08 25d 1 0.12mi
23 Bellevue St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,450 $2.23 25d 1 0.12mi
9 Townsend St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1500 $2,200 $1.47 46d 1 0.12mi
1 Pelham St Unit B Worcester, MA 3.0 3.0 1656 $2,895 $1.75 46d 1 0.14mi
17 Congress St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,849 $1.68 16d 1 0.17mi
127 Austin St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,900 $1.73 25d 1 0.17mi
230 Pleasant St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,350 $1.96 46d 1 0.21mi
230 Pleasant St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1600 $2,150 $1.34 46d 1 0.21mi
10 Cottage St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,500 $2.00 46d 1 0.24mi
47 Piedmont St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,200 $1.69 46d 1 0.31mi
47 Piedmont St #2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 46d 1 0.31mi
36 Cedar St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,650 $1.77 46d 1 0.39mi
36 Cedar St Unit 2A Worcester, MA 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,300 $1.53 25d 1 0.39mi
345 Park Ave Unit 3R Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 16d 1 0.41mi
345 Park Ave Unit 3R Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 46d 1 0.41mi
24 Somerset St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1440 $1,900 $1.32 46d 1 0.43mi
36 Roxbury St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,450 $2.23 21d 1 0.48mi
54 Woodland St Apt 3 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1550 $2,350 $1.52 25d 1 0.51mi
17 Hermon St Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0–2.0 752 $2,800 $3.72 23d 11 0.51mi
6 Chatham St Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0–2.0 943 $3,700 $3.92 46d 3 0.53mi
5 Madison St Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0–2.0 811 $3,720 $4.59 25d 1 0.57mi
284 Highland St #3 Worcester, MA 2.0 2.0 2000 $4,900 $2.45 23d 1 0.58mi
5 Mount Pleasant St Apt 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1422 $2,500 $1.76 46d 1 0.63mi
5 Mount Pleasant St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1422 $2,200 $1.55 16d 1 0.63mi
123 Mayfield St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1164 $1,600 $1.37 25d 1 0.64mi
17 Longfellow Rd Worcester, MA 3.0 1.5 1774 $4,000 $2.25 25d 1 0.65mi
50 Franklin St Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 690 $2,500 $3.62 16d 29 0.65mi
14 Benefit Ter Unit 2 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,400 $2.00 23d 1 0.65mi
16 Norwich St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 2.0 2.0 1280 $2,275 $1.78 25d 1 0.68mi
58 Longfellow Rd Unit 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 2.0 1800 $3,000 $1.67 46d 1 0.69mi
5 Oberlin St #2 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 46d 1 0.69mi
17 Wachusett St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1120 $2,150 $1.92 25d 1 0.70mi
5 Suburban Rd Worcester, MA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1250 $2,995 $2.40 16d 10 0.72mi
97 Courtland St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1141 $2,100 $1.84 25d 1 0.74mi
352 Chandler St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1256 $2,300 $1.83 46d 1 0.74mi
23 Lancaster St Worcester, MA 3.0 1.5 1768 $2,800 $1.58 16d 1 0.76mi
346 Lovell St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,250 $1.50 46d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-23
    days on market $409,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-22
    days on market $409,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $409,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $409,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $409,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $409,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    pricestatusdays on market $409,000 Price Changed 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $429,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $429,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $429,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $429,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $429,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $429,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $429,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $429,000 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $429,000 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $429,000 Active 4 DOM
  18. 2026-05-26
    listed $429,000 New
  19. 2007-08-30
    soldstatus $170,000
  20. 1993-11-04
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,108 · $342/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,569 · $381/mo
Expected delta
+$461/yr (+$38/mo · 11.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,548
− Mortgage interest
−$22,910
− Property taxes
−$4,108
− Insurance
−$2,045
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,444
− Management
−$4,444
− Depreciation
−$11,898
Taxable income
$5,699
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,368
After-tax cash flow
$10,624/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Worcester
NCES district ID
2513230
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,063
Composite
20.3/100
National rank
#8615
State rank
#280 of 302 in MA

Livability — Worcester

Score
87/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#312

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Worcester, MA
County
Worcester County · 487,911 people
City population
207,324
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
Population (ZIP)
22,047
Household income
$68,381
Rent vs Own
59.9% rent · 40.1% own
Severe rent burden
1183.0

Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
850,858 people
By 2030
860,403 · +1.1%
By 2040
869,902 · +2.2%
By 2050
869,110 · +2.1%
By 2075
870,120 · +2.3%
By 2100
829,703 · -2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Asian 10% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Romanian 4% Estonian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 8% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Worcester

2024 margin
D (+10.0) · D 53.9% · R 43.9% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: 10.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.0 2020: D+17.8 2016: D+10.5 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.84%
Current HPI
274.8097
Rent YoY
▲ 3.38%
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+472.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $429,000 MLS PIN
  • 2007-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 1993-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,108 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…