12901 Florence Ln · Oklahoma City, OK
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The COOPER floor plan is a single-story home that optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open-concept design includes the family room and a versatile kitchen/ dining area for everyday multitasking. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby is the cozy owner’s suite with a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet, while two bedrooms are located at the opposite end of the home. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only. Home is currently under construction with anticipated completion in July.
Key facts
- Open-concept design
- Private bathroom
- Attached patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $221,900
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces (including 2-car garage)
- Home design: Spec new-construction, plan name Rc Cooper
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Living area approximately 1,248
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-899/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (5.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (15.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
- Piedmont (rural): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 270 in OK (top 3%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1560 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.49%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $205,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12921 Florence Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (0%) | 1mo | $203,500 | $163 | 99 |
| 12853 Torretta Way | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (0%) | 1mo | $211,600 | $170 | 96 |
| 12829 Torretta Way | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (0%) | 1mo | $210,838 | $169 | 96 |
| 12817 Torretta Way | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (0%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $170 | 96 |
| 12824 Torretta Way | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (0%) | 1mo | $211,600 | $170 | 95 |
| 12912 Florence Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+10%) | 1mo | $221,388 | $161 | 83 |
| 12933 Florence Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+10%) | 1mo | $226,350 | $165 | 82 |
| 12924 Florence Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+10%) | 2mo | $219,300 | $160 | 82 |
| 12837 Torretta Way | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+10%) | 1mo | $217,988 | $159 | 80 |
| 12849 Torretta Way | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+10%) | 1mo | $218,750 | $159 | 79 |
| 12916 Florence Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+12%) | 1mo | $226,000 | $161 | 78 |
| 12820 Torretta Way | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+10%) | 2mo | $226,850 | $165 | 78 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-42,797
- Equity at exit
- $32,042
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-56,073
- Equity at exit
- $18,581
Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73099
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1560
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,812 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,224/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $-75
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,725
- Closing costs
- $6,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12845 Torretta Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,745 | $1.20 | 11d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 12845 Torretta Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,745 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 12816 Torretta Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,730 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 9109 NW 127th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,845 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 9109 NW 127th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,845 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 9017 NW 127th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 12008 Brinley Reign Dr Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,850 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 11628 Annette Dr Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,555 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 11625 Krew Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 11620 Krew Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,725 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11709 Jude Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,661 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 11608 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1259 | $1,545 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 11608 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1259 | $1,495 | $1.19 | 10d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 11606 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $2,850 | $2.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 11505 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 8922 NW 109th Ter Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 24 Redstone Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,950 | $2.27 | 1d | 11 | 1.36mi |
| 8341 NW 137th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-19price $214,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 586-char remark
-
2026-06-18days on market $221,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $221,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 405-char remark
-
2026-06-16$221,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,740
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,038
- − Property taxes
- −$3,224
- − Insurance
- −$1,074
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,739
- − Management
- −$1,739
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$6,252
- Taxable loss
- −$4,578
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,099
- After-tax cash flow
- $199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a good layout. It is currently under construction and will be move-in ready by July. The property has a good resale and rental value with minor updates that could further enhance its appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting exterior brick facade — Enhances curb appeal
- Resale Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space
- Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting exterior brick facade — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Piedmont
- NCES district ID
- 4023970
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,943
- Composite
- 36.08/100
- National rank
- #4762
- State rank
- #9 of 270 in OK
Livability — Oklahoma City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oklahoma City, OK
- County
- Canadian County · 154,341 people
- City population
- 498,656
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 91,014
- Household income
- $88,030
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Canadian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,062 people
- By 2030
- 195,170 · +12.1%
- By 2040
- 239,293 · +37.5%
- By 2050
- 285,457 · +64.0%
- By 2075
- 403,766 · +132.0%
- By 2100
- 498,766 · +186.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Canadian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.4) · D 28.8% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.9pp toward D · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -40.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.4 2020: R+43.3 2016: R+51.2 2012: R+54.4 2008: R+52.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -206.04%
- Current HPI
- 244.6836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.19%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…