14669 Roselawn St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Land contract available with low monthly payments. This is a nice house with potential to be a great home. 2 bedroom, one bath, full basement, half attic and a huge backyard. This house do needs work like roof patching, drywall, paint, carpet and cleaning. I know it may seem like a lot but for this price its worth it. Please feel free to contact me at 313-646-5161 for more pictures and videos.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1941
- Listed 145 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $749 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 66.2% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 66.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 214.12%
- DSCR
- 10.53
- GRM
- 1.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $39,180
- List price
- $15,000
- Delta
- -61.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14619 Greenlawn St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 804 (+1%) | 5mo | $52,000 | $65 | 92 |
| 14601 San Juan Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 816 (+2%) | 4mo | $37,000 | $45 | 73 |
| 14677 Cloverlawn Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 900 (+13%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $22 | 68 |
| 14611 Washburn St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 790 (-1%) | 10mo | $34,900 | $44 | 67 |
| 14811 Northlawn St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 851 (+6%) | 16mo | $79,000 | $93 | 66 |
| 14284 Kentucky St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (+3%) | 8mo | $27,000 | $33 | 66 |
| 7300 Ellsworth St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+5%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $36 | 60 |
| 7326 Ellsworth St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (-5%) | 13mo | $35,000 | $46 | 58 |
| 14668 Greenlawn St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 870 (+9%) | 22mo | $73,000 | $84 | 54 |
| 14014 Washburn St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 876 (+10%) | 3mo | $17,000 | $19 | 50 |
| 6445 SW Globe St S | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 795 (-0%) | 18mo | $30,000 | $38 | 49 |
| 14887 Mendota St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 803 (+0%) | 20mo | $25,000 | $31 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.66×
- Total profit
- $48,966
- Equity at exit
- $2,237
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 29.60×
- Total profit
- $120,131
- Equity at exit
- $1,297
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 1.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,114 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $552/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $749
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $758 | -5% $754 | +0% $749 | +5% $745 | +10% $741 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $661 | -5% $705 | +0% $749 | +5% $793 | +10% $837 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $757 | -0.5pp $753 | base $749 | +0.5pp $746 | +1.0pp $742 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 14570 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14950 Stoepel St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 15771 Turner St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,049 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2690 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 25d | 4 | 0.67mi |
| 7350 Globe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 15777 Wisconsin St Unit 77 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 6d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2926 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 15765 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1093 | $950 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3808 Kendall St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 15839 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2341 Ewald Cir Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 15878 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3812 W Grand St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,025 | $0.93 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 16230 Indiana St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2034 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 6d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4045 Clements St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4045 Clements St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3266 Pasadena St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $700 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 12728 Monica St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $750 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1875 Ewald Cir Unit 2E Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $875 | $1.21 | 6d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4203 Tyler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $895 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3824 Tyler St Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,523 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 12663 Stoepel St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 18d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 12663 Stoepel St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 14847 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 849 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3783 Tyler St Unit Lower Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 15738 Sorrento Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $1,175 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 12415 Monica St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1705 Oakman Blvd Unit 5 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $895 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1705 Oakman Blvd Unit 10 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $895 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 15906 Alden St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 17159 Northlawn St Unit 17161 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $975 | $0.87 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $15,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $15,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $15,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $15,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $15,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $15,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $15,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $15,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $15,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $15,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $15,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $15,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $15,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-01-27$15,000 Active 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
Land contract available with low monthly payments. This is a nice house with potential to be a great home. 2 bedroom, one bath, full basement, half attic and a huge backyard. This house do needs work like roof patching, drywall, paint, carpet and cleaning. I know it may seem like a lot but for this price its worth it. Please feel free to contact me at 313-646-5161 for more pictures and videos.
-
2025-08-28historical
-
2025-08-28historical
-
2025-08-22$12,500 Active
-
2025-08-22$12,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $552 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $552 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$552
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,070
- − Management
- −$1,070
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $9,329
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,239
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,754/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+20.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Listed $15,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2025-08-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-08-22 Listed $12,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-22 Listed $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $552 · -52.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…