471778 E 779 Rd · Peavine, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$55,660
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Country living! 3 Bedroom 2 bathroom Mobile Home sitting on . 84 acres+/- Sets back off the road for privacy, Includes split floorplan, add on with two bonus rooms and large front and back deck. FHA $100 Down Sales Incentive for Owner Occupant.
Key facts
- Mobile home
- Split floorplan
- Two bonus rooms
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Septic tank; Rural water
- Home design: Single-story; Double wide manufactured home; Northeast-facing; Tie down foundation
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Year built (source: appraiser)
- Exterior features: Deck; Mature trees
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
- Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Laminate counters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#482 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Peavine (rural): math 30% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #390 of 513 in OK (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($385 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Adair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.70%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $38,734
- Equity at exit
- $22,416
- IRR
- 46.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.95×
- Total profit
- $92,704
- Equity at exit
- $32,639
Cash invested: $15,585 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74960
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,117 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$292
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $309/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $542
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $573 | -5% $557 | +0% $542 | +5% $526 | +10% $510 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $453 | -5% $497 | +0% $542 | +5% $586 | +10% $630 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $570 | -0.5pp $556 | base $542 | +0.5pp $527 | +1.0pp $512 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,915
- Closing costs
- $1,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $55,660 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,660 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,660 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $55,660 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $60,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-06$60,500 Active
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Country living! 3 Bedroom 2 bathroom Mobile Home sitting on . 84 acres+/- Sets back off the road for privacy, Includes split floorplan, add on with two bonus rooms and large front and back deck. FHA $100 Down Sales Incentive for Owner Occupant.
-
2026-05-06$60,500 Active 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Country living! 3 Bedroom 2 bathroom Mobile Home sitting on . 84 acres+/- Sets back off the road for privacy, Includes split floorplan, add on with two bonus rooms and large front and back deck. FHA $100 Down Sales Incentive for Owner Occupant.
-
2025-08-01status Pending
-
2025-08-01status Pending
-
2025-08-01historical
-
2025-07-23status Active
-
2025-07-22$60,500 Active
-
2025-07-18$60,500 Active
-
2021-06-24soldstatus $65,000
-
2021-06-17soldstatus $65,000 Closed
-
2021-03-19status Pending
-
2021-03-02$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $309 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $501 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- +$192/yr (+$16/mo · 62.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,404
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,118
- − Property taxes
- −$309
- − Insurance
- −$278
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,072
- − Management
- −$1,072
- − Depreciation
- −$1,619
- Taxable income
- $5,935
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,424
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,075/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peavine
- NCES district ID
- 4010560
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,845
- Composite
- 21.71/100
- National rank
- #13589
- State rank
- #390 of 513 in OK
Livability — Peavine
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #482
- US rank
- #22159
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peavine, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,964
Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,805 people
- By 2030
- 20,073 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 18,496 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 16,970 · -18.4%
- By 2075
- 14,011 · -32.7%
- By 2100
- 12,211 · -41.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.90)
- Race & ethnicity
- Native American 51% White 31% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Adair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.0) · D 17.8% · R 80.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -38.7pp · 2024: -63.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.0 2020: R+59.1 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.15%
- Current HPI
- 223.6773
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-6.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $60,500 WRVBOR
- 2026-05-06 Listed $60,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-08-01 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2025-08-01 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-08-01 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-07-23 Relisted — WRVBOR
- 2025-07-22 Listed $60,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-07-18 Listed $60,500 WRVBOR
- 2021-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-17 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-03-19 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-03-02 Listed $65,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+18.1%/yrLatest (2025): $309 · +25.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…