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471778 E 779 Rd
B Composite 73.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$55,660

471778 E 779 Rd · Peavine, OK 74960
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 2000 0.84 ac lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Country living! 3 Bedroom 2 bathroom Mobile Home sitting on . 84 acres+/- Sets back off the road for privacy, Includes split floorplan, add on with two bonus rooms and large front and back deck. FHA $100 Down Sales Incentive for Owner Occupant.

Key facts

  • Mobile home
  • Split floorplan
  • Two bonus rooms

Tags

MOBILE HOMESPLIT FLOORPLANTWO BONUS ROOMSLARGE FRONT AND BACK DECK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Rural water
  • Home design: Single-story; Double wide manufactured home; Northeast-facing; Tie down foundation
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Year built (source: appraiser)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Mature trees

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Laminate counters

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#482 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Peavine (rural): math 30% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #390 of 513 in OK (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($385 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
  • Adair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $53,990 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
17.97%
Cash-on-cash
41.70%
DSCR
2.86
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.9%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$38,734
Equity at exit
$22,416
10-year hold
IRR
46.5%
Equity multiple
6.95×
Total profit
$92,704
Equity at exit
$32,639

Cash invested: $15,585 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74960

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,117 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$292
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $309/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$542

Break-even live

Break-even rent $431
Max offer price $55,660
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $573 -5% $557 +0% $542 +5% $526 +10% $510
Rent -10% $453 -5% $497 +0% $542 +5% $586 +10% $630
Rate -1.0pp $570 -0.5pp $556 base $542 +0.5pp $527 +1.0pp $512

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,915
Closing costs
$1,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,660 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,660 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,660 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $55,660 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,500 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,500 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,500 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $60,500 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,500 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    status $60,500 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-05-06
    listed $60,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Country living! 3 Bedroom 2 bathroom Mobile Home sitting on . 84 acres+/- Sets back off the road for privacy, Includes split floorplan, add on with two bonus rooms and large front and back deck. FHA $100 Down Sales Incentive for Owner Occupant.

  12. 2026-05-06
    listed $60,500 Active 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Country living! 3 Bedroom 2 bathroom Mobile Home sitting on . 84 acres+/- Sets back off the road for privacy, Includes split floorplan, add on with two bonus rooms and large front and back deck. FHA $100 Down Sales Incentive for Owner Occupant.

  13. 2025-08-01
    status Pending
  14. 2025-08-01
    status Pending
  15. 2025-08-01
    historical
  16. 2025-07-23
    status Active
  17. 2025-07-22
    listed $60,500 Active
  18. 2025-07-18
    listed $60,500 Active
  19. 2021-06-24
    soldstatus $65,000
  20. 2021-06-17
    soldstatus $65,000 Closed
  21. 2021-03-19
    status Pending
  22. 2021-03-02
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$309 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$501 · $42/mo
Expected delta
+$192/yr (+$16/mo · 62.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,404
− Mortgage interest
−$3,118
− Property taxes
−$309
− Insurance
−$278
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,072
− Management
−$1,072
− Depreciation
−$1,619
Taxable income
$5,935
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,424
After-tax cash flow
$5,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peavine
NCES district ID
4010560
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$34,845
Composite
21.71/100
National rank
#13589
State rank
#390 of 513 in OK

Livability — Peavine

Score
57/100
State rank
#482
US rank
#22159

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peavine, OK
Population (ZIP)
11,964

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,805 people
By 2030
20,073 · -3.5%
By 2040
18,496 · -11.1%
By 2050
16,970 · -18.4%
By 2075
14,011 · -32.7%
By 2100
12,211 · -41.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.90)
Race & ethnicity
Native American 51% White 31% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.0) · D 17.8% · R 80.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -38.7pp · 2024: -63.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.0 2020: R+59.1 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.15%
Current HPI
223.6773
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $60,500 WRVBOR
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $60,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-08-01 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2025-08-01 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-08-01 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-23 Relisted WRVBOR
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $60,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-18 Listed $60,500 WRVBOR
  • 2021-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2021-06-17 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-03-19 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-03-02 Listed $65,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+18.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $309 · +25.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…