1911 Youngstown Rd SE · Warren, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 1911 Youngstown Road in Warren! This well-maintained property offers solid value and great potential, whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor. The home features a newer garage—perfect for secure parking, storage, or a workshop space—adding convenience and functionality to the property. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable layout with plenty of natural light and room to make it your own. Located close to shopping, restaurants, and major routes, this home provides both accessibility and everyday practicality. Don’t miss your chance to own a great property with strong long-term upside in Warren. ( Some photos are AI enhanced). ALSO HAS A FUNCTIONAL TOILET ON THE MAIN FLOOR!!!
Key facts
- Newer garage
- Close to restaurants
- Natural light
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.0% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#312 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D-, commute F, employment F.
- Warren City (urban): math 22% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #599 of 656 in OH (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 203 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $90k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 203 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.10%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,611
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -9.75%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1116 Adelaide Ave SE | 0.10mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,254 (-12%) | 0mo | $106,250 | $85 | 69 |
| 710 Woodbine Ave SE | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,578 (+10%) | 6mo | $93,000 | $59 | 67 |
| 1087 Perkinswood Blvd SE | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+4%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $101 | 64 |
| 648 Woodbine Ave SE | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,324 (-7%) | 11mo | $132,900 | $100 | 64 |
| 405 Oak Knoll Ave SE | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (+4%) | 11mo | $108,000 | $73 | 62 |
| 156 Bonnie Brae Ave NE | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 3mo | $145,500 | $101 | 62 |
| 356 Laird Ave SE | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-2%) | 6mo | $127,000 | $90 | 57 |
| 790 Oak Knoll Ave SE | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (+13%) | 12mo | $70,000 | $43 | 52 |
| 1344 Grandview St SE | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,232 (-14%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $57 | 50 |
| 235 Iddings Ave SE | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,323 (-8%) | 10mo | $39,000 | $29 | 49 |
| 225 Belvedere Ave SE | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,304 (-9%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $104 | 48 |
| 697 Perkinswood Blvd SE | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,222 (-14%) | 9mo | $161,305 | $132 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-3,740
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $10,705
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44484
- Home prices YoY
- -17.5%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $984 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $170
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $221 | -5% $195 | +0% $170 | +5% $144 | +10% $119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $92 | -5% $131 | +0% $170 | +5% $209 | +10% $248 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $215 | -0.5pp $193 | base $170 | +0.5pp $147 | +1.0pp $123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 840 Woodbine Ave SE Unit 838 Warren, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1151 Kenilworth Ave SE Warren, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1207 | $900 | $0.75 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 341 Charles AVE Warren, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 259 Perkinswood Blvd NE Warren, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $845 | $1.14 | 14d | 3 | 0.94mi |
| 1216 Hollywood St NE Warren, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $1,050 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 407 Washington St NE Niles, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1388 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,900 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 191 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 184 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 183 DOM
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2026-05-14price $89,900 731-char remark
Show marketing remark (731 chars)
Welcome to 1911 Youngstown Road in Warren! This well-maintained property offers solid value and great potential, whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor. The home features a newer garage—perfect for secure parking, storage, or a workshop space—adding convenience and functionality to the property. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable layout with plenty of natural light and room to make it your own. Located close to shopping, restaurants, and major routes, this home provides both accessibility and everyday practicality. Don’t miss your chance to own a great property with strong long-term upside in Warren. ( Some photos are AI enhanced). ALSO HAS A FUNCTIONAL TOILET ON THE MAIN FLOOR!!!
-
2026-02-06price $99,900 731-char remark
Show marketing remark (731 chars)
Welcome to 1911 Youngstown Road in Warren! This well-maintained property offers solid value and great potential, whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor. The home features a newer garage—perfect for secure parking, storage, or a workshop space—adding convenience and functionality to the property. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable layout with plenty of natural light and room to make it your own. Located close to shopping, restaurants, and major routes, this home provides both accessibility and everyday practicality. Don’t miss your chance to own a great property with strong long-term upside in Warren. ( Some photos are AI enhanced). ALSO HAS A FUNCTIONAL TOILET ON THE MAIN FLOOR!!!
-
2025-12-24price $108,000 731-char remark
Show marketing remark (731 chars)
Welcome to 1911 Youngstown Road in Warren! This well-maintained property offers solid value and great potential, whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor. The home features a newer garage—perfect for secure parking, storage, or a workshop space—adding convenience and functionality to the property. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable layout with plenty of natural light and room to make it your own. Located close to shopping, restaurants, and major routes, this home provides both accessibility and everyday practicality. Don’t miss your chance to own a great property with strong long-term upside in Warren. ( Some photos are AI enhanced). ALSO HAS A FUNCTIONAL TOILET ON THE MAIN FLOOR!!!
-
2025-11-25$110,000 Active 731-char remark
Show marketing remark (731 chars)
Welcome to 1911 Youngstown Road in Warren! This well-maintained property offers solid value and great potential, whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor. The home features a newer garage—perfect for secure parking, storage, or a workshop space—adding convenience and functionality to the property. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable layout with plenty of natural light and room to make it your own. Located close to shopping, restaurants, and major routes, this home provides both accessibility and everyday practicality. Don’t miss your chance to own a great property with strong long-term upside in Warren. ( Some photos are AI enhanced). ALSO HAS A FUNCTIONAL TOILET ON THE MAIN FLOOR!!!
-
2024-02-09status Pending 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Great starter or investment property, newer windows & roof, 2 car garage, home is vacant can be shown on short notice.
-
2024-02-09soldstatus $45,000 Closed 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Great starter or investment property, newer windows & roof, 2 car garage, home is vacant can be shown on short notice.
-
2024-02-09soldstatus $45,000
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Great starter or investment property, newer windows & roof, 2 car garage, home is vacant can be shown on short notice.
-
2024-01-15historical Contingent 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Great starter or investment property, newer windows & roof, 2 car garage, home is vacant can be shown on short notice.
-
2024-01-03price $49,900 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Great starter or investment property, newer windows & roof, 2 car garage, home is vacant can be shown on short notice.
-
2023-12-05$59,900 Active 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
Great starter or investment property, newer windows & roof, 2 car garage, home is vacant can be shown on short notice.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,185 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,294 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$109/yr (+$9/mo · 9.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$945
- − Management
- −$945
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $636
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$153
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren City
- NCES district ID
- 3904499
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,222
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8299
- State rank
- #599 of 656 in OH
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #5068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, OH
- County
- Trumbull · 193,293 people
- City population
- 25,805
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,634
- Household income
- $65,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6.7
Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,696 people
- By 2030
- 184,015 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 166,810 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 149,857 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 115,769 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 83,617 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.24%
- Current HPI
- 217.6603
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+50.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $89,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $108,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-11-25 Listed $110,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-02-09 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2024-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-09 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-01-15 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2024-01-03 Price Changed $49,900 MLSNOW
- 2023-12-05 Listed $59,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,185 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…