890 NE 138th St · North Miami, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.3/15.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$515,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming 2 bed 1 bath home is nestled in the heart of North Miami. Set on an expansive 9,000 sq ft lot, residence offers a rare combination of space, character, and potential. The home features classic Miami architecture with CBS construction. New 3-year-old roof, impact windows and doors with custom FL shutters, termite treated, well maintained. Inside, you’ll find a bright, functional layout with well-proportioned rooms. The oversized lot provides endless opportunities—expand, add outdoor living spaces, create a garden oasis, or design the backyard of your dreams. Minutes from parks, schools, shopping, dining, and major highways, making daily living convenient. Right next
Key facts
- Custom fl shutters
- Garden oasis
- Cbs construction
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Circular driveway; 1 covered garage space (attached)
- Security: Security/high impact doors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property
- Construction: Block construction; Composition and tar/gravel roof
- Exterior features: Fruit trees; Shed; Security/high impact doors; Sprinkler system; Less than quarter acre lot; North-facing
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Flooring: Hardwood or wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Ceiling fans; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: First floor entry; Bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage; Dryer; Electric water heater; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $515k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $406k (21.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $406k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.1% in North Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in FL, #914 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Archcreek Elementary School (math 26% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 442 students, 79% FRL); North Miami Middle School (math 25% / reading 31%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 807 students, 71% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,061/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 3226% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($469k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $515k implies a 582% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.58%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $461,320
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 795 NE 146th St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,294 (+7%) | 1mo | $550,000 | $425 | 54 |
| 12860 NE 10th Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,300 (+7%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $269 | 53 |
| 930 NE 132nd St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,050 (-14%) | 10mo | $399,000 | $380 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-83,518
- Equity at exit
- $76,788
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-104,234
- Equity at exit
- $44,528
Cash invested: $144,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33161
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,061 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,701
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
- Insurance
- −$215
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$853
- Net cashflow
- $190
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $482 | -5% $336 | +0% $190 | +5% $44 | +10% $-101 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-131 | -5% $30 | +0% $190 | +5% $351 | +10% $511 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $449 | -0.5pp $321 | base $190 | +0.5pp $57 | +1.0pp $-79 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $128,750
- Closing costs
- $15,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $515,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $515,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $515,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $515,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $515,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $515,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $515,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $515,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $515,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $515,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $515,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $515,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $515,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $515,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-02-22$515,000 Active
-
1997-03-20soldstatus $75,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,236 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,274 · $356/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,039/yr (+$253/mo · 245.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,848
- − Property taxes
- −$1,236
- − Insurance
- −$2,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,899
- − Management
- −$3,899
- − Depreciation
- −$14,982
- Taxable loss
- −$6,703
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,609
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,890/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #914
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 99,437
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,814
- Household income
- $58,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3226.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% White 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 4% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 35% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 51% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 41% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -492.86%
- Current HPI
- 630.6932
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.73%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+582.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-22 Listed $515,000 MARMLS
- 1997-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $75,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,236 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…