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1904 Piedmont Ave
B+ Composite 77.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

1904 Piedmont Ave · Duluth, MN 55811
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,275 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1925 10,454 sqft lot Est $279k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here's an opportunity to own a three bedroom, one bath bungalow in Piedmont. This home needs some TLC but has lots of potential. Either make it your own personal residence or use it as an investment property. It has newer windows and a one car garage. Large living room, spacious kitchen and dining area, nice size main floor bedrooms. The upstairs is adorable and has lots of nooks and storage. There is also has a partial view of the harbor. The lovely fenced backyard has a stone fireplace and cute patio area. Don't miss out on this great opportunity!

Key facts

  • New boiler
  • Refreshed bathroom
  • Fire pit

Tags

FULLY REMODELED KITCHENREFRESHED BATHROOMNEW BOILERFULLY FENCED YARDFIRE PITCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached gravel garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; One story
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; City street frontage; Lot roughly 0.24 acres (approx. 141 x 76)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on main level; Full unfinished basement; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $821 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $107k; list at $220k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $219,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.77%
Cash-on-cash
15.99%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$279,225
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1819 Springvale Rd 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,276 (+0%) 11mo $295,000 $231 80
2509 Springvale Rd 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,266 (-1%) 1mo $239,900 $189 73
1920 Gearhart St 0.14mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,236 (-3%) 17mo $299,900 $243 69
2028 Allegheny St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,398 (+10%) 12mo $281,000 $201 64
1906 Springvale Rd 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,294 (+2%) 18mo $237,000 $183 62
2440 Hutchinson Rd 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,228 (-4%) 6mo $445,000 $362 62
2415 W 24th St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,352 (+6%) 12mo $299,900 $222 60
2335 Catskill St 0.11mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,406 (+10%) 17mo $256,500 $182 56
2106 Piedmont Ave 0.15mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,106 (-13%) 12mo $300,000 $271 54
2611 Chambersburg Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,337 (+5%) 12mo $260,000 $194 54
2352 Ensign St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,276 (+0%) 12mo $280,000 $219 50
2308 Ensign St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,370 (+8%) 13mo $291,000 $212 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$21,464
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$106,477
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55811

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,936 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$254 /mo · $3,050/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$617
Net cashflow
$821

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,897
Max offer price $219,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $945 -5% $883 +0% $821 +5% $758 +10% $696
Rent -10% $589 -5% $705 +0% $821 +5% $937 +10% $1,053
Rate -1.0pp $931 -0.5pp $877 base $821 +0.5pp $764 +1.0pp $706

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2302 Hillcrest Dr Duluth, MN 3.0 1.5 1072 $3,500 $3.26 44d 1 0.13mi
2011 W Superior St Duluth, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 670 $1,844 $2.75 14d 12 1.36mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $219,900 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    remarks 687-char remark
  4. 2026-06-03
    listed $219,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,050 · $254/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,050 · $254/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,234
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$3,050
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,819
− Management
−$2,819
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable income
$6,732
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,616
After-tax cash flow
$8,231/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duluth Public School District
NCES district ID
2711040
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,692
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3360
State rank
#132 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
71,097
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
28,118
Household income
$79,804
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
1019.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -252.84%
Current HPI
198.2613
Rent YoY
▲ 4.60%
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+109.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $219,900 LSAR
  • 2019-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
  • 2019-02-20 Sold (MLS) $107,000 LSAR
  • 2019-01-01 Listed $109,900 LSAR
  • 2007-09-07 Listed $105,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,050 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…