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7951 Old Spanish
B Composite 73.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$59,000

7951 Old Spanish · Sneads, FL 32460
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 2004 0.28 ac lot Est $57k · at est. ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

CREATIVE OPTIONS AVAILABLE! Very convenient location. Amazing opportunity for Investors. Flooring needs work. HVAC 2019. Fix and flip or buy and hold. Seller will be taking the stove and the fridge. Excellent return! Ready to sell now! This is an opportunity you won't want to miss!

Key facts

  • Generous yard space
  • Serene neighborhood
  • 0.28 acre lot

Tags

WELL-APPOINTED KITCHENGENEROUS YARD SPACESERENE NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-story property; Metal roof; Vinyl siding with wood frame construction
  • Construction: Built with wood frame and vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Balcony; Covered and open porch

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first level; One additional room on the first level (other)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, forced air); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#682 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $526 of equity ($408 loan paydown + $118 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,115 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.28%
Cap rate
17.14%
Cash-on-cash
38.75%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,072
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7951 Old Spanish Trl 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,392 (0%) 18mo $54,499 $39 83
7972 Old Spanish Trl 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,256 (-10%) 9mo $51,500 $41 63
8054 Highway 90 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,391 (-0%) 18mo $103,000 $74 49
7851 Jenkins St 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,328 (-5%) 8mo $172,000 $130 48
2006 3rd Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,418 (+2%) 21mo $58,000 $41 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$32,897
Equity at exit
$17,723
10-year hold
IRR
43.0%
Equity multiple
5.91×
Total profit
$81,150
Equity at exit
$21,782

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32460

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,345 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,342/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$533

Break-even live

Break-even rent $670
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2057 Gay Ave Sneads, FL 3.0 2.0 1736 $1,345 $0.77 43d 1 0.62mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-11
    price $59,000
  3. 2026-05-05
    price $64,000
  4. 2026-05-04
    price $69,000
  5. 2026-05-04
    price $79,000
  6. 2026-04-27
    price $87,000
  7. 2026-04-22
    listed $89,000 Active
  8. 2026-04-14
    historical
  9. 2026-04-14
    price $115,000
  10. 2026-03-25
    status Active
  11. 2026-03-17
    status Pending
  12. 2026-02-24
    listed $165,000 Active
  13. 2025-10-31
    listed $170,000 Active
  14. 2024-12-19
    soldstatus $54,500
  15. 2024-12-18
    soldstatus $54,499 Closed
  16. 2024-11-30
    status Pending
  17. 2024-09-30
    status Active
  18. 2024-09-27
    status Pending
  19. 2024-09-04
    price $66,100
  20. 2024-08-25
    price $56,100
  21. 2024-07-30
    price $66,100
  22. 2024-07-26
    status Active
  23. 2024-07-24
    status Pending
  24. 2024-07-17
    status Active
  25. 2024-07-03
    status Pending
  26. 2024-06-24
    status Active
  27. 2024-05-31
    status Pending
  28. 2024-05-08
    price $73,450
  29. 2024-03-19
    status Active
  30. 2024-03-06
    status Pending
  31. 2024-01-30
    price $81,600
  32. 2023-11-16
    price $102,000
  33. 2023-10-11
    status Active
  34. 2023-09-30
    historical
  35. 2023-03-30
    listed $120,000 Active
  36. 2018-06-04
    soldstatus $69,900
  37. 2018-06-04
    soldstatus $69,900
  38. 2017-10-16
    listed $69,900
  39. 2005-06-28
    soldstatus $78,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,342 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,342 · $195/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,140
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$2,342
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,291
− Management
−$1,291
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$5,899
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,416
After-tax cash flow
$4,985/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson
NCES district ID
1200960
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$36,824
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3358
State rank
#39 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sneads

Score
64/100
State rank
#682
US rank
#14148

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sneads, FL
Population (ZIP)
5,303

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,095 people
By 2030
44,432 · -3.6%
By 2040
41,077 · -10.9%
By 2050
37,587 · -18.5%
By 2075
28,921 · -37.3%
By 2100
19,332 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.20%
Current HPI
154.5563
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.4% since first listed
39 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $59,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $64,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $69,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $79,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $87,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $89,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $115,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $165,000 CPARMLS
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $170,000 CPARMLS
  • 2024-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
  • 2024-12-18 Sold (MLS) $54,499 CPARMLS
  • 2024-11-30 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2024-09-30 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2024-09-27 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2024-09-04 Price Changed $66,100 CPARMLS
  • 2024-08-25 Price Changed $56,100 CPARMLS
  • 2024-07-30 Price Changed $66,100 CPARMLS
  • 2024-07-26 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2024-07-24 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2024-07-17 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2024-07-03 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2024-06-24 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2024-05-31 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2024-05-08 Price Changed $73,450 CPARMLS
  • 2024-03-19 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2024-03-06 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2024-01-30 Price Changed $81,600 CPARMLS
  • 2023-11-16 Price Changed $102,000 CPARMLS
  • 2023-10-11 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2023-09-30 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2023-03-30 Listed $120,000 CPARMLS
  • 2018-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 2018-06-04 Sold (MLS) $69,900 CPARMLS
  • 2017-10-16 Listed $69,900 CPARMLS
  • 2005-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,342 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…