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D Composite 43.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1411 N Lee St · Americus, GA 31719
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,287 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1920

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great Investors Property or large family with 3 Br, 1 Ba, 3 1/2 Ba in the Main House. Large living room, dining room and kitchen, 4 fireplaces, 15 ft ceilings. The In-law-suite is 2 story, self contained with a kitchen, laundry room, 1 Br and 1 Ba. with a 2nd story deck over the back yard. Off street parking for 3 - 4 vehicles.

Key facts

  • 2nd story deck
  • Off street parking
  • In-law-suite

Tags

IN-LAW-SUITESELF CONTAINED2ND STORY DECKOFF STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (8.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.9% in Americus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#582 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sumter County (rural): math 7% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #170 of 174 in GA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sumter County Primary School (797 students, 100% FRL); Sumter County Intermediate School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #460 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 791 students, 100% FRL); Sumter County High School (978 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 77% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $124,020 (8.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.76%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-14,349
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,873
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31719

Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,240 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,164/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,090
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $195 -5% $157 +0% $119 +5% $80 +10% $42
Rent -10% $21 -5% $70 +0% $119 +5% $168 +10% $217
Rate -1.0pp $187 -0.5pp $153 base $119 +0.5pp $84 +1.0pp $48

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    remarks 329-char remark
  4. 2026-06-21
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,164 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,242 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$78/yr (+$7/mo · 6.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,882
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,164
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,191
− Management
−$1,191
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$827
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$198
After-tax cash flow
$1,621/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter County
NCES district ID
1304620
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$33,494
Composite
7.21/100
National rank
#9961
State rank
#170 of 174 in GA

Livability — Americus

Score
50/100
State rank
#582
US rank
#25593

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Americus, GA
Population (ZIP)
9,085

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,953 people
By 2030
24,861 · -7.8%
By 2040
20,500 · -23.9%
By 2050
16,694 · -38.1%
By 2075
9,901 · -63.3%
By 2100
5,570 · -79.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.7%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: 2.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.2 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+2.2 2012: D+8.4 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.05%
Current HPI
117.0001
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-20 Listed $135,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,164 · -9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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