1411 N Lee St · Americus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Investors Property or large family with 3 Br, 1 Ba, 3 1/2 Ba in the Main House. Large living room, dining room and kitchen, 4 fireplaces, 15 ft ceilings. The In-law-suite is 2 story, self contained with a kitchen, laundry room, 1 Br and 1 Ba. with a 2nd story deck over the back yard. Off street parking for 3 - 4 vehicles.
Key facts
- 2nd story deck
- Off street parking
- In-law-suite
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (8.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.9% in Americus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#582 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Sumter County (rural): math 7% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #170 of 174 in GA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sumter County Primary School (797 students, 100% FRL); Sumter County Intermediate School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #460 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 791 students, 100% FRL); Sumter County High School (978 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 77% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.76%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-14,349
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,873
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31719
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,240 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $119
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $195 | -5% $157 | +0% $119 | +5% $80 | +10% $42 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $21 | -5% $70 | +0% $119 | +5% $168 | +10% $217 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $187 | -0.5pp $153 | base $119 | +0.5pp $84 | +1.0pp $48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-21remarks 329-char remark
-
2026-06-21$135,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,164 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,242 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$78/yr (+$7/mo · 6.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,164
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,191
- − Management
- −$1,191
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$827
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$198
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter County
- NCES district ID
- 1304620
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,494
- Composite
- 7.21/100
- National rank
- #9961
- State rank
- #170 of 174 in GA
Livability — Americus
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #582
- US rank
- #25593
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Americus, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,085
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,953 people
- By 2030
- 24,861 · -7.8%
- By 2040
- 20,500 · -23.9%
- By 2050
- 16,694 · -38.1%
- By 2075
- 9,901 · -63.3%
- By 2100
- 5,570 · -79.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: 2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.2 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+2.2 2012: D+8.4 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.05%
- Current HPI
- 117.0001
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-20 Listed $135,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,164 · -9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…