2622 N Grant Ave · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Introducing a prime investment opportunity! This property offers a wealth of potential for investors seeking to expand their real estate portfolio. This home offers three spacious bedrooms, two bathrooms and a generous living space. The property's central location is a key selling point, with convenient access to schools, parks, shopping and dining, making it an attractive option for renters. Don't miss out on this promising investment opportunity, as it is primed for long-term appreciation and consistent rental income. Act now to secure your foothold in Springfield's thriving real estate market.
Key facts
- Access to schools
- Access to parks
- Central location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($761/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (15.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.87%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,613
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -15.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2525 N Campbell Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-5%) | 3mo | $159,000 | $131 | 74 |
| 2323 N Missouri Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,254 (-2%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $143 | 73 |
| 733 W Kerr St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (-7%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $156 | 72 |
| 2755 N Campbell Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,137 (-11%) | 0mo | $172,000 | $151 | 68 |
| 919 W Woodridge St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (-15%) | 4mo | $149,500 | $137 | 60 |
| 2243 N Missouri Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,315 (+3%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $103 | 60 |
| 2243 N Franklin Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-1%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $119 | 59 |
| 624 E Livingston St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (-8%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $171 | 52 |
| 2237 N Franklin Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+13%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $122 | 47 |
| 2830 N Washington Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+10%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $146 | 44 |
| 1123 W High St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (-10%) | 5mo | $139,500 | $122 | 43 |
| 2151 N Campbell Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,462 (+15%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $85 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-17,953
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,093
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65803
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,225 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $1,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $63
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $145 | -5% $104 | +0% $63 | +5% $22 | +10% $-19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-33 | -5% $15 | +0% $63 | +5% $112 | +10% $160 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $136 | -0.5pp $100 | base $63 | +0.5pp $26 | +1.0pp $-12 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1127 W Talmage St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,650 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2230 N Campbell Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,095 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2120 N Johnston Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $925 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 317 E Chase St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 203 W Commercial St Unit 2F Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $895 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2940 N East Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $700 | $0.77 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 805 E Garfield St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1034 E McCanse St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1530 N Robberson Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2337 N Ramsey Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $875 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2153 N National Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 716 E Locust St Unit A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $850 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2313 N Rogers Ave Unit 1 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $950 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3218 N National Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,495 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-01-14$145,000 Active 603-char remark
Show marketing remark (603 chars)
Introducing a prime investment opportunity! This property offers a wealth of potential for investors seeking to expand their real estate portfolio. This home offers three spacious bedrooms, two bathrooms and a generous living space. The property's central location is a key selling point, with convenient access to schools, parks, shopping and dining, making it an attractive option for renters. Don't miss out on this promising investment opportunity, as it is primed for long-term appreciation and consistent rental income. Act now to secure your foothold in Springfield's thriving real estate market.
-
2024-05-23$135,000 Active
-
2023-11-03$150,000 Active
-
2016-05-31soldstatus
-
2016-05-16soldstatus
-
2016-04-06$39,900
-
2016-02-22$57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,000 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,406 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$406/yr (+$34/mo · 40.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,697
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,000
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,176
- − Management
- −$1,176
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,720
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$413
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,882
- Household income
- $50,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.08%
- Current HPI
- 205.0439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.24%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+154.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Listed $145,000 SOMO
- 2024-05-23 Listed $135,000 SOMO
- 2023-11-03 Listed $150,000 SOMO
- 2016-05-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-05-16 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2016-04-06 Listed $39,900 SOMO
- 2016-02-22 Listed $57,000 SOMO
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,000 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…