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2622 N Grant Ave
C- Composite 51.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

2622 N Grant Ave · Springfield, MO 65803
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,276 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 155 Days on market
Built 1927 0.36 ac lot $114/sqft · 6% below area Est $172k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Introducing a prime investment opportunity! This property offers a wealth of potential for investors seeking to expand their real estate portfolio. This home offers three spacious bedrooms, two bathrooms and a generous living space. The property's central location is a key selling point, with convenient access to schools, parks, shopping and dining, making it an attractive option for renters. Don't miss out on this promising investment opportunity, as it is primed for long-term appreciation and consistent rental income. Act now to secure your foothold in Springfield's thriving real estate market.

Key facts

  • Access to schools
  • Access to parks
  • Central location

Tags

CENTRAL LOCATIONACCESS TO SCHOOLSACCESS TO PARKSACCESS TO SHOPPINGACCESS TO DINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($761/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (15.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,478 (15.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.87%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$171,613
List price
$145,000
Delta
-15.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2525 N Campbell Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,216 (-5%) 3mo $159,000 $131 74
2323 N Missouri Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,254 (-2%) 1mo $179,900 $143 73
733 W Kerr St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,188 (-7%) 2mo $185,000 $156 72
2755 N Campbell Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,137 (-11%) 0mo $172,000 $151 68
919 W Woodridge St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-15%) 4mo $149,500 $137 60
2243 N Missouri Ave 0.51mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,315 (+3%) 5mo $135,000 $103 60
2243 N Franklin Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,260 (-1%) 3mo $150,000 $119 59
624 E Livingston St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,170 (-8%) 2mo $199,900 $171 52
2237 N Franklin Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+13%) 4mo $175,000 $122 47
2830 N Washington Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+10%) 6mo $205,000 $146 44
1123 W High St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,148 (-10%) 5mo $139,500 $122 43
2151 N Campbell Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,462 (+15%) 4mo $125,000 $85 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-17,953
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,093
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65803

Home prices YoY
-29.8%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
394
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,225 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $1,000/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$63

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,145
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $145 -5% $104 +0% $63 +5% $22 +10% $-19
Rent -10% $-33 -5% $15 +0% $63 +5% $112 +10% $160
Rate -1.0pp $136 -0.5pp $100 base $63 +0.5pp $26 +1.0pp $-12

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1127 W Talmage St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1160 $1,650 $1.42 44d 1 0.40mi
2230 N Campbell Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1084 $1,095 $1.01 44d 1 0.54mi
2120 N Johnston Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $925 $1.05 44d 1 0.76mi
317 E Chase St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 915 $1,100 $1.20 44d 1 1.01mi
203 W Commercial St Unit 2F Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 21d 1 1.08mi
2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 990 $895 $0.90 14d 1 1.09mi
2940 N East Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 915 $700 $0.77 14d 1 1.10mi
805 E Garfield St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 14d 1 1.11mi
2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,195 $1.15 44d 1 1.12mi
1034 E McCanse St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 910 $1,150 $1.26 24d 1 1.21mi
1530 N Robberson Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,425 $1.27 44d 1 1.29mi
2337 N Ramsey Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 882 $875 $0.99 14d 1 1.33mi
2153 N National Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1163 $1,195 $1.03 14d 1 1.33mi
716 E Locust St Unit A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 915 $850 $0.93 24d 1 1.45mi
2313 N Rogers Ave Unit 1 Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 882 $950 $1.08 14d 1 1.46mi
3218 N National Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1482 $1,495 $1.01 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 155 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 147 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 136 DOM
  15. 2026-01-14
    listed $145,000 Active 603-char remark
    Show marketing remark (603 chars)

    Introducing a prime investment opportunity! This property offers a wealth of potential for investors seeking to expand their real estate portfolio. This home offers three spacious bedrooms, two bathrooms and a generous living space. The property's central location is a key selling point, with convenient access to schools, parks, shopping and dining, making it an attractive option for renters. Don't miss out on this promising investment opportunity, as it is primed for long-term appreciation and consistent rental income. Act now to secure your foothold in Springfield's thriving real estate market.

  16. 2024-05-23
    listed $135,000 Active
  17. 2023-11-03
    listed $150,000 Active
  18. 2016-05-31
    soldstatus
  19. 2016-05-16
    soldstatus
  20. 2016-04-06
    listed $39,900
  21. 2016-02-22
    listed $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,000 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,406 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$406/yr (+$34/mo · 40.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,697
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,000
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,176
− Management
−$1,176
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,720
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$413
After-tax cash flow
$1,174/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
42,882
Household income
$50,572
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.08%
Current HPI
205.0439
Rent YoY
▲ 4.24%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+154.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $145,000 SOMO
  • 2024-05-23 Listed $135,000 SOMO
  • 2023-11-03 Listed $150,000 SOMO
  • 2016-05-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-05-16 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2016-04-06 Listed $39,900 SOMO
  • 2016-02-22 Listed $57,000 SOMO

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,000 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…