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5028 County Road 27
D Composite 41.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$159,900

5028 County Road 27 · Sylvania, AL 35968
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,096 sqft · SingleFamily · 279 Days on market
0.76 ac lot $146/sqft · 20% below area Est $201k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Peaceful!!! This unique property has served the community well for years as a sweet little beacon of light and hope on Sand Mountain. It could still be a great opportunity to do so as a church with parsonage housing; however, it could also serve as two homes (as the church could easily be converted into a house), a home and guest house or mother-in-law quarters, or rental properties, etc. There are many possibilities! Located in a beautiful area, this property has so much to offer.

Key facts

  • 0.76 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Listed 278 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-366 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (33.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (41.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (41.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#189 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Dekalb County (rural): math 18% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • DeKalb County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $93,502 (41.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.58%
Cap rate
3.54%
Cash-on-cash
-9.82%
DSCR
0.56
GRM
14.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$200,997
List price
$159,900
Delta
-20.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$63,766
Equity at exit
$144,051
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
5.60×
Total profit
$206,157
Equity at exit
$310,651

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35968

Home prices YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
14.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$935 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$-366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,399
Max offer price $106,886
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $159,900 Active 279 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 278 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 277 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 276 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 275 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 273 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $159,900 Active 272 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 269 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 268 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 267 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 266 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,900 Active 263 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 262 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 261 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 260 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 259 DOM
  17. 2025-09-13
    listed $159,900 Active 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Peaceful!!! This unique property has served the community well for years as a sweet little beacon of light and hope on Sand Mountain. It could still be a great opportunity to do so as a church with parsonage housing; however, it could also serve as two homes (as the church could easily be converted into a house), a home and guest house or mother-in-law quarters, or rental properties, etc. There are many possibilities! Located in a beautiful area, this property has so much to offer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,220
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,398
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$898
− Management
−$898
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$7,382
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,772
After-tax cash flow
$-2,625/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dekalb County
NCES district ID
0101140
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$36,655
Composite
22.78/100
National rank
#8023
State rank
#82 of 129 in AL

Livability — Sylvania

Score
63/100
State rank
#189
US rank
#15565

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
2,376
Population (ZIP)
4,540

Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,722 people
By 2030
71,373 · -0.5%
By 2040
69,536 · -3.0%
By 2050
66,020 · -8.0%
By 2075
53,325 · -25.7%
By 2100
36,127 · -49.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb

2024 margin
Solid R (+74.0) · D 12.7% · R 86.7%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.2pp · 2024: -74.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+74.0 2020: R+69.8 2016: R+69.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+51.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.73%
Current HPI
279.1118
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-09-13 Listed $159,900 VMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…