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131 Colt Pl
C+ Composite 62.94
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$235,000

131 Colt Pl · Mount Pocono, PA 18466
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1969 0.27 ac lot $218/sqft · 11% below area Est $264k · 11% under $146/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Escape to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath Pocono chalet located in the amenity-filled Pocono Farms Country Club community. Perfect as a vacation home, short-term rental, or year-round residence, this home captures the essence of classic Pocono living. Inside, you'll find warm tongue-and-groove ceilings and a stunning stone-faced wood-burning fireplace that anchors the living space--ideal for cozy nights and entertaining. The home offers three generously sized bedrooms and a functional layout designed for both everyday living and weekend getaways. Step outside to a spacious, flat backyard--perfect for gatherings, entertaining, or simply relaxing in a peaceful setting. Enjoy evenings around t

Key facts

  • Ample parking
  • Flat backyard
  • Pocono chalet

Tags

POCONO CHALETFLAT BACKYARDDEDICATED FIREPIT AREACOVERED REAR DECKAMPLE PARKINGGOLF COURSE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is in a homeowners association; annual HOA fee translates to approximately $145.83/month
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee ($1,750); Association amenities include security, cabana, clubhouse, meeting/party rooms, picnic area, recreation facilities, golf course, fitness center, tennis courts, basketball court, exterior game court; Association fee covers trash and security

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking (4 spaces); Driveway and off-street parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Private water source; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single family house; Residential property; Used for recreational and residential purposes; Paved road access; Located in Pocono Farms Country Club subdivision
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a house (year built not provided)
  • Exterior features: Rear covered porch; Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Smoke detectors; Wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $235k).
  • Recommended offer: $228k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.1% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $227,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.08%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$263,572
List price
$235,000
Delta
-10.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
109 Wood Duck Pl 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,104 (+2%) 1mo $260,000 $236 78
304 Ruger Ln 0.07mi 3/1.0 968 (-10%) 5mo $282,000 $291 74
113 Colt Pl 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,108 (+3%) 15mo $330,000 $298 72
5142 Iroquois 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,056 (-2%) 21mo $255,000 $241 68
1122 Seven Nations Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,204 (+12%) 12mo $239,950 $199 57
107 Black Bear Ln 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,194 (+11%) 9mo $255,000 $214 54
335 Outer Dr 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,216 (+13%) 17mo $320,000 $263 47
5111 Iroquois St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+11%) 19mo $196,947 $164 45
609 Washington Pl 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,143 (+6%) 23mo $405,000 $354 44
2015 Minqua Trl Trl 0.60mi 3/1.0 960 (-11%) 13mo $175,000 $182 40
112 Ewe Ln 0.74mi 3/1.5 960 (-11%) 8mo $242,500 $253 40
6391 Cherokee Trl 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,176 (+9%) 15mo $291,100 $248 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$38,203
Equity at exit
$97,259
10-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$121,373
Equity at exit
$143,653

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,469 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,353/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$146
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$519
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,117
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3222 Evergreen Cir Unit B Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,950 $1.50 44d 1 1.32mi
3262 Hamlet Dr Coolbaugh Township, PA 3.0 2.0 1200 $3,000 $2.50 43d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$146 · $1,752/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $235,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $235,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $235,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $235,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $235,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $235,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $235,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $235,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $235,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $235,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $235,000 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $235,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $235,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $235,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $235,000 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    listed $235,000 Active 1317-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,353 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,033 · $253/mo
Expected delta
+$680/yr (+$57/mo · 28.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,631
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$2,353
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,371
− Management
−$2,371
− HOA
−$1,752
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable loss
−$390
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$94
After-tax cash flow
$3,434/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $235,000 PMAR

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,353 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…