549 State St · Baden, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located just off PA Rt 65, this well maintained brick building has two units. First floor was used as a massage therapy shop with waiting room, 3 therapy rooms, office, kitchen and bathroom. The second floor is a spacious two-bedroom apt with a large private deck. There are plenty of spaces for parking up to 7 or 8 cars.
Key facts
- Therapy rooms
- Private deck
- Waiting room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
- Recommended offer: $104k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#224 in PA, #1,952 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Ambridge Area SD (suburban): math 23% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #408 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.55%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-596
- Equity at exit
- $17,594
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $23,394
- Equity at exit
- $10,202
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15005
- Home prices YoY
- -31.2%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$148 /mo · $1,770/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $291
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $372 | -5% $331 | +0% $291 | +5% $250 | +10% $209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $180 | -5% $235 | +0% $291 | +5% $346 | +10% $401 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $350 | -0.5pp $321 | base $291 | +0.5pp $260 | +1.0pp $229 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158 Baker St Aliquippa, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,400 | — | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-18days on market $118,000 Active 232 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $118,000 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $118,000 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $118,000 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $118,000 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $118,000 Active 226 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $118,000 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $118,000 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $118,000 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $118,000 Active 217 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $118,000 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $118,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $118,000 Active 214 DOM
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2026-05-09price $118,000 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Located just off PA Rt 65, this well maintained brick building has two units. First floor was used as a massage therapy shop with waiting room, 3 therapy rooms, office, kitchen and bathroom. The second floor is a spacious two-bedroom apt with a large private deck. There are plenty of spaces for parking up to 7 or 8 cars.
-
2026-04-15price $149,000 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Located just off PA Rt 65, this well maintained brick building has two units. First floor was used as a massage therapy shop with waiting room, 3 therapy rooms, office, kitchen and bathroom. The second floor is a spacious two-bedroom apt with a large private deck. There are plenty of spaces for parking up to 7 or 8 cars.
-
2026-03-23price $155,000 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Located just off PA Rt 65, this well maintained brick building has two units. First floor was used as a massage therapy shop with waiting room, 3 therapy rooms, office, kitchen and bathroom. The second floor is a spacious two-bedroom apt with a large private deck. There are plenty of spaces for parking up to 7 or 8 cars.
-
2026-02-15price $175,000 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Located just off PA Rt 65, this well maintained brick building has two units. First floor was used as a massage therapy shop with waiting room, 3 therapy rooms, office, kitchen and bathroom. The second floor is a spacious two-bedroom apt with a large private deck. There are plenty of spaces for parking up to 7 or 8 cars.
-
2025-10-29$178,000 Active 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Located just off PA Rt 65, this well maintained brick building has two units. First floor was used as a massage therapy shop with waiting room, 3 therapy rooms, office, kitchen and bathroom. The second floor is a spacious two-bedroom apt with a large private deck. There are plenty of spaces for parking up to 7 or 8 cars.
-
2022-08-31soldstatus $90,000 Closed 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Well maintained brick building on State Street, just off Route 65 with amazing view of the river. Massage therapy office on first floor; apartment above. The two-bedroom apartment is rented and features a very nice deck and a view of the river. Parking in front and rear of building in addition to on-street parking. Massage therapy office has a waiting/reception area; 3 private rooms; private office and work areas.
-
2022-07-25status Pending 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Well maintained brick building on State Street, just off Route 65 with amazing view of the river. Massage therapy office on first floor; apartment above. The two-bedroom apartment is rented and features a very nice deck and a view of the river. Parking in front and rear of building in addition to on-street parking. Massage therapy office has a waiting/reception area; 3 private rooms; private office and work areas.
-
2022-05-03$145,000 Active 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Well maintained brick building on State Street, just off Route 65 with amazing view of the river. Massage therapy office on first floor; apartment above. The two-bedroom apartment is rented and features a very nice deck and a view of the river. Parking in front and rear of building in addition to on-street parking. Massage therapy office has a waiting/reception area; 3 private rooms; private office and work areas.
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2018-04-20soldstatus Sold
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2018-04-09status Under Contract
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2018-03-17historical Contingent
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2017-09-15$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$1,770
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable income
- $1,709
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$410
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,076/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ambridge Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202440
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,514
- Composite
- 30.62/100
- National rank
- #6190
- State rank
- #408 of 539 in PA
Livability — Baden
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #1952
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baden, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,574
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.56%
- Current HPI
- 234.657
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+38.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $118,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $149,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $155,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-15 Price Changed $175,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-29 Listed $178,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-08-31 Sold (MLS) $90,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-07-25 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2022-05-03 Listed $145,000 West Penn MLS
- 2018-04-20 Sold (MLS) — West Penn MLS
- 2018-04-09 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2018-03-17 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2017-09-15 Listed $85,000 West Penn MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…