🏷️ Likely Rental
5118 11th Ave · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEED A RENTAL TO ADD TO YOUR PORTFOLIO? LOOK NO FURTHER! THIS IS A VERY NICE THREE BEDROOM, ONE BATH HOME THAT IS ALREADY RENTED WITH A HAPP TENANT PAYING 900 HUNDRED A MONTH. LOCATION IS GREAT AND THE HOME IS IN GOOD CONDITION.
Key facts
- Listed 336 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 336 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 9374% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $75k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 336 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.12%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,780
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -34.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5043 Thomason Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (0%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $142 | 80 |
| 5223 Thomason Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+3%) | 1mo | $27,000 | $28 | 72 |
| 1031 E Crockett Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (+13%) | 3mo | $139,900 | $130 | 67 |
| 1037 E Crockett Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,075 (+13%) | 5mo | $142,200 | $132 | 62 |
| 4803 19th Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 975 (+3%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $133 | 58 |
| 713 Turner Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+11%) | 1mo | $158,000 | $150 | 54 |
| 4717 16th Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+12%) | 6mo | $78,000 | $73 | 53 |
| 4714 18th Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+10%) | 5mo | $114,000 | $110 | 52 |
| 1113 Steve Mar Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (-8%) | 12mo | $111,375 | $127 | 48 |
| 1023 Maridele Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,085 (+14%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $157 | 44 |
| 5438 Maltese Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,055 (+11%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $152 | 37 |
| 4907 River Rd | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+14%) | 14mo | $155,000 | $144 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $7,035
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $34,123
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31904
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,196 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,163/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1121 47th St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1061 54th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4207 17th Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 521 46th St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $975 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4226 Oates Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 635 42nd St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $750 | $0.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5614 Lorenzo Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $950 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4308 Saint Francis Ave Unit 4310 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,125 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3909 Crestview Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3519 Woodlawn Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 336 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 335 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 334 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 333 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 330 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 328 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 325 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 322 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 319 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 318 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 317 DOM
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2026-01-04historical $950
-
2025-12-17price $90,000 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
NEED A RENTAL TO ADD TO YOUR PORTFOLIO? LOOK NO FURTHER! THIS IS A VERY NICE THREE BEDROOM, ONE BATH HOME THAT IS ALREADY RENTED WITH A HAPP TENANT PAYING 900 HUNDRED A MONTH. LOCATION IS GREAT AND THE HOME IS IN GOOD CONDITION.
-
2025-11-08$950
-
2025-07-17$100,000 Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
NEED A RENTAL TO ADD TO YOUR PORTFOLIO? LOOK NO FURTHER! THIS IS A VERY NICE THREE BEDROOM, ONE BATH HOME THAT IS ALREADY RENTED WITH A HAPP TENANT PAYING 900 HUNDRED A MONTH. LOCATION IS GREAT AND THE HOME IS IN GOOD CONDITION.
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2024-10-27historical $900
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2024-10-05price $900
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2024-10-03price $950
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2024-09-26$995
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2023-05-18soldstatus $75,000
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2023-05-15soldstatus $75,000 Closed 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
This is the perfect starter home or investment property. The home has been upgraded to total electric. A brand new HVAC system and Hot water heater has been added. The bathroom has been upgraded from a undesirable standing shower to a more functional tub which is perfect for people with small children. Lastly, there's a bonus room that's attached to the home that can be used for relaxation or a home business.
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2023-04-15status Pending 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
This is the perfect starter home or investment property. The home has been upgraded to total electric. A brand new HVAC system and Hot water heater has been added. The bathroom has been upgraded from a undesirable standing shower to a more functional tub which is perfect for people with small children. Lastly, there's a bonus room that's attached to the home that can be used for relaxation or a home business.
-
2023-04-12$75,000 Active 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
This is the perfect starter home or investment property. The home has been upgraded to total electric. A brand new HVAC system and Hot water heater has been added. The bathroom has been upgraded from a undesirable standing shower to a more functional tub which is perfect for people with small children. Lastly, there's a bonus room that's attached to the home that can be used for relaxation or a home business.
-
2018-10-23$27,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,163 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,163 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,354
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,163
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,148
- − Management
- −$1,148
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,784
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$668
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,394/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,405
- Household income
- $66,291
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2030.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 28% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.06%
- Current HPI
- 155.1405
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.04%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+227.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-04 Rental Removed $950 CBOR
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $90,000 CBOR
- 2025-11-08 Listed for Rent $950 CBOR
- 2025-07-17 Listed $100,000 CBOR
- 2024-10-27 Rental Removed $900 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-05 Price Changed $900 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-03 Price Changed $950 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-26 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
- 2023-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-15 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CBOR
- 2023-04-15 Pending — CBOR
- 2023-04-12 Listed $75,000 CBOR
- 2018-10-23 Listed $27,500 CBOR
Property tax history
+55.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,163 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…