CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5118 11th Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

5118 11th Ave · Columbus, GA 31904
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 336 Days on market
Built 1971 $95/sqft · 34% below area Est $137k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NEED A RENTAL TO ADD TO YOUR PORTFOLIO? LOOK NO FURTHER! THIS IS A VERY NICE THREE BEDROOM, ONE BATH HOME THAT IS ALREADY RENTED WITH A HAPP TENANT PAYING 900 HUNDRED A MONTH. LOCATION IS GREAT AND THE HOME IS IN GOOD CONDITION.

Key facts

  • Listed 336 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $90,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$136,780) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 336 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 9374% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 336 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.81%
Cash-on-cash
16.12%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,780
List price
$90,000
Delta
-34.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5043 Thomason Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 950 (0%) 4mo $135,000 $142 80
5223 Thomason Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (+3%) 1mo $27,000 $28 72
1031 E Crockett Dr 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,075 (+13%) 3mo $139,900 $130 67
1037 E Crockett Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,075 (+13%) 5mo $142,200 $132 62
4803 19th Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 975 (+3%) 8mo $130,000 $133 58
713 Turner Rd 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+11%) 1mo $158,000 $150 54
4717 16th Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+12%) 6mo $78,000 $73 53
4714 18th Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+10%) 5mo $114,000 $110 52
1113 Steve Mar Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 875 (-8%) 12mo $111,375 $127 48
1023 Maridele Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,085 (+14%) 11mo $170,000 $157 44
5438 Maltese Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,055 (+11%) 14mo $160,000 $152 37
4907 River Rd 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,080 (+14%) 14mo $155,000 $144 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$7,035
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$34,123
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31904

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,196 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,163/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $768
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1121 47th St Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 43d 1 0.42mi
1061 54th St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1005 $1,100 $1.09 21d 1 0.52mi
4207 17th Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1006 $1,350 $1.34 43d 1 0.84mi
521 46th St Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 954 $975 $1.02 43d 1 0.87mi
4226 Oates Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 1.5 960 $1,100 $1.15 21d 1 1.01mi
635 42nd St Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 1008 $750 $0.74 21d 1 1.03mi
5614 Lorenzo Rd Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 1112 $950 $0.85 43d 1 1.07mi
4308 Saint Francis Ave Unit 4310 Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,125 $1.12 21d 1 1.12mi
3909 Crestview Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,250 $1.13 13d 1 1.13mi
3519 Woodlawn Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1028 $1,350 $1.31 13d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 336 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 335 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 334 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 333 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 331 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 330 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $90,000 Active 328 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 327 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 326 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 325 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $90,000 Active 322 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 321 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 320 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 319 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 318 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $90,000 Active 317 DOM
  17. 2026-01-04
    historical $950
  18. 2025-12-17
    price $90,000 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    NEED A RENTAL TO ADD TO YOUR PORTFOLIO? LOOK NO FURTHER! THIS IS A VERY NICE THREE BEDROOM, ONE BATH HOME THAT IS ALREADY RENTED WITH A HAPP TENANT PAYING 900 HUNDRED A MONTH. LOCATION IS GREAT AND THE HOME IS IN GOOD CONDITION.

  19. 2025-11-08
    listed $950
  20. 2025-07-17
    listed $100,000 Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    NEED A RENTAL TO ADD TO YOUR PORTFOLIO? LOOK NO FURTHER! THIS IS A VERY NICE THREE BEDROOM, ONE BATH HOME THAT IS ALREADY RENTED WITH A HAPP TENANT PAYING 900 HUNDRED A MONTH. LOCATION IS GREAT AND THE HOME IS IN GOOD CONDITION.

  21. 2024-10-27
    historical $900
  22. 2024-10-05
    price $900
  23. 2024-10-03
    price $950
  24. 2024-09-26
    listed $995
  25. 2023-05-18
    soldstatus $75,000
  26. 2023-05-15
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    This is the perfect starter home or investment property. The home has been upgraded to total electric. A brand new HVAC system and Hot water heater has been added. The bathroom has been upgraded from a undesirable standing shower to a more functional tub which is perfect for people with small children. Lastly, there's a bonus room that's attached to the home that can be used for relaxation or a home business.

  27. 2023-04-15
    status Pending 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    This is the perfect starter home or investment property. The home has been upgraded to total electric. A brand new HVAC system and Hot water heater has been added. The bathroom has been upgraded from a undesirable standing shower to a more functional tub which is perfect for people with small children. Lastly, there's a bonus room that's attached to the home that can be used for relaxation or a home business.

  28. 2023-04-12
    listed $75,000 Active 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    This is the perfect starter home or investment property. The home has been upgraded to total electric. A brand new HVAC system and Hot water heater has been added. The bathroom has been upgraded from a undesirable standing shower to a more functional tub which is perfect for people with small children. Lastly, there's a bonus room that's attached to the home that can be used for relaxation or a home business.

  29. 2018-10-23
    listed $27,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,163 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,163 · $97/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,354
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,163
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,148
− Management
−$1,148
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$2,784
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$668
After-tax cash flow
$3,394/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muscogee County
NCES district ID
1303870
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,176
Composite
21.6/100
National rank
#8297
State rank
#120 of 174 in GA

Livability — Columbus

Score
64/100
State rank
#254
US rank
#14102

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbus, GA
County
Muscogee County · 180,764 people
City population
180,764
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
Population (ZIP)
35,405
Household income
$66,291
Rent vs Own
48.2% rent · 51.8% own
Severe rent burden
2030.0

Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
216,729 people
By 2030
224,504 · +3.6%
By 2040
238,318 · +10.0%
By 2050
249,027 · +14.9%
By 2075
264,862 · +22.2%
By 2100
254,786 · +17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 28% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
2008→2024 swing
+3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.06%
Current HPI
155.1405
Rent YoY
▲ 3.04%
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+227.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-04 Rental Removed $950 CBOR
  • 2025-12-17 Price Changed $90,000 CBOR
  • 2025-11-08 Listed for Rent $950 CBOR
  • 2025-07-17 Listed $100,000 CBOR
  • 2024-10-27 Rental Removed $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-05 Price Changed $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-03 Price Changed $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-09-26 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2023-05-15 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CBOR
  • 2023-04-15 Pending CBOR
  • 2023-04-12 Listed $75,000 CBOR
  • 2018-10-23 Listed $27,500 CBOR

Property tax history

+55.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,163 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…