2050 Marye St · Alexandria, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$107,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors this beautiful home sets on a corner lot, has garage and pool, deck for entertaining, and beautiful landscaped yard. Home does need some repairs and updating but is listed for a fast sell. Interior has a fireplace, hardwood flooring, c/a/h, and large rooms. Call now for your showing this one will not last at this price!
Key facts
- Garage
- Landscaped yard
- Pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $107k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $107k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.9% in Alexandria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#160 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Rapides Parish (urban): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #31 of 98 in LA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 239 units permitted in Rapides Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $740 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rapides County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $74k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.54%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $29,233
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1731 Elliott St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,250 (-2%) | 3mo | $7,500 | $6 | 73 |
| 2037 Day St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,289 (+1%) | 4mo | $5,500 | $4 | 63 |
| 2127 Hill St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,215 (-4%) | 1mo | $134,000 | $110 | 60 |
| 2309 Hill St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,160 (-9%) | 3mo | $87,900 | $76 | 60 |
| 1923 Kelly St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,361 (+7%) | 0mo | $28,000 | $21 | 59 |
| 18 Mary St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (-6%) | 7mo | $41,800 | $35 | 52 |
| 31 Gordon Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,194 (-6%) | 1mo | $27,000 | $23 | 51 |
| 2236 Paris St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,402 (+10%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $14 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,099
- Equity at exit
- $15,954
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $17,984
- Equity at exit
- $9,251
Cash invested: $29,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71301
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,336 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$561
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,539/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $238
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,750
- Closing costs
- $3,210
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-03status Pending
-
2026-03-14price $107,000
-
2026-02-23soldstatus $73,964
-
2026-01-24$117,000 Active
-
2022-12-31historical
-
2022-08-24$262,500 Active
-
2022-06-08$249,000
-
2019-10-01soldstatus $237,000
-
2019-06-27$240,000
-
2013-05-21$200,000
-
2004-10-21$218,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,539 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,539 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,032
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,994
- − Property taxes
- −$2,539
- − Insurance
- −$535
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,283
- − Management
- −$1,283
- − Depreciation
- −$3,113
- Taxable income
- $1,287
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$309
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rapides Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201290
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,057
- Composite
- 30.68/100
- National rank
- #6179
- State rank
- #31 of 98 in LA
Livability — Alexandria
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #160
- US rank
- #13698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alexandria, LA
- City population
- 25,138
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,266
Population outlook (Rapides County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,047 people
- By 2030
- 132,333 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 129,355 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 124,535 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 110,338 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 88,641 · -33.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rapides
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.8) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -28.7pp · 2024: -36.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.8 2020: R+32.1 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+28.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.38%
- Current HPI
- 184.9889
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-50.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $107,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $73,964 Public Records
- 2026-01-24 Listed $117,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-12-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2022-08-24 Listed $262,500 NTREIS
- 2022-06-08 Listed $249,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $237,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-27 Listed $240,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2013-05-21 Listed $200,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2004-10-21 Listed $218,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,539 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…