1275 Baker Rd · Virginia Beach, VA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.47%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Selling a nice 4 bedroom 3 full baths double wide mobile home -3 car driveway -New Roof -New Toilet -walk in shower in one bedroom other bathrooms have been updated with newer updates. -his and hers sink in Master bedroom -New flooring -New Windows -Central ac and heating Has a nice size porch on both sides with entry to the home on both sides. -luxury center finish -washer, dryer, stove, microwave, refrigerator all included in sale. -concrete walkway outside with outdoor shed for storage or to put whatever you would like. (Colonial Run Mobile home park) Lot rent - 755$ a month which includes water, sewage, trash ( electric and heat will be separate) Must apply with the front office and
Key facts
- Built 1996
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $90k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
- Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.57%
- DSCR
- 3.65
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $72,327
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 67.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.82×
- Total profit
- $197,082
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23455
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,371 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $1,251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1151 Hillock Xing Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1410 | $1,975 | $1.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1136 Gleaning Close Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1456 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 7d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1124 Gleaning Close Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,995 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1636 King William Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $2,200 | $1.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1939 Darnell Dr Unit 1 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1584 | $2,000 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1944 Darnell Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5632 Campus Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1581 | $2,201 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5684 Campus Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $2,495 | $1.84 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 913 Turtle Pond Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1976 | $2,850 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5545 Old Guard Cres Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1581 | $2,350 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5500 Baccalaureate Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5403 Scholarship Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-26$90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,451
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,276
- − Management
- −$2,276
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $14,439
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,465
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,547/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This double-wide mobile home has a good interior and updated bathrooms, but requires repairs to the exterior and landscaping to improve its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Significant damage and wear
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown yard needs trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Improves curb appeal and rental value
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Significant damage and wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown yard needs trimming | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Va Beach City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103840
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,452
- Composite
- 63.81/100
- National rank
- #594
- State rank
- #10 of 131 in VA
Livability — Virginia Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia Beach, VA
- County
- Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
- City population
- 448,227
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,977
- Household income
- $94,069
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1820.0
Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,401 people
- By 2030
- 491,221 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 504,882 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 508,847 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 504,831 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 465,867 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.34%
- Current HPI
- 296.3753
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $90,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…