15703 Candice Ln · Abbeville, LA 70510

$105,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured · 32 Days on market

Built 2011 1.43 ac lot Est $105k · at est. ↓ 19% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Tucked away at the end of a quiet dead-end road, this 2011 single-wide mobile home offers the privacy and space you've been looking for on 1.433 acres. The property features a generously sized 27x33 attached carport, complete with an outdoor cooking area that's ready for weekend gatherings and everyday convenience. The land has been professionally graded to promote proper drainage, adding peace of mind along with functionality. Out back, a covered porch provides a comfortable spot to relax, with two separate stair access points--one leading to the carport and the other to a fenced section, perfect for pets to roam safely. Additional highlights include a storage shed located just off the car

Key facts

• Outdoor cooking area
• Covered porch
• Attached carport

Tags

• ATTACHED CARPORT
• OUTDOOR COOKING AREA
• PROFESSIONALLY GRADED LAND
• COVERED PORCH
• FENCED SECTION
• STORAGE SHED

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
• Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 6.6% in Abbeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#94 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Vermilion Parish (town): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #15 of 98 in LA (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 180 active listings in the ZIP; 228 units permitted in Vermilion Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Vermilion County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.48% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.42%
• DSCR: 2.09
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $104,960
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
15711 Candice Ln	0.11mi	3/2.0	1,216 (-5%)	9mo	$100,000	$82	79

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 14.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.57×
• Total profit: $16,860
• Equity at exit: $15,656

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.98×
• Total profit: $58,314
• Equity at exit: $9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70510

• Active inventory: 180
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,554 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$551
• Tax from tax record: −$35 /mo · $419/yr
• Insurance: −$44
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$326
• Net cashflow: $532

Break-even live

Break-even rent $881

Max offer price $105,000

Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $26,250
• Closing costs: $3,150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $105,000 Active 29 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $105,000 Active 27 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $105,000 Active 26 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $105,000 Active 24 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $105,000 Active 23 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $105,000 Active 22 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 21 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 17 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $105,000 Active 16 DOM
13. 2026-04-04
    status Pending
14. 2026-03-20
    listed $105,000 Active
15. 2025-08-14
    price $115,000
16. 2025-05-20
    price $120,000
17. 2025-04-07
    listed $130,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $419 · $35/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $578 · $48/mo
• Expected delta: +$159/yr (+$13/mo · 37.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,646
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,882
• − Property taxes: −$419
• − Insurance: −$1,322
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,492
• − Management: −$1,492
• − Depreciation: −$3,055
• Taxable income: $4,985
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,196
• After-tax cash flow: $5,185/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Vermilion Parish
• NCES district ID: 2201800
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -38.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -32.00%
• Median HH income: $45,115
• Composite: 39.37/100
• National rank: #3974
• State rank: #15 of 98 in LA

Livability — Abbeville

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #94
• US rank: #9800

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 23,909

Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 64,095 people
• By 2030: 65,915 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 68,985 · +7.6%
• By 2050: 70,804 · +10.5%
• By 2075: 73,897 · +15.3%
• By 2100: 71,793 · +12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (65%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 65% Black 24% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 15% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Vietnam, Canada
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Vietnamese 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.6% · R 81.4% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.3pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -63.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+63.8 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+59.6 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+47.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -70.44%
• Current HPI: 97.6131
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

-19.2% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-04 Pending — AcadianaMLS
• 2026-03-20 Listed $105,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2025-08-14 Price Changed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2025-05-20 Price Changed $120,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2025-04-07 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $419 · +37.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.