The Emerson Plan · Georgetown, MI 49428

$494,500

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,037 sqft · SingleFamily · 430 Days on market

Fair condition ↓ 4% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +6.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Cash flow +1.8/30.0
• 1% rule +0.0/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

You don't need more stories to make plenty of room for memories. The expansive ranch design of the Emerson puts a great deal of home on one floor, including an owner's suite that's nothing short of a private retreat, with his and her vanities and a walk-in closet. Two or three additional spacious bedrooms on the first floor, make it easy to keep the family connected-everyone's on the level! Stroll the main floor's vast square footage, and you'll notice the many details that elevate Emerson's grand scale to upscale, all at an affordable price: arched hallways; family entrance with (optional) lockers and benches; kitchen with snack ledge; and an inviting gathering room, bathed in light from its many windows. Outside, the deck provides sliding door access from both the kitchen and owner's suite, while the garage offers a surprise … a third stall tandem garage. This space-saving design delivers storage without taking up more homesite. Finally, for even more living area, the lower level awaits your optional investment in two additional bedrooms, a full bath and a huge rec room with serious space for some fabulous fun. The Emerson could be the have-it-all home you've always wanted!

Key facts

• 2 garage spots
• Listed 429 days

🏗️ New construction. The $494,500 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $602,925.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $494k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-27k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $272k (45.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (51.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $238k (51.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 1.7% vs local median 2.6% in Georgetown — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Hudsonville Public School District (suburban): math 55% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #32 of 540 in MI (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Georgetown Elementary School (math 67% / reading 74%, grade A-, #70 of 1,397 statewide, top 5%, 581 students, 10% FRL); Baldwin Street Middle School (math 48% / reading 73%, grade B+, #51 of 493 statewide, top 11%, 844 students, 13% FRL); Hudsonville High School (math 52% / reading 68%, grade C+, #73 of 713 statewide, top 11%, 1,513 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 430 days — a 12% lower offer ($435k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $238,000 (51.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 430 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.39% ✗
• Cap rate: 1.74%
• Cash-on-cash: -16.25%
• DSCR: 0.28
• GRM: 21.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $602,925
• List price: $494,500
• Delta: -17.98%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8366 Bauerridge Ave	0.36mi	4/2.5 (+1)	2,255 (+11%)	0mo	$560,000	$248	60
8329 Stonington Dr	0.40mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,825 (-10%)	10mo	$385,000	$211	49
3353 Eagle Peak Dr	0.32mi	4/2.5 (+1)	2,308 (+13%)	17mo	$550,000	$238	44
8271 Ironstone Ave	0.48mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,225 (+9%)	15mo	$455,000	$204	43
3048 Gilmore Ln	0.73mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,946 (-4%)	14mo	$420,000	$216	42
8253 Eagle Peak Dr	0.32mi	4/2.5 (+1)	2,308 (+13%)	22mo	$546,210	$237	39
8253 Eagle Peak Dr	0.45mi	4/2.5 (+1)	2,308 (+13%)	22mo	$546,210	$237	33
8432 Tucker Ct	0.68mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,791 (-12%)	15mo	$400,000	$223	29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -48.1%
• Equity multiple: -0.44×
• Total profit: $-243,291
• Equity at exit: $89,898

10-year hold

• IRR: -92.7%
• Equity multiple: -1.36×
• Total profit: $-399,226
• Equity at exit: $52,130

Cash invested: $168,819 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 22 active · 4 under contract
• Months of supply: 16.5 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $510,500 ($251/sqft)
• Median days on market: 109 d
• This list price: 36% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +17.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 49428

• Active inventory: 204
• Price-to-rent: 17.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,380 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,162
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$754 /mo · $9,044/yr
• Insurance: −$251
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$500
• Net cashflow: $-2,286

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,274

Max offer price $272,068

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-1,870	-5% $-2,078	+0% $-2,286	+5% $-2,495	+10% $-2,703
Rent	-10% $-2,474	-5% $-2,380	+0% $-2,286	+5% $-2,192	+10% $-2,098
Rate	-1.0pp $-1,983	-0.5pp $-2,133	base $-2,286	+0.5pp $-2,443	+1.0pp $-2,602

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $150,731
• Closing costs: $18,088
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4638 Rockport Dr Hudsonville, MI	2.0–3.0	2.0–2.5	1448	$2,380	$1.64	15d	4	1.36mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-08-08
   days on market $494,500 Active 430 DOM
2. 2026-08-07
   days on market $494,500 Active 429 DOM
3. 2026-08-06
   days on market $494,500 Active 428 DOM
4. 2026-08-05
   days on market $494,500 Active 427 DOM
5. 2026-08-04
   days on market $494,500 Active 426 DOM
6. 2026-08-03
   days on market $494,500 Active 425 DOM
7. 2026-07-31
   days on market $494,500 Active 422 DOM
8. 2026-07-30
   days on market $494,500 Active 421 DOM
9. 2026-07-30
   days on market $494,500 Active 420 DOM
10. 2026-07-28
    days on market $494,500 Active 419 DOM
11. 2026-07-26
    days on market $494,500 Active 417 DOM
12. 2026-07-25
    days on market $494,500 Active 416 DOM
13. 2026-07-24
    days on market $494,500 Active 415 DOM
14. 2026-07-23
    days on market $494,500 Active 414 DOM
15. 2026-07-22
    days on market $494,500 Active 413 DOM
16. 2026-07-21
    days on market $494,500 Active 412 DOM
17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $494,500 Active 409 DOM
18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $494,500 Active 407 DOM
19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $494,500 Active 406 DOM
20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $494,500 Active 405 DOM
21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $494,500 Active 404 DOM
22. 2026-07-12
    days on market $494,500 Active 403 DOM
23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $494,500 Active 402 DOM
24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $494,500 Active 401 DOM
25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $494,500 Active 400 DOM
26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $494,500 Active 398 DOM
27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $494,500 Active 397 DOM
28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $494,500 Active 396 DOM
29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $494,500 Active 394 DOM
30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $494,500 Active 393 DOM
31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $494,500 Active 392 DOM
32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $494,500 Active 391 DOM
33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $494,500 Active 390 DOM
34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $494,500 Active 389 DOM
35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $494,500 Active 388 DOM
36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $494,500 Active 387 DOM
37. 2026-06-25
    days on market $494,500 Active 385 DOM
38. 2026-06-23
    days on market $494,500 Active 383 DOM
39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $494,500 Active 382 DOM
40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $494,500 Active 379 DOM
41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $494,500 Active 378 DOM
42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $494,500 Active 377 DOM
43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $494,500 Active 376 DOM
44. 2026-06-14
    days on market $494,500 Active 374 DOM
45. 2026-06-10
    days on market $494,500 Active 371 DOM
46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $494,500 Active 370 DOM
47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $494,500 Active 369 DOM
48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $494,500 Active 368 DOM
49. 2026-06-03
    days on market $494,500 Active 364 DOM
50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $494,500 Active 363 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,560
• − Mortgage interest: −$33,773
• − Property taxes: −$9,044
• − Insurance: −$3,015
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,285
• − Management: −$2,285
• − Depreciation: −$17,540
• Taxable loss: −$39,381
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$9,451
• After-tax cash flow: $-17,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $50,925–$91,665 screening

The Emerson home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and enhance its resale and rental value. Key areas for improvement include painting, HVAC maintenance, landscaping, and updating the kitchen and bathrooms.

Repairs flagged

• Minor Kitchen countertops — Visible wear and tear on the countertops.
• Minor Kitchen cabinets — Slight damage and wear on the cabinet doors.
• Minor Bathroom fixtures — Visible signs of wear on the bathroom sinks and bathtubs.
• Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration and minor wear on the siding.
• Minor Hardwood floors — Worn appearance that could be improved with refinishing.
• Minor Paint — Faded paint in the kitchen and bathrooms that could be refreshed.
• Minor Windows — Some frames show signs of wear that could be addressed.
• Minor HVAC unit — Old unit that may need maintenance or replacement.
• Minor Landscaping — Basic landscaping that could be improved to enhance curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint refresh — Refreshing the paint in the kitchen and bathrooms would improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
• Both HVAC maintenance — Maintaining the HVAC unit would improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Landscaping upgrade — Upgrading the landscaping would enhance curb appeal and potentially increase the home's value. ↑
• Both Floor refinishing — Refinishing the hardwood floors would improve their appearance and add value to the home. ↑
• Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating the countertops and fixtures in the kitchen and bathrooms would improve the home's functionality and aesthetic appeal, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 62/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Bauer Elementary School B+ MI #105/1,397 Nat'l #4,366/41,679 Middle Baldwin Street Middle School B+ MI #51/493 Nat'l #1,738/14,009 High Hudsonville High School C+ MI #73/713 Nat'l #3,545/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hudsonville Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2618840
• Math proficiency: 55% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 70% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $69,784
• Composite: 54.98/100
• National rank: #1301
• State rank: #32 of 540 in MI

Livability — Georgetown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Ottawa · 313,561 people
• Metro: Grand Rapids-Wyoming-Kentwood, MI
• Population (ZIP): 28,090
• Household income: $92,290
• Rent vs Own: 15.2% rent · 84.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 19% of renters

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Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 313,561 people
• By 2030: 330,027 · +5.3%
• By 2040: 361,118 · +15.2%
• By 2050: 388,414 · +23.9%
• By 2075: 452,175 · +44.2%
• By 2100: 473,041 · +50.9%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 37% Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

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Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.0% · R 59.5% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -20.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -234.19%
• Current HPI: 264.7304
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

-3.9% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-03 Price Changed $494,500 Zillow
• 2025-07-15 Price Changed $514,600 Zillow
• 2025-06-04 Listed $514,800 Zillow