629 Long Hollow Rd · Scottsboro, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special in Scottsboro! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project. There is plenty of opportunity to add value, but this property needs repairs and updates and is being sold as-is. Don't miss this chance to make it your own!
Key facts
- 0.45 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with front entry; Driveway parking; Two total garage spaces (both on main level)
- Utilities: Public water; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing residence; Single-story living (rooms listed at level 1); Lot described as acreage
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: No waterfront; No pool; No patio; No garden/patio; Decks present (covered and open)
Interior
- Kitchen: Solid surface countertops; Gas cooktop
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Hardwood laminate; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms with tub/shower combos
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Tile fireplace surround in the living room; One gas fireplace in the living room; Ceilings with additional details (see remarks); No additional built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup; Attic present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $883 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Cap rate 25.5% vs local median 3.1% in Scottsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#21 in AL, #4,752 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Scottsboro City (town): math 27% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #27 of 129 in AL (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Scottsboro High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #70 of 305 statewide, top 27%, 739 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.77%
- DSCR
- 4.06
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $224,280
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237 Long Hollow Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (+9%) | 9mo | $165,500 | $120 | 60 |
| 277 Chesapeake Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-9%) | 23mo | $204,500 | $178 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.07×
- Total profit
- $47,296
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 72.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.37×
- Total profit
- $113,562
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35768
- Home prices YoY
- -16.1%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $364/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $883
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $914 | -5% $898 | +0% $883 | +5% $867 | +10% $851 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $760 | -5% $821 | +0% $883 | +5% $944 | +10% $1,005 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $910 | -0.5pp $897 | base $883 | +0.5pp $868 | +1.0pp $854 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $55,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 298-char remark
-
2026-06-09$70,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $364 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $364 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$364
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,488
- − Management
- −$1,488
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $10,300
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,472
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,118/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scottsboro City
- NCES district ID
- 0102940
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,210
- Composite
- 33.67/100
- National rank
- #5388
- State rank
- #27 of 129 in AL
Livability — Scottsboro
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #4752
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scottsboro, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,394
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,261 people
- By 2030
- 48,655 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 45,119 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 41,518 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 33,507 · -33.3%
- By 2100
- 26,385 · -47.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.4) · D 13.9% · R 85.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.5pp toward R · 2008: -36.9pp · 2024: -71.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.4 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+62.5 2012: R+41.9 2008: R+36.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.15%
- Current HPI
- 193.1223
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $70,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
-16.7%/yrLatest (2025): $364 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…