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629 Long Hollow Rd
B- Composite 69.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

629 Long Hollow Rd · Scottsboro, AL 35768
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1960 0.45 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special in Scottsboro! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project. There is plenty of opportunity to add value, but this property needs repairs and updates and is being sold as-is. Don't miss this chance to make it your own!

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with front entry; Driveway parking; Two total garage spaces (both on main level)
  • Utilities: Public water; Internet service available
  • Home design: Existing residence; Single-story living (rooms listed at level 1); Lot described as acreage
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: No waterfront; No pool; No patio; No garden/patio; Decks present (covered and open)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Solid surface countertops; Gas cooktop
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Hardwood laminate; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms with tub/shower combos
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Tile fireplace surround in the living room; One gas fireplace in the living room; Ceilings with additional details (see remarks); No additional built-in interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup; Attic present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $883 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Cap rate 25.5% vs local median 3.1% in Scottsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#21 in AL, #4,752 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Scottsboro City (town): math 27% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #27 of 129 in AL (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Scottsboro High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #70 of 305 statewide, top 27%, 739 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.82%
Cap rate
25.55%
Cash-on-cash
68.77%
DSCR
4.06
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$224,280
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
237 Long Hollow Rd 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,376 (+9%) 9mo $165,500 $120 60
277 Chesapeake Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,150 (-9%) 23mo $204,500 $178 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
68.2%
Equity multiple
4.07×
Total profit
$47,296
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
72.3%
Equity multiple
8.37×
Total profit
$113,562
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35768

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $364/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$883

Break-even live

Break-even rent $433
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $914 -5% $898 +0% $883 +5% $867 +10% $851
Rent -10% $760 -5% $821 +0% $883 +5% $944 +10% $1,005
Rate -1.0pp $910 -0.5pp $897 base $883 +0.5pp $868 +1.0pp $854

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    price $55,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    remarks 298-char remark
  11. 2026-06-09
    listed $70,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$364 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$364 · $30/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,596
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$364
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$10,300
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,472
After-tax cash flow
$8,118/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scottsboro City
NCES district ID
0102940
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,210
Composite
33.67/100
National rank
#5388
State rank
#27 of 129 in AL

Livability — Scottsboro

Score
74/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#4752

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsboro, AL
Population (ZIP)
12,394

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,261 people
By 2030
48,655 · -3.2%
By 2040
45,119 · -10.2%
By 2050
41,518 · -17.4%
By 2075
33,507 · -33.3%
By 2100
26,385 · -47.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.4) · D 13.9% · R 85.4%
2008→2024 swing
-34.5pp toward R · 2008: -36.9pp · 2024: -71.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.4 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+62.5 2012: R+41.9 2008: R+36.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.15%
Current HPI
193.1223
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $70,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

-16.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $364 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…