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99 Pinebark Ln
B- Composite 69.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

99 Pinebark Ln · Greensboro, NC 27214
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,960 sqft · Other · 25 Days on market
Built 1990 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

?? 3 Bed / 2 Bath Doublewide for Sale & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Autumn Forest Community ?? Looking for space, comfort, and natural light? This beautiful doublewide mobile home has it all! ? 3 Bedrooms / 2 Bathrooms ? Bright open layout with a skylight ? Spacious kitchen & amp; living area ? Located in the peaceful Autumn Forest community ?? Financing options available & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; making it easier to own your home! ??? Lot rent: $645/month ?? Convenient location close to shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. ?? Message now or come apply today to schedule a tour or get more details! We support Equal Housing Opportunity and welcome all qualified

Key facts

  • Bright open layout
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Skylight

Tags

BRIGHT OPEN LAYOUTSKYLIGHTSPACIOUS KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 33.0% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,175 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.70%
Cap rate
33.04%
Cash-on-cash
95.52%
DSCR
5.25
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
96.4%
Equity multiple
5.49×
Total profit
$69,194
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
99.1%
Equity multiple
11.45×
Total profit
$160,913
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27214

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,033 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$427
Net cashflow
$1,226

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,264 -5% $1,245 +0% $1,226 +5% $1,207 +10% $1,188
Rent -10% $1,065 -5% $1,146 +0% $1,226 +5% $1,306 +10% $1,386
Rate -1.0pp $1,254 -0.5pp $1,240 base $1,226 +0.5pp $1,212 +1.0pp $1,197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $55,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-25
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,394
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,952
− Management
−$1,952
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$14,710
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,530
After-tax cash flow
$11,180/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This doublewide mobile home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof and siding, replacement of flooring and HVAC system, and painting. These updates would significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Signs of significant damage
  • Major exterior siding — Visible discoloration and possible damage
  • Major flooring — Worn and in need of replacement
  • Major HVAC system — Appears old and may need replacement

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace roof — Critical for structural integrity and value
  • Both replace flooring — Improves living space and value
  • Both replace HVAC system — Enhances comfort and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Signs of significant damage Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Visible discoloration and possible damage Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Worn and in need of replacement Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · Appears old and may need replacement Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace roof — Critical for structural integrity and value
  • Both replace flooring — Improves living space and value
  • Both replace HVAC system — Enhances comfort and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — Greensboro

Score
81/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1335

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
329,421
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
14,766
Household income
$82,655
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
32.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 35% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Hispanic 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.20%
Current HPI
249.9252
Rent YoY
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $55,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…