123 E Pine St · Johnsonville, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom 1 bath home in town limits of Johnsonville. Needs a little TLC but priced to sell. Storage building outback to convey. Kitchen appliances to convey.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1949
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: For sale
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 2 parking spaces (total)
- Home design: Single-story residence; Resale property
- Exterior features: Lot is approximately 0.34 acres; Zoned residential
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#130 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Florence 05 (rural): math 34% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #42 of 80 in SC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 657 units permitted in Florence County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $79k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.99%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $66,457
- Equity at exit
- $71,169
- IRR
- 33.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.01×
- Total profit
- $177,184
- Equity at exit
- $153,480
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29555
- Home prices YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,054 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $205/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $368
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $413 | -5% $391 | +0% $368 | +5% $346 | +10% $324 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $285 | -5% $327 | +0% $368 | +5% $410 | +10% $452 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $408 | -0.5pp $389 | base $368 | +0.5pp $348 | +1.0pp $327 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $79,000 Pending 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active Under Contract 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
-
2026-05-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-07price $79,000
-
2026-04-27price $85,000
-
2026-03-30$99,000 Active
-
2024-03-07soldstatus $40,000
-
1989-02-28soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $205 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $450 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- +$246/yr (+$20/mo · 120.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,648
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$205
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,012
- − Management
- −$1,012
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $3,302
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$792
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,629/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence 05
- NCES district ID
- 4502250
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,894
- Composite
- 30.11/100
- National rank
- #6337
- State rank
- #42 of 80 in SC
Livability — Johnsonville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #12738
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnsonville, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,804
Population outlook (Florence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 141,714 people
- By 2030
- 142,121 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 141,344 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 139,478 · -1.6%
- By 2075
- 132,275 · -6.7%
- By 2100
- 118,374 · -16.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (54%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 44% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Florence
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.0) · D 45.3% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.2pp · 2024: -8.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.0 2020: R+2.3 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+0.5 2008: R+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.40%
- Current HPI
- 250.9896
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+426.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — CCAR
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $79,000 CCAR
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $85,000 CCAR
- 2026-03-30 Listed $99,000 CCAR
- 2024-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1989-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $205 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…