🏷️ Likely Rental
316 E 23rd Ave · Cordele, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,250
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Four Bedroom, two bath home in Cordele City limits priced to sell!! Home is currently rented for $850 per month. Would make a great investment property to continue to rent or a wonderful first-time buyer home! Shown by Appointment only!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 52 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.17 acre; Lot features listed as Other; Public records used for living area and lot size
- HOA & community: No HOA; No association fees listed
Exterior
- Parking: No on-site parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; House; Built in 1950; Residential property; Resale
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Metal roof; Built in 1950
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Double pane windows; Street lights in the community
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level living; Dining room and living room combined; Family room; Laundry room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.1% in Cordele — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#556 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Crisp County (rural): math 20% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 174 in GA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 21 units permitted in Crisp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $618 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crisp County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.85%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,872
- List price
- $89,250
- Delta
- -35.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615 E 28th Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,449 (-7%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $128 | 67 |
| 510 E 25th Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,664 (+7%) | 6mo | $219,000 | $132 | 65 |
| 505 E 29th Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,614 (+3%) | 8mo | $206,500 | $128 | 61 |
| 623 E 25th Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,379 (-12%) | 10mo | $159,900 | $116 | 58 |
| 312 E 17th Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,446 (-7%) | 5mo | $36,000 | $25 | 53 |
| 702 E 17th Ave | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,640 (+5%) | 10mo | $162,050 | $99 | 50 |
| 606 E 17th Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (-7%) | 16mo | $88,200 | $61 | 49 |
| 624 E 25th Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,762 (+13%) | 16mo | $170,000 | $96 | 49 |
| 724 E 26th Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,338 (-14%) | 6mo | $183,500 | $137 | 47 |
| 810 E 29th Ave, Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,724 (+10%) | 13mo | $214,000 | $124 | 40 |
| 810 E 29th Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,725 (+10%) | 13mo | $214,000 | $124 | 40 |
| 714 E 18th Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,355 (-13%) | 12mo | $166,200 | $123 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $19,824
- Equity at exit
- $13,307
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $61,395
- Equity at exit
- $7,717
Cash invested: $24,990 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31015
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$468
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $811/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $538
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,312
- Closing costs
- $2,678
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1506 S Pecan St Cordele, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,415 | $1.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1516 E 20th Ave Cordele, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,390 | $1.26 | 20d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,250 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,250 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,250 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,250 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,250 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,250 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,250 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,250 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,250 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,250 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,250 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,250 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,250 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,250 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,250 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-27$89,250 Active 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four Bedroom, two bath home in Cordele City limits priced to sell!! Home is currently rented for $850 per month. Would make a great investment property to continue to rent or a wonderful first-time buyer home! Shown by Appointment only!
-
2026-04-24$89,250 New 236-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $811 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $821 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$10/yr (+$1/mo · 1.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,879
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,999
- − Property taxes
- −$811
- − Insurance
- −$446
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,350
- − Management
- −$1,350
- − Depreciation
- −$2,596
- Taxable income
- $5,326
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,278
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,183/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crisp County
- NCES district ID
- 1301560
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,681
- Composite
- 16.68/100
- National rank
- #9168
- State rank
- #143 of 174 in GA
Livability — Cordele
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #556
- US rank
- #24483
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cordele, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,615
Population outlook (Crisp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,484 people
- By 2030
- 20,594 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 18,691 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 16,769 · -21.9%
- By 2075
- 12,329 · -42.6%
- By 2100
- 8,591 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 47% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Crisp
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.9% · R 62.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -25.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.9 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+22.7 2012: R+13.8 2008: R+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.99%
- Current HPI
- 182.3676
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $89,250 CABOR
- 2026-04-24 Listed $89,250 GAMLS
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $811 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…