711 Highway 162 · Porterdale, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This sweet humble abode is waiting for its new owners! Bring this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 1 acre back to life with your special touch. Just a short distance from downtown Covington and Spring Hill Park, making this a great option for a primary home or an investment property.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1923
- Listed 251 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (2.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.0% in Porterdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Newton County (suburban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 174 in GA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Newton County Theme School At Ficquett (math 49% / reading 65%, grade C+, #151 of 1,228 statewide, top 13%, 977 students, 29% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 7% / reading 15%, grade F, #426 of 470 statewide, top 91%, 944 students, 85% FRL); Alcovy High School (math 3% / reading 12%, grade F, #378 of 424 statewide, top 91%, 1,991 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 449 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,480 units permitted in Newton County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 251 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $199k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 251 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.39%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $251,174
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- -20.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 653 Highway 162 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,156 (-8%) | 22mo | $255,000 | $221 | 57 |
| 30 Copeland Cir | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (+5%) | 22mo | $264,900 | $200 | 53 |
| 117 Tempie Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (+0%) | 18mo | $230,000 | $181 | 51 |
| 1095 Ridge Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (-5%) | 15mo | $230,000 | $191 | 43 |
| 125 Darby Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+11%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $167 | 42 |
| 60 Barberry Cir | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,167 (-8%) | 22mo | $295,000 | $253 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-15,652
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,473
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30016
- Home prices YoY
- -8.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 449
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,951 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,415/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $409 | -5% $353 | +0% $297 | +5% $240 | +10% $184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $143 | -5% $220 | +0% $297 | +5% $374 | +10% $451 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $397 | -0.5pp $347 | base $297 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $193 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Weldon Pl Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,799 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 205 Highgrove Dr Covington, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1364 | $1,849 | $1.36 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 150 Wynfield Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,798 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 85 Lakeside Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,710 | $1.13 | 6d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 75 Wynfield Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,890 | $1.63 | 0d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 150 Lakeside Dr Covington, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1264 | $2,060 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 35 Spring Rd Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $1,810 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 50 Spring Valley Trce Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1597 | $1,790 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 27 Elm St Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 35 Tamalynn Trl Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1829 | $1,890 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 15 Magan Ct Porterdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $1,725 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 15 Magan Ct Porterdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $1,750 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 355 Sunflower Ln Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1829 | $1,855 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
This sweet humble abode is waiting for its new owners! Bring this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 1 acre back to life with your special touch. Just a short distance from downtown Covington and Spring Hill Park, making this a great option for a primary home or an investment property.
-
2026-05-05status Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
This sweet humble abode is waiting for its new owners! Bring this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 1 acre back to life with your special touch. Just a short distance from downtown Covington and Spring Hill Park, making this a great option for a primary home or an investment property.
-
2026-05-05status Back On Market
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
This sweet humble abode is waiting for its new owners! Bring this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 1 acre back to life with your special touch. Just a short distance from downtown Covington and Spring Hill Park, making this a great option for a primary home or an investment property.
-
2026-04-30historical
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
This sweet humble abode is waiting for its new owners! Bring this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 1 acre back to life with your special touch. Just a short distance from downtown Covington and Spring Hill Park, making this a great option for a primary home or an investment property.
-
2026-04-30historical 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
This sweet humble abode is waiting for its new owners! Bring this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 1 acre back to life with your special touch. Just a short distance from downtown Covington and Spring Hill Park, making this a great option for a primary home or an investment property.
-
2026-04-30historical 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
This sweet humble abode is waiting for its new owners! Bring this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 1 acre back to life with your special touch. Just a short distance from downtown Covington and Spring Hill Park, making this a great option for a primary home or an investment property.
-
2025-10-08$199,000 New
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
This sweet humble abode is waiting for its new owners! Bring this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 1 acre back to life with your special touch. Just a short distance from downtown Covington and Spring Hill Park, making this a great option for a primary home or an investment property.
-
2025-10-08$199,000 Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
This sweet humble abode is waiting for its new owners! Bring this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 1 acre back to life with your special touch. Just a short distance from downtown Covington and Spring Hill Park, making this a great option for a primary home or an investment property.
-
2025-10-08$199,000 Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
This sweet humble abode is waiting for its new owners! Bring this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home on 1 acre back to life with your special touch. Just a short distance from downtown Covington and Spring Hill Park, making this a great option for a primary home or an investment property.
-
2022-10-04historical
-
2022-08-12$245,000
-
2022-07-25historical
-
2022-07-25historical
-
2022-03-15price $134,000
-
2022-02-23$134,000
-
2022-02-22$135,000 New
-
2021-12-17soldstatus $85,000 Sold
-
2021-12-17soldstatus $85,000
-
2021-12-16status Under Contract
-
2021-12-16historical
-
2021-12-04status Under Contract
-
2021-12-03historical
-
2021-12-03status Under Contract
-
2021-12-02historical
-
2021-11-23status Under Contract
-
2021-11-23price $99,500
-
2021-11-19$125,000 New
-
1977-08-29soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,415 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,831 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- +$416/yr (+$35/mo · 29.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,409
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,415
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,873
- − Management
- −$1,873
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $317
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$76
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,484/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newton County
- NCES district ID
- 1303930
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,768
- Composite
- 19.2/100
- National rank
- #8816
- State rank
- #137 of 174 in GA
Livability — Porterdale
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #447
- US rank
- #21362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Newton County · 104,393 people
- City population
- 76
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,968
- Household income
- $79,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1172.0
Population outlook (Newton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,372 people
- By 2030
- 124,234 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 135,550 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 145,309 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 166,843 · +40.9%
- By 2100
- 175,800 · +48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Newton
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 57.3% · R 42.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+10.9 2016: D+2.4 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.68%
- Current HPI
- 317.5605
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+1005.6% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-10-08 Listed $199,000 FMLS
- 2025-10-08 Listed $199,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-10-08 Listed $199,000 GAMLS
- 2022-10-04 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2022-08-12 Listed $245,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-07-25 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2022-07-25 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2022-03-15 Price Changed $134,000 GAMLS
- 2022-02-23 Listed $134,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-02-22 Listed $135,000 GAMLS
- 2021-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-17 Sold (MLS) $85,000 GAMLS
- 2021-12-16 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-12-16 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2021-12-04 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-12-03 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2021-12-03 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-12-02 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2021-11-23 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-11-23 Price Changed $99,500 GAMLS
- 2021-11-19 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
- 1977-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+32.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,415 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…