3426 1/2 Luke St · West Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for your next place to call home? Look no further! This 3-bedroom, 1 bath home is just waiting for you to add your own personal touches to! This property is one that you must really see to believe. Call to schedule your showing today before this property slips away! *Buyer to verify all tax, room dimensions and school information*
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1995
- Listed 216 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 7.7% in West Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.70%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,969
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -37.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 Opal Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (-4%) | 8mo | $117,500 | $116 | 60 |
| 202 Emerald Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,012 (-4%) | 6mo | $137,500 | $136 | 59 |
| 27 Cloverland Ct | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (0%) | 9mo | $114,900 | $109 | 57 |
| 1020 E Madison Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,042 (-1%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $168 | 56 |
| 3412 W Maxwell St | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 975 (-8%) | 12mo | $195,000 | $200 | 56 |
| 1019 E Madison Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,065 (+1%) | 12mo | $176,000 | $165 | 56 |
| 78 Hunter Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+12%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $114 | 53 |
| 1984 Gary Cir | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 988 (-6%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $106 | 51 |
| 2406 W Jordan St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,126 (+7%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $133 | 51 |
| 3411 W Maxwell St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-14%) | 16mo | $158,000 | $173 | 50 |
| 2004 Glenwood Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-15%) | 8mo | $109,900 | $122 | 40 |
| 2706 W Baars St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+14%) | 17mo | $145,000 | $121 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $12,443
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $58,671
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32505
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,503 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $428
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $504 | -5% $466 | +0% $428 | +5% $390 | +10% $352 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $309 | -5% $369 | +0% $428 | +5% $488 | +10% $547 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $483 | -0.5pp $456 | base $428 | +0.5pp $400 | +1.0pp $371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3417 W Fisher St Unit C Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 707 New York Dr Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,185 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3206 W Lee St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1218 N Kirk St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 852 Garnet St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2303 W Brainerd St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 221 Edison Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,598 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 918 Montclair Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $109,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $119,900 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Looking for your next place to call home? Look no further! This 3-bedroom, 1 bath home is just waiting for you to add your own personal touches to! This property is one that you must really see to believe. Call to schedule your showing today before this property slips away! *Buyer to verify all tax, room dimensions and school information*
-
2026-03-10price $129,900 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Looking for your next place to call home? Look no further! This 3-bedroom, 1 bath home is just waiting for you to add your own personal touches to! This property is one that you must really see to believe. Call to schedule your showing today before this property slips away! *Buyer to verify all tax, room dimensions and school information*
-
2026-02-11price $139,900 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Looking for your next place to call home? Look no further! This 3-bedroom, 1 bath home is just waiting for you to add your own personal touches to! This property is one that you must really see to believe. Call to schedule your showing today before this property slips away! *Buyer to verify all tax, room dimensions and school information*
-
2026-01-01price $149,900 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Looking for your next place to call home? Look no further! This 3-bedroom, 1 bath home is just waiting for you to add your own personal touches to! This property is one that you must really see to believe. Call to schedule your showing today before this property slips away! *Buyer to verify all tax, room dimensions and school information*
-
2025-11-14$159,900 Active 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Looking for your next place to call home? Look no further! This 3-bedroom, 1 bath home is just waiting for you to add your own personal touches to! This property is one that you must really see to believe. Call to schedule your showing today before this property slips away! *Buyer to verify all tax, room dimensions and school information*
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,040
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,443
- − Management
- −$1,443
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $3,602
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$865
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,273/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home requires moderate renovations to improve its appearance and value. Key areas for improvement include updating the kitchen cabinets and bathroom fixtures, and painting the interior walls.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of updating
- Minor exterior paint — yellow siding could benefit from a fresh coat
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — Dated cabinets can be a turn-off for potential buyers
- Both replace bathroom fixtures — Outdated fixtures can be a deal-breaker for renters and buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior paint · yellow siding could benefit from a fresh coat | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance ↑
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — Dated cabinets can be a turn-off for potential buyers ↑
- Both replace bathroom fixtures — Outdated fixtures can be a deal-breaker for renters and buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Pensacola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #12275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,877
- Household income
- $44,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 205.45
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-25.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $119,900 PARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $129,900 PARMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $139,900 PARMLS
- 2026-01-01 Price Changed $149,900 PARMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $159,900 PARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…