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114 Cr 317
B Composite 72.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$299,000

114 Cr 317 · Eureka Springs, AR 72632
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,204 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1970 0.26 ac lot Est $299k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Dandelion Cottage at Lake Lucerne - a storybook retreat minutes from downtown Eureka Springs. This charming English-inspired cottage overlooks the tranquil waters of private Lake Lucerne. Inviting living room features a gas fireplace and large windows that frame the surrounding woods and water. The lakeside deck sits just off the living area. A serene bedroom on the main floor overlooks the deck and lake. A dedicated whirlpool tub room offers a spa-like escape with a picture window showcasing trees, rock formations and the lake! The upper level has a spacious bedroom with an adjoining sitting room. A 1/2 bath and private deck complete the second floor. New roof! Whether used as a personal g

Key facts

  • Private deck
  • Gas fireplace
  • Lakeside deck

Tags

GAS FIREPLACELAKESIDE DECKWHIRLPOOL TUB ROOMPRIVATE DECKNEW ROOFCOMMERCIALLY ZONED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 1.7% in Eureka Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#78 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities D.
  • Eureka Springs School District (rural): math 37% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #61 of 238 in AR (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 30 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carroll County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $299,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
12.49%
Cash-on-cash
22.14%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$298,592
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
114 Cr 317 0.00mi 2/1.5 1,204 (0%) 0mo $299,000 $248 98

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$65,285
Equity at exit
$61,012
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$197,046
Equity at exit
$54,973

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72632

Home prices YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,222 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,175/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$887
Net cashflow
$1,545

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,266
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,714 -5% $1,630 +0% $1,545 +5% $1,460 +10% $1,376
Rent -10% $1,211 -5% $1,378 +0% $1,545 +5% $1,712 +10% $1,878
Rate -1.0pp $1,695 -0.5pp $1,621 base $1,545 +0.5pp $1,467 +1.0pp $1,389

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
493 County Road 340 Unit 1221911P Eureka Springs, AR 1.0 1.0 710 $4,222 $5.95 14d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $299,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,175 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,914 · $159/mo
Expected delta
+$739/yr (+$62/mo · 62.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$50,664
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$1,175
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,053
− Management
−$4,053
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable income
$14,441
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,466
After-tax cash flow
$15,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eureka Springs School District
NCES district ID
0505970
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$37,912
Composite
34.55/100
National rank
#5171
State rank
#61 of 238 in AR

Livability — Eureka Springs

Score
68/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#9085

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
4,550
Population (ZIP)
4,550

Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,014 people
By 2030
28,006 · +-0.0%
By 2040
28,242 · +0.8%
By 2050
29,169 · +4.1%
By 2075
33,935 · +21.1%
By 2100
39,497 · +41.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carroll

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.7) · D 33.0% · R 64.7% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-13.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -31.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.7 2020: R+28.8 2016: R+32.3 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.79%
Current HPI
284.3048
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $299,000 NWARMLS

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,175 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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