114 Cr 317 · Eureka Springs, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Dandelion Cottage at Lake Lucerne - a storybook retreat minutes from downtown Eureka Springs. This charming English-inspired cottage overlooks the tranquil waters of private Lake Lucerne. Inviting living room features a gas fireplace and large windows that frame the surrounding woods and water. The lakeside deck sits just off the living area. A serene bedroom on the main floor overlooks the deck and lake. A dedicated whirlpool tub room offers a spa-like escape with a picture window showcasing trees, rock formations and the lake! The upper level has a spacious bedroom with an adjoining sitting room. A 1/2 bath and private deck complete the second floor. New roof! Whether used as a personal g
Key facts
- Private deck
- Gas fireplace
- Lakeside deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 1.7% in Eureka Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#78 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities D.
- Eureka Springs School District (rural): math 37% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #61 of 238 in AR (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 30 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carroll County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.14%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $298,592
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Cr 317 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,204 (0%) | 0mo | $299,000 | $248 | 98 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $65,285
- Equity at exit
- $61,012
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $197,046
- Equity at exit
- $54,973
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72632
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,222 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$887
- Net cashflow
- $1,545
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,714 | -5% $1,630 | +0% $1,545 | +5% $1,460 | +10% $1,376 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,211 | -5% $1,378 | +0% $1,545 | +5% $1,712 | +10% $1,878 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,695 | -0.5pp $1,621 | base $1,545 | +0.5pp $1,467 | +1.0pp $1,389 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 493 County Road 340 Unit 1221911P Eureka Springs, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $4,222 | $5.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-23$299,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,175 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,914 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- +$739/yr (+$62/mo · 62.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$1,175
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,053
- − Management
- −$4,053
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable income
- $14,441
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,466
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,073/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eureka Springs School District
- NCES district ID
- 0505970
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,912
- Composite
- 34.55/100
- National rank
- #5171
- State rank
- #61 of 238 in AR
Livability — Eureka Springs
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #9085
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 4,550
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,550
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,014 people
- By 2030
- 28,006 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 28,242 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 29,169 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 33,935 · +21.1%
- By 2100
- 39,497 · +41.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.7) · D 33.0% · R 64.7% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -31.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.7 2020: R+28.8 2016: R+32.3 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.79%
- Current HPI
- 284.3048
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $299,000 NWARMLS
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,175 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…