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25651 Mcdonald St
B Composite 73.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

25651 Mcdonald St · Dearborn Heights, MI 48125
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,586 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1957 5,227 sqft lot Est $187k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This two story 3 bedroom home has an eat-in kitchen, a living room, a family room, 1 bath, and a 1 car garage. Buyer to assume any city required repairs for Certificate of Occupancy Property sold as is. Home needs a new roof see disclosure

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Two-story home; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Built with other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 132 (0.12 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 5.5% in Dearborn Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, health & safety D+.
  • Westwood Community School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #529 of 540 in MI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Thorne Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 599 students, 88% FRL); Tomlinson Middle School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #453 of 493 statewide, top 93%, 174 students, 93% FRL); Robichaud Senior High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #692 of 713 statewide, top 98%, 323 students, 84% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $94k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $117,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
10.80%
Cash-on-cash
16.09%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$187,148
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25521 Stanford St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,576 (-1%) 1mo $155,000 $98 86
25646 Stanford St 0.28mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,568 (-1%) 1mo $230,000 $147 71
25004 Powers Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,607 (+1%) 4mo $170,000 $106 71
25047 Pennie St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,653 (+4%) 7mo $142,500 $86 69
25719 Colgate St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,696 (+7%) 8mo $220,000 $130 63
26274 Mcdonald St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,396 (-12%) 0mo $105,000 $75 56
5869 Marvin St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,450 (-9%) 9mo $195,000 $134 54
24435 Andover Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,638 (+3%) 9mo $185,000 $113 52
24613 Hopkins St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,439 (-9%) 8mo $185,000 $129 46
25020 Hanover St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,354 (-15%) 11mo $180,000 $133 43
25825 Carlysle St 0.57mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,380 (-13%) 9mo $69,900 $51 37
25045 Andover St 0.53mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,358 (-14%) 10mo $160,000 $118 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$8,016
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$38,948
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48125

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
139
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,721 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$183 /mo · $2,195/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$469

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,127
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $540 -5% $505 +0% $469 +5% $434 +10% $399
Rent -10% $333 -5% $401 +0% $469 +5% $537 +10% $605
Rate -1.0pp $532 -0.5pp $501 base $469 +0.5pp $437 +1.0pp $404

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25699 Pennie St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1699 $1,600 $0.94 0d 1 0.14mi
26159 Stanford St Inkster, MI 4.0 1.0 1056 $1,350 $1.28 7d 1 0.42mi
26274 McDonald St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1365 $1,575 $1.15 0d 1 0.42mi
24601 Andover Dr Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,700 $1.56 4d 1 0.69mi
24738 New York St Dearborn, MI 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,800 $1.39 5d 1 1.03mi
25745 Princeton St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,500 $1.39 13d 1 1.05mi
3901 Academy St Dearborn Heights, MI 4.0 2.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 0d 1 1.32mi
24926 Hickory St Dearborn, MI 3.0 1.0 2040 $1,695 $0.83 0d 1 1.39mi
5503 Cranbrook St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 2.5 2143 $1,750 $0.82 20d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $125,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-03-31
    listed $145,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (239 chars)

    This two story 3 bedroom home has an eat-in kitchen, a living room, a family room, 1 bath, and a 1 car garage. Buyer to assume any city required repairs for Certificate of Occupancy Property sold as is. Home needs a new roof see disclosure

  17. 2026-03-31
    listed $145,000 Active 239-char remark
    Show marketing remark (239 chars)

    This two story 3 bedroom home has an eat-in kitchen, a living room, a family room, 1 bath, and a 1 car garage. Buyer to assume any city required repairs for Certificate of Occupancy Property sold as is. Home needs a new roof see disclosure

  18. 2020-01-10
    soldstatus $93,500
  19. 2019-10-21
    historical
  20. 2019-10-21
    historical
  21. 2019-02-24
    listed $93,500 Active
  22. 2019-02-24
    listed $93,500 Active
  23. 2017-05-11
    soldstatus $50,000
  24. 2017-04-25
    soldstatus $50,000 Sold
  25. 2017-04-25
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed
  26. 2017-02-01
    status Pending
  27. 2017-02-01
    status Pending
  28. 2016-07-19
    price $57,500
  29. 2016-07-18
    price $57,500
  30. 2016-06-01
    listed $58,900 Active
  31. 2016-06-01
    listed $58,900 Active
  32. 2016-06-01
    historical
  33. 2016-06-01
    historical
  34. 2016-04-16
    status Active
  35. 2016-03-02
    historical
  36. 2016-03-01
    listed $58,900 Active
  37. 2015-07-10
    price $58,900
  38. 2015-06-21
    status Active
  39. 2015-05-12
    historical
  40. 2015-03-04
    listed $59,900 Active
  41. 2015-02-28
    historical
  42. 2015-02-27
    historical
  43. 2014-03-26
    listed $59,900 Active
  44. 2014-03-26
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,195 · $183/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,195 · $183/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,656
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,195
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,652
− Management
−$1,652
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$3,893
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$934
After-tax cash flow
$4,698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westwood Community School District
NCES district ID
2611640
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$36,350
Composite
7.06/100
National rank
#9967
State rank
#529 of 540 in MI

Livability — Dearborn Heights

Score
79/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1885

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dearborn Heights, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
61,771
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,125
Household income
$60,195
Rent vs Own
32.1% rent · 67.9% own
Severe rent burden
654.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Arab 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 13% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -214.70%
Current HPI
218.4698
Rent YoY
▲ 2.03%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+142.1% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $93,500 Public Records
  • 2019-10-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-10-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-02-24 Listed $93,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-02-24 Listed $93,500 REALCOMP
  • 2017-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2017-04-25 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-04-25 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-02-01 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-02-01 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-07-19 Price Changed $57,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-07-18 Price Changed $57,500 REALCOMP
  • 2016-06-01 Listed $58,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-06-01 Listed $58,900 REALCOMP
  • 2016-06-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-06-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2016-04-16 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-03-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-03-01 Listed $58,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-07-10 Price Changed $58,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-06-21 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2015-05-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-03-04 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-02-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-02-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-03-26 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-03-26 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,195 · -32.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…