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12 Neptune Ln
C- Composite 51.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$320,000

12 Neptune Ln · Burlington, NJ 08046
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,497 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1968 8,712 sqft lot Est $334k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 12 Neptune Lane where you will find this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath Cape-Cod style home on a spacious corner lot in a quiet area of Willingboro. The interior is freshly painted, with newly installed engineered hardwood floors throughout the house that compliment the remodeled bathrooms with new vanities and medicine cabinets. The main floor consists of 2 bedrooms, a full bath , a well-lit living room, and an Eat-in kitchen with an elegant french door exiting to the outside patio. A stairway leading to the second floor is where you will find the master bedroom, another bedroom, and a full bath. This beautiful property has a double driveway, a garage, a walkway leads to a side entry with a big mudroom, and a good sized storage shed in the yard as well. Make this house your new Home. Schedule your appointment today!

Key facts

  • Practical layout
  • Newer roof
  • Ample bedroom sizes

Tags

NEWER ROOFWELL MAINTAINED PROPERTYGENEROUS LIVING SPACESAMPLE BEDROOM SIZESPRACTICAL LAYOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $320k).
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.6% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#89 in NJ, #2,359 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F.
  • Willingboro Public School District (suburban): math 5% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #433 of 472 in NJ (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $193k; list at $320k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $320,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.08%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$333,831
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12 Neptune Ln 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,497 (0%) 2mo $325,000 $217 98
283 Northampton Dr 0.08mi 4/2.0 1,500 (+0%) 0mo $380,000 $253 96
30 Newport Ln 0.06mi 4/2.0 1,573 (+5%) 6mo $335,000 $213 84
534 Charleston Rd 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,444 (-4%) 2mo $407,000 $282 64
139 Hillcrest Ln 0.59mi 4/2.0 1,562 (+4%) 4mo $325,000 $208 62
29 Northampton Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,322 (-12%) 9mo $332,000 $251 60
77 Harrington Cir 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,570 (+5%) 4mo $345,000 $220 59
60 Hasting Ln 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,570 (+5%) 9mo $350,000 $223 57
111 Hazelwood Cir 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,570 (+5%) 2mo $370,000 $236 56
38 Hepburn 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,696 (+13%) 8mo $380,000 $224 48
50 Hinsdale Ln 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,570 (+5%) 6mo $342,600 $218 47
31 Henderson Ln 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,696 (+13%) 1mo $280,000 $165 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-27,586
Equity at exit
$47,713
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$7,562
Equity at exit
$27,668

Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08046

Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,422 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$512 /mo · $6,149/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$719
Net cashflow
$379

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,942
Max offer price $320,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,000
Closing costs
$9,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
89 Hampshire Ln Willingboro, NJ 4.0 2.0 1562 $3,400 $2.18 10d 1 0.56mi
106 Whaler Way Burlington, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0 932 $2,585 $2.77 1d 1 0.71mi
34 Hopkins Ln Willingboro, NJ 3.0 2.0 1696 $3,200 $1.89 1d 1 0.75mi
29 Hinsdale Ln Willingboro, NJ 4.0 2.0 1570 $3,750 $2.39 1d 1 0.82mi
5 Burgess Ln Willingboro, NJ 5.0 2.0 1864 $4,500 $2.41 1d 1 0.99mi
16 Elridge Ln Willingboro, NJ 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,650 $1.96 1d 1 1.01mi
62 Sharpless Blvd Westampton, NJ 3.0 1.5 1490 $2,275 $1.53 1d 1 1.14mi
4 Elliot Ln Westampton, NJ 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,900 $1.93 1d 1 1.35mi
10 Melville Ln Willingboro, NJ 4.0 2.5 1797 $3,000 $1.67 15d 1 1.43mi
41 Messenger Ln Willingboro, NJ 5.0 2.0 1497 $3,500 $2.34 5d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-03-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-16
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-02-09
    listed $320,000 Active
  4. 2020-10-29
    soldstatus $193,000
  5. 2020-08-30
    historical 838-char remark
    Show marketing remark (838 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Neptune Lane where you will find this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath Cape-Cod style home on a spacious corner lot in a quiet area of Willingboro. The interior is freshly painted, with newly installed engineered hardwood floors throughout the house that compliment the remodeled bathrooms with new vanities and medicine cabinets. The main floor consists of 2 bedrooms, a full bath , a well-lit living room, and an Eat-in kitchen with an elegant french door exiting to the outside patio. A stairway leading to the second floor is where you will find the master bedroom, another bedroom, and a full bath. This beautiful property has a double driveway, a garage, a walkway leads to a side entry with a big mudroom, and a good sized storage shed in the yard as well. Make this house your new Home. Schedule your appointment today!

  6. 2020-08-26
    soldstatus $193,000 Closed 838-char remark
    Show marketing remark (838 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Neptune Lane where you will find this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath Cape-Cod style home on a spacious corner lot in a quiet area of Willingboro. The interior is freshly painted, with newly installed engineered hardwood floors throughout the house that compliment the remodeled bathrooms with new vanities and medicine cabinets. The main floor consists of 2 bedrooms, a full bath , a well-lit living room, and an Eat-in kitchen with an elegant french door exiting to the outside patio. A stairway leading to the second floor is where you will find the master bedroom, another bedroom, and a full bath. This beautiful property has a double driveway, a garage, a walkway leads to a side entry with a big mudroom, and a good sized storage shed in the yard as well. Make this house your new Home. Schedule your appointment today!

  7. 2020-06-27
    status Pending 838-char remark
    Show marketing remark (838 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Neptune Lane where you will find this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath Cape-Cod style home on a spacious corner lot in a quiet area of Willingboro. The interior is freshly painted, with newly installed engineered hardwood floors throughout the house that compliment the remodeled bathrooms with new vanities and medicine cabinets. The main floor consists of 2 bedrooms, a full bath , a well-lit living room, and an Eat-in kitchen with an elegant french door exiting to the outside patio. A stairway leading to the second floor is where you will find the master bedroom, another bedroom, and a full bath. This beautiful property has a double driveway, a garage, a walkway leads to a side entry with a big mudroom, and a good sized storage shed in the yard as well. Make this house your new Home. Schedule your appointment today!

  8. 2020-06-26
    price $193,000 838-char remark
    Show marketing remark (838 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Neptune Lane where you will find this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath Cape-Cod style home on a spacious corner lot in a quiet area of Willingboro. The interior is freshly painted, with newly installed engineered hardwood floors throughout the house that compliment the remodeled bathrooms with new vanities and medicine cabinets. The main floor consists of 2 bedrooms, a full bath , a well-lit living room, and an Eat-in kitchen with an elegant french door exiting to the outside patio. A stairway leading to the second floor is where you will find the master bedroom, another bedroom, and a full bath. This beautiful property has a double driveway, a garage, a walkway leads to a side entry with a big mudroom, and a good sized storage shed in the yard as well. Make this house your new Home. Schedule your appointment today!

  9. 2019-11-05
    price $185,000 838-char remark
    Show marketing remark (838 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Neptune Lane where you will find this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath Cape-Cod style home on a spacious corner lot in a quiet area of Willingboro. The interior is freshly painted, with newly installed engineered hardwood floors throughout the house that compliment the remodeled bathrooms with new vanities and medicine cabinets. The main floor consists of 2 bedrooms, a full bath , a well-lit living room, and an Eat-in kitchen with an elegant french door exiting to the outside patio. A stairway leading to the second floor is where you will find the master bedroom, another bedroom, and a full bath. This beautiful property has a double driveway, a garage, a walkway leads to a side entry with a big mudroom, and a good sized storage shed in the yard as well. Make this house your new Home. Schedule your appointment today!

  10. 2019-10-14
    price $190,000 838-char remark
    Show marketing remark (838 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Neptune Lane where you will find this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath Cape-Cod style home on a spacious corner lot in a quiet area of Willingboro. The interior is freshly painted, with newly installed engineered hardwood floors throughout the house that compliment the remodeled bathrooms with new vanities and medicine cabinets. The main floor consists of 2 bedrooms, a full bath , a well-lit living room, and an Eat-in kitchen with an elegant french door exiting to the outside patio. A stairway leading to the second floor is where you will find the master bedroom, another bedroom, and a full bath. This beautiful property has a double driveway, a garage, a walkway leads to a side entry with a big mudroom, and a good sized storage shed in the yard as well. Make this house your new Home. Schedule your appointment today!

  11. 2019-10-08
    listed $198,000 Active 838-char remark
    Show marketing remark (838 chars)

    Welcome to 12 Neptune Lane where you will find this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath Cape-Cod style home on a spacious corner lot in a quiet area of Willingboro. The interior is freshly painted, with newly installed engineered hardwood floors throughout the house that compliment the remodeled bathrooms with new vanities and medicine cabinets. The main floor consists of 2 bedrooms, a full bath , a well-lit living room, and an Eat-in kitchen with an elegant french door exiting to the outside patio. A stairway leading to the second floor is where you will find the master bedroom, another bedroom, and a full bath. This beautiful property has a double driveway, a garage, a walkway leads to a side entry with a big mudroom, and a good sized storage shed in the yard as well. Make this house your new Home. Schedule your appointment today!

  12. 2006-04-24
    soldstatus $229,900
  13. 2006-03-28
    soldstatus $229,900 517-char remark
    Show marketing remark (517 chars)

    BACK ON THE MARKET AFTER 6 MONTHS OF NO SHOWINGS!! You can't help but fall in love with this absolutely gorgeous house. A beautiful kitchen with glass front cabinets, new appliances and pergo floors. New french doors leading onto a perfect patio. New carpet and fresh paint. New heater and central air. New washer & dryer. A double driveway and a garage. A side patio leading to a side entry with a big mudroom to leave coats & shoes. Everything is clean, new and perfect. This house is a dream come true.

  14. 2006-01-17
    historical 517-char remark
    Show marketing remark (517 chars)

    BACK ON THE MARKET AFTER 6 MONTHS OF NO SHOWINGS!! You can't help but fall in love with this absolutely gorgeous house. A beautiful kitchen with glass front cabinets, new appliances and pergo floors. New french doors leading onto a perfect patio. New carpet and fresh paint. New heater and central air. New washer & dryer. A double driveway and a garage. A side patio leading to a side entry with a big mudroom to leave coats & shoes. Everything is clean, new and perfect. This house is a dream come true.

  15. 2005-06-21
    listed $229,900 517-char remark
    Show marketing remark (517 chars)

    BACK ON THE MARKET AFTER 6 MONTHS OF NO SHOWINGS!! You can't help but fall in love with this absolutely gorgeous house. A beautiful kitchen with glass front cabinets, new appliances and pergo floors. New french doors leading onto a perfect patio. New carpet and fresh paint. New heater and central air. New washer & dryer. A double driveway and a garage. A side patio leading to a side entry with a big mudroom to leave coats & shoes. Everything is clean, new and perfect. This house is a dream come true.

  16. 2005-06-13
    soldstatus $158,000
  17. 2004-05-21
    soldstatus $158,900
  18. 2004-03-22
    historical
  19. 2004-03-08
    listed $158,900
  20. 2000-06-10
    historical
  21. 2000-04-20
    soldstatus $86,000
  22. 2000-03-27
    soldstatus $86,000
  23. 2000-02-25
    historical
  24. 2000-01-31
    listed $86,000
  25. 1999-01-10
    listed $91,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,149 · $512/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,059 · $588/mo
Expected delta
+$909/yr (+$76/mo · 14.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,059
− Mortgage interest
−$17,925
− Property taxes
−$6,149
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,285
− Management
−$3,285
− Depreciation
−$9,309
Taxable loss
−$494
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$119
After-tax cash flow
$4,668/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Willingboro Public School District
NCES district ID
3418000
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$67,064
Composite
17.37/100
National rank
#9074
State rank
#433 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Burlington

Score
78/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#2359

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Burlington County · 323,710 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
31,981
Household income
$98,178
Rent vs Own
15.8% rent · 84.2% own
Severe rent burden
342.0

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 14% White 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Swiss 4% Romanian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -273.52%
Current HPI
348.3441
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+251.6% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-16 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $320,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $193,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-08-26 Sold (MLS) $193,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-27 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-26 Price Changed $193,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-05 Price Changed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-14 Price Changed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-08 Listed $198,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $229,900 Public Records
  • 2006-03-28 Sold (MLS) $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-01-17 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-06-21 Listed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-21 Sold (MLS) $158,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-03-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-03-08 Listed $158,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-06-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 2000-03-27 Sold (MLS) $86,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-02-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-01-31 Listed $86,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-01-10 Listed $91,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,149 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…