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215 W Nezpique St W
B+ Composite 76.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

215 W Nezpique St W · Jennings, LA 70546
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,854 sqft · SingleFamily · 318 Days on market
Built 1944 15,246 ac lot $48/sqft · 38% below area Est $145k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE Great investment property. 4 bedroom 2 baths located near downtown Jennings. Lots of potential. Would make great flip, or rental. Home is located in flood zone X. Owner/Agent. Home does need work inside.

Key facts

  • 15246 acre lot
  • Built 1944
  • Listed 317 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 6.2% in Jennings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#228 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jefferson Davis Parish (town): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 98 in LA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Jefferson Davis Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson Davis County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
14.00%
Cash-on-cash
27.53%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$144,651
List price
$89,900
Delta
-37.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
306 Clara St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,962 (+6%) 15mo $252,500 $129 63
523 E Nezpique St E 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,965 (+6%) 1mo $170,000 $87 60
415 Decker St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,977 (+7%) 18mo $225,000 $114 57
423 E 1st St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,710 (-8%) 12mo $64,500 $38 54
707 Decker St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,018 (+9%) 13mo $145,000 $72 53
523 Broussard Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,653 (-11%) 3mo $190,000 $115 46
610 Fifth St 0.74mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,770 (-4%) 8mo $194,000 $110 45
526 1st St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,720 (-7%) 22mo $200,000 $116 39
803 Scott St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,790 (-4%) 21mo $115,500 $65 38
206 S Sherman St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,592 (-14%) 14mo $159,000 $100 34
603 E Fourth St 0.67mi 4/3.0 2,054 (+11%) 20mo $165,000 $80 30
606 Harrington St 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,607 (-13%) 17mo $52,000 $32 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-4,715
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$9,253
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70546

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,432 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $538/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$151

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,241
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,900 Active 318 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 317 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 316 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 315 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 314 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 312 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 311 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 309 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 308 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 307 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 306 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 301 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 300 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 299 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 298 DOM
  16. 2025-04-28
    listed $89,900 Active 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE Great investment property. 4 bedroom 2 baths located near downtown Jennings. Lots of potential. Would make great flip, or rental. Home is located in flood zone X. Owner/Agent. Home does need work inside.

  17. 2020-08-20
    soldstatus 167-char remark
    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    Investor opportunity! Stately home in one of the oldest neighborhoods in town. Walking distance to the Strand Theatre and other Main St. destinations. Home sold as is.

  18. 2020-03-24
    listed $52,000 167-char remark
    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    Investor opportunity! Stately home in one of the oldest neighborhoods in town. Walking distance to the Strand Theatre and other Main St. destinations. Home sold as is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$538 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$538 · $45/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,182
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$538
− Insurance
−$5,568
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,375
− Management
−$1,375
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$162
After-tax cash flow
$1,648/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson Davis Parish
NCES district ID
2200810
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$40,322
Composite
30.21/100
National rank
#6302
State rank
#33 of 98 in LA

Livability — Jennings

Score
61/100
State rank
#228
US rank
#17390

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jennings, LA
Population (ZIP)
15,821

Population outlook (Jefferson Davis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,015 people
By 2030
30,563 · -1.5%
By 2040
29,639 · -4.4%
By 2050
28,456 · -8.3%
By 2075
25,521 · -17.7%
By 2100
21,787 · -29.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 15% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 14% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson Davis

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.1) · D 18.8% · R 79.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: -39.7pp · 2024: -61.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.1 2020: R+55.4 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+47.6 2008: R+39.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.56%
Current HPI
147.6391
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-04-28 Listed $89,900 SWLAR
  • 2020-08-20 Sold (MLS) SWLAR
  • 2020-03-24 Listed $52,000 SWLAR

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $538 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…