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178 Lakeview Dr
B Composite 70.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,997

178 Lakeview Dr · Mulberry, FL 33860
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily · 105 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Dont Miss This Beautifully Updated 2-Bedroom, 2-Bath MERI Manufactured Home (15 x 56) in Excellent Condition! Step into comfort with central heating and cooling, featuring a 5-year-old AC unit still under a 10-year warranty. The elegant French door entry includes encapsulated mini blinds for added privacy and style. Freshly painted interior walls and ceilings throughout the home. Enjoy a fully renovated kitchen with a deep stainless steel drop-in sink, stainless steel refrigerator and dishwasher, and an electric range. 2X2X7 tall pantry with 6 adjustable shelves. Both the master and office bathrooms have been tastefully updated. Laminate flooring throughout, and mini blinds on every window

Key facts

  • French door entry
  • Electric range
  • 5 year old ac unit

Tags

5 YEAR OLD AC UNITFRENCH DOOR ENTRYFULLY RENOVATED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL REFRIGERATORSTAINLESS STEEL DISHWASHERELECTRIC RANGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $46k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $46k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#311 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $318 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $41,857 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.98%
Cap rate
26.28%
Cash-on-cash
71.38%
DSCR
4.18
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
69.4%
Equity multiple
4.06×
Total profit
$39,442
Equity at exit
$6,858
10-year hold
IRR
73.1%
Equity multiple
7.96×
Total profit
$89,602
Equity at exit
$3,977

Cash invested: $12,879 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33860

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,372 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$241
Tax est. 1.5%
$57 /mo · $690/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$766

Break-even live

Break-even rent $402
Max offer price $45,997
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,499
Closing costs
$1,380
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
177 Lakeview Dr Mulberry, FL 1.0 1.5 864 $1,100 $1.27 14d 1 0.03mi
807 NW 1st Ave Mulberry, FL 2.0 1.0 832 $1,675 $2.01 14d 1 0.88mi
6125 Topher Trl Mulberry, FL 2.0 1.0 662 $1,450 $2.19 23d 1 1.35mi
6125 Topher Trl Unit 62A Mulberry, FL 2.0 1.0 662 $1,395 $2.11 14d 1 1.35mi
6069 Topher Trl Unit 6069 Mulberry, FL 2.0 2.0 945 $1,495 $1.58 23d 1 1.43mi
301 SW 3rd Ter Mulberry, FL 3.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 3d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,997 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,997 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,997 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,997 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,997 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,997 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,997 Active 96 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,997 Active 95 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,997 Active 94 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,997 Active 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,997 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,997 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,997 Active 87 DOM
  14. 2026-03-05
    listed $45,997 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,466
− Mortgage interest
−$2,577
− Property taxes
−$690
− Insurance
−$230
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,317
− Management
−$1,317
− Depreciation
−$1,338
Taxable income
$8,997
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,159
After-tax cash flow
$7,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Mulberry

Score
73/100
State rank
#311
US rank
#5311

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mulberry, FL
County
Polk County · 740,051 people
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,892
Household income
$65,710
Rent vs Own
30.7% rent · 69.3% own
Severe rent burden
583.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.08%
Current HPI
349.7266
Rent YoY
▲ 1.59%
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $45,997 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…