178 Lakeview Dr · Mulberry, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,997
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Dont Miss This Beautifully Updated 2-Bedroom, 2-Bath MERI Manufactured Home (15 x 56) in Excellent Condition! Step into comfort with central heating and cooling, featuring a 5-year-old AC unit still under a 10-year warranty. The elegant French door entry includes encapsulated mini blinds for added privacy and style. Freshly painted interior walls and ceilings throughout the home. Enjoy a fully renovated kitchen with a deep stainless steel drop-in sink, stainless steel refrigerator and dishwasher, and an electric range. 2X2X7 tall pantry with 6 adjustable shelves. Both the master and office bathrooms have been tastefully updated. Laminate flooring throughout, and mini blinds on every window
Key facts
- French door entry
- Electric range
- 5 year old ac unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $46k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $46k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#311 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $318 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.38%
- DSCR
- 4.18
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 69.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.06×
- Total profit
- $39,442
- Equity at exit
- $6,858
- IRR
- 73.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.96×
- Total profit
- $89,602
- Equity at exit
- $3,977
Cash invested: $12,879 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33860
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,372 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$241
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$57 /mo · $690/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $766
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,499
- Closing costs
- $1,380
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177 Lakeview Dr Mulberry, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 807 NW 1st Ave Mulberry, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,675 | $2.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6125 Topher Trl Mulberry, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,450 | $2.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6125 Topher Trl Unit 62A Mulberry, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,395 | $2.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6069 Topher Trl Unit 6069 Mulberry, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,495 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 301 SW 3rd Ter Mulberry, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 14 events
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2026-06-18days on market $45,997 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $45,997 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $45,997 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $45,997 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $45,997 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $45,997 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $45,997 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $45,997 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $45,997 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $45,997 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $45,997 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $45,997 Active 88 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $45,997 Active 87 DOM
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2026-03-05$45,997 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,577
- − Property taxes
- −$690
- − Insurance
- −$230
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,317
- − Management
- −$1,317
- − Depreciation
- −$1,338
- Taxable income
- $8,997
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,159
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,034/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Mulberry
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #311
- US rank
- #5311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mulberry, FL
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,892
- Household income
- $65,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 583.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.08%
- Current HPI
- 349.7266
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $45,997 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…