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5 Bucktown Rd
C+ Composite 60.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

5 Bucktown Rd · Massena, NY 13662
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · Manufactured public records · 398 Days on market
Built 1992 0.31 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Manufactured Home in great location. .. This doublewide home is in great shape with a no maintenance exterior, paved driveway and a one car garage. Sold as part of a package. Sale to be made part of the Highland Restaurant. Must be seen to be appreciated. Call today.

Key facts

  • Paved driveway
  • 0.31 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

NO MAINTENANCE EXTERIORPAVED DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; Paved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Insulated windows
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.3% in Massena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#330 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, commute F.
  • Massena Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #456 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 398 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 398 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
8.96%
Cash-on-cash
9.52%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-1,804
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$14,993
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13662

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,923/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $847
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 398 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 397 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 396 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 395 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 393 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 392 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 389 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 388 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 387 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 383 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 382 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 381 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 380 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,923 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,923 · $160/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,197
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,923
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,062
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$255
After-tax cash flow
$2,141/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Massena Central School District
NCES district ID
3618660
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,610
Composite
38.75/100
National rank
#4123
State rank
#456 of 590 in NY

Livability — Massena

Score
73/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#5449

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
15,737
Population (ZIP)
15,737

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.77%
Current HPI
243.4674
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted SLCMLS
  • 2025-04-16 Listed $89,900 SLCMLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,923 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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