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2312 Orleans St Fourplex
F Composite 33.52
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,099,000

2312 Orleans St · Bellingham, WA 98229
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,456 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 231 Days on market
Built 1973 10,019 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Prime investment opportunity in Bellingham! This well-maintained fourplex offers strong income potential and future development options on the back portion of the lot. The property features three spacious 2BD/1BA units and one 1BD/1BA unit, plus an on-site coin-op laundry for added income. Located in a central area close to shopping, restaurants, parks, and freeway access, it’s ideal for investors seeking steady returns and long-term upside. Current rents are below market, creating immediate value-add potential with rent adjustments or upgrades. Whether you’re entering the investment market or expanding your portfolio, this property offers solid cash flow today and room to grow

Key facts

  • Central area
  • Close to shopping
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYSTRONG INCOME POTENTIALFUTURE DEVELOPMENT OPTIONSON-SITE COIN-OP LAUNDRYCENTRAL AREACLOSE TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Four units in building (no units below grade)
  • Financial info: Gross scheduled income listed at $70,656 annually; Gross adjusted income listed at $70,656; Total monthly income listed at $5,888; Net operating income listed at $60,240 annually; Total expenses listed at $10,415.42 annually; Insurance expense listed at $3,500 annually; Gross rent multiplier listed as 16; Vacancy rate listed at 5%; Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA Loan
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Open/uncovered parking available (total uncovered spaces listed)
  • Security: Partial fencing provides some security/privacy
  • Utilities: Electric-powered energy source; Public water (served by City of Bellingham); Sewer connected (City of Bellingham); Electric service by Puget Sound Energy
  • Home design: Residential income property (multi-family quadruplex); Two stories; Has a view; Property condition listed as good
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Poured concrete foundation; Built as a 4-plex (quadruplex)
  • Exterior features: Partially fenced; Deck; Cable TV and high-speed internet available; Alley access, paved lot, and sidewalk

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes a range/oven; Each unit includes a refrigerator; Each unit includes a dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Four units: one 1-bedroom unit and three 2-bedroom units (unit-level details available)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has one bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Laminate and carpet flooring; Coin-operated laundry (on-site)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer not provided in individual units; coin-operated laundry available on site

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.10M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-295/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $890k (19.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $714k (35.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $714k (35.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.0% in Bellingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#102 in WA, #1,947 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Bellingham School District (urban): math 47% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #106 of 291 in WA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,190 units permitted in Whatcom County in 2024 (327 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,142/mo this rent would consume 94% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 1040% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Whatcom County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($967k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $901k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $714,200 (35.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
5.00%
Cash-on-cash
-4.61%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
12.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.8%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-250,945
Equity at exit
$163,864
10-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.01×
Total profit
$-305,549
Equity at exit
$95,021

Cash invested: $307,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98229

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
50.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,142 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,763
Tax from tax record
$602 /mo · $7,227/yr
Insurance
$458
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,500
Net cashflow
$-1,181

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,637
Max offer price $890,326
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-559 -5% $-870 +0% $-1,181 +5% $-1,492 +10% $-1,803
Rent -10% $-1,745 -5% $-1,463 +0% $-1,181 +5% $-899 +10% $-617
Rate -1.0pp $-628 -0.5pp $-902 base $-1,181 +0.5pp $-1,466 +1.0pp $-1,756

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $1,660
Total (4 units) $7,142

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$274,750
Closing costs
$32,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 231 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 230 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 229 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 228 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 226 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 225 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 223 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 222 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 221 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 220 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 217 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 216 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 215 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 214 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 213 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $1,099,000 Active 212 DOM
  17. 2025-10-30
    listed $1,099,000 Active
  18. 2022-06-16
    price $1,300
  19. 2021-06-24
    soldstatus $901,000 Closed
  20. 2021-05-14
    status Pending
  21. 2021-05-12
    status Active
  22. 2021-05-12
    status Pending
  23. 2021-05-11
    historical
  24. 2021-05-10
    status Active
  25. 2021-05-05
    price $899,000
  26. 2021-04-08
    listed $979,000 Active
  27. 2021-04-07
    listed Active
  28. 2005-02-02
    soldstatus $350,000
  29. 1997-03-14
    soldstatus $160,000
  30. 1990-04-09
    soldstatus $163,000
  31. 1988-09-30
    soldstatus $105,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,227 · $602/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,770 · $898/mo
Expected delta
+$3,543/yr (+$295/mo · 49.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$85,704
− Mortgage interest
−$61,561
− Property taxes
−$7,227
− Insurance
−$5,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,856
− Management
−$6,856
− Depreciation
−$31,971
Taxable loss
−$34,263
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8,223
After-tax cash flow
$-5,952/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bellingham School District
NCES district ID
5300420
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$47,678
Composite
48.49/100
National rank
#4632
State rank
#106 of 291 in WA

Livability — Bellingham

Score
80/100
State rank
#102
US rank
#1947

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellingham, WA
County
Whatcom County · 209,776 people
City population
130,296
Metro
Bellingham, WA
Population (ZIP)
33,298
Household income
$90,945
Rent vs Own
30.3% rent · 69.7% own
Severe rent burden
1040.0

Population outlook (Whatcom County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
240,408 people
By 2030
254,667 · +5.9%
By 2040
281,365 · +17.0%
By 2050
307,592 · +27.9%
By 2075
375,576 · +56.2%
By 2100
421,637 · +75.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Italian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Whatcom

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.9) · D 60.8% · R 35.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 24.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.9 2020: D+23.9 2016: D+17.7 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -652.00%
Current HPI
413.1478
Rent YoY
▲ 3.38%
Metro
Bellingham, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+946.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $1,099,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-16 Price Changed $1,300 RENT.
  • 2021-06-24 Sold (MLS) $901,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-14 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-12 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-12 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-11 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-10 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-05 Price Changed $899,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-08 Listed $979,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-07 Listed NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
  • 1997-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 1990-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $163,000 Public Records
  • 1988-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $7,227 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…