Fourplex
2312 Orleans St · Bellingham, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,099,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Prime investment opportunity in Bellingham! This well-maintained fourplex offers strong income potential and future development options on the back portion of the lot. The property features three spacious 2BD/1BA units and one 1BD/1BA unit, plus an on-site coin-op laundry for added income. Located in a central area close to shopping, restaurants, parks, and freeway access, it’s ideal for investors seeking steady returns and long-term upside. Current rents are below market, creating immediate value-add potential with rent adjustments or upgrades. Whether you’re entering the investment market or expanding your portfolio, this property offers solid cash flow today and room to grow
Key facts
- Central area
- Close to shopping
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Four units in building (no units below grade)
- Financial info: Gross scheduled income listed at $70,656 annually; Gross adjusted income listed at $70,656; Total monthly income listed at $5,888; Net operating income listed at $60,240 annually; Total expenses listed at $10,415.42 annually; Insurance expense listed at $3,500 annually; Gross rent multiplier listed as 16; Vacancy rate listed at 5%; Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA Loan
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Open/uncovered parking available (total uncovered spaces listed)
- Security: Partial fencing provides some security/privacy
- Utilities: Electric-powered energy source; Public water (served by City of Bellingham); Sewer connected (City of Bellingham); Electric service by Puget Sound Energy
- Home design: Residential income property (multi-family quadruplex); Two stories; Has a view; Property condition listed as good
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Poured concrete foundation; Built as a 4-plex (quadruplex)
- Exterior features: Partially fenced; Deck; Cable TV and high-speed internet available; Alley access, paved lot, and sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes a range/oven; Each unit includes a refrigerator; Each unit includes a dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Four units: one 1-bedroom unit and three 2-bedroom units (unit-level details available)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: Each unit has one bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Laminate and carpet flooring; Coin-operated laundry (on-site)
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer not provided in individual units; coin-operated laundry available on site
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.10M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-295/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $890k (19.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $714k (35.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $714k (35.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.0% in Bellingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#102 in WA, #1,947 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Bellingham School District (urban): math 47% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #106 of 291 in WA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,190 units permitted in Whatcom County in 2024 (327 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,142/mo this rent would consume 94% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 1040% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Whatcom County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($967k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $901k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.61%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 12.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-250,945
- Equity at exit
- $163,864
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-305,549
- Equity at exit
- $95,021
Cash invested: $307,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98229
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 50.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,142 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,763
- Tax from tax record
- −$602 /mo · $7,227/yr
- Insurance
- −$458
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,500
- Net cashflow
- $-1,181
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-559 | -5% $-870 | +0% $-1,181 | +5% $-1,492 | +10% $-1,803 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,745 | -5% $-1,463 | +0% $-1,181 | +5% $-899 | +10% $-617 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-628 | -0.5pp $-902 | base $-1,181 | +0.5pp $-1,466 | +1.0pp $-1,756 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $5,481 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,827 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,827 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,827 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,660 |
| Total (4 units) | $7,142 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $274,750
- Closing costs
- $32,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,099,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,099,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,099,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,099,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1,099,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,099,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,099,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,099,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,099,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,099,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $1,099,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,099,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,099,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,099,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,099,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $1,099,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2025-10-30$1,099,000 Active
-
2022-06-16price $1,300
-
2021-06-24soldstatus $901,000 Closed
-
2021-05-14status Pending
-
2021-05-12status Active
-
2021-05-12status Pending
-
2021-05-11historical
-
2021-05-10status Active
-
2021-05-05price $899,000
-
2021-04-08$979,000 Active
-
2021-04-07Active
-
2005-02-02soldstatus $350,000
-
1997-03-14soldstatus $160,000
-
1990-04-09soldstatus $163,000
-
1988-09-30soldstatus $105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,227 · $602/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,770 · $898/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,543/yr (+$295/mo · 49.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $85,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$61,561
- − Property taxes
- −$7,227
- − Insurance
- −$5,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,856
- − Management
- −$6,856
- − Depreciation
- −$31,971
- Taxable loss
- −$34,263
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,223
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,952/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bellingham School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300420
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,678
- Composite
- 48.49/100
- National rank
- #4632
- State rank
- #106 of 291 in WA
Livability — Bellingham
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #102
- US rank
- #1947
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellingham, WA
- County
- Whatcom County · 209,776 people
- City population
- 130,296
- Metro
- Bellingham, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,298
- Household income
- $90,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1040.0
Population outlook (Whatcom County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 240,408 people
- By 2030
- 254,667 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 281,365 · +17.0%
- By 2050
- 307,592 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 375,576 · +56.2%
- By 2100
- 421,637 · +75.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Italian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Whatcom
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.9) · D 60.8% · R 35.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.9 2020: D+23.9 2016: D+17.7 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -652.00%
- Current HPI
- 413.1478
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.38%
- Metro
- Bellingham, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+946.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-30 Listed $1,099,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-16 Price Changed $1,300 RENT.
- 2021-06-24 Sold (MLS) $901,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-14 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-12 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-12 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-11 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-10 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-05 Price Changed $899,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-08 Listed $979,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-07 Listed — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
- 1997-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 1990-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $163,000 Public Records
- 1988-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2026): $7,227 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…