2126 Hammel St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 2126 Hammel! This charming 3-bedroom home offers the perfect blend of character and modern updates. Step inside to find a beautifully updated interior featuring fresh finishes, updated flooring, and a bright, inviting layout designed for comfortable everyday living. The spacious living areas flow seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere for family and friends. Outside, you'll appreciate the detached garage, providing extra storage, workspace, or parking convenience. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an investment opportunity, this move-in-ready home is one you won't want to miss. Schedule your personal showing today and see all that 2126 Hammel has to offer!
Key facts
- Updated interior
- Updated flooring
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Built with a crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: City lot; Paved public road access; Lot dimensions approximately 49 x 115 (0.13 acre); Subdivision: HOSMER FARM SUB; Cross streets near S. 15th / S. 20th
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance list beyond gas water heater provided
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes living spaces and bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling system
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement with sump pump
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 8.2% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $515 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $74k implies a 272% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.73%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $46,475
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2143 Whittier St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 845 (0%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $59 | 91 |
| 2415 Ledyard St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 845 (0%) | 13mo | $14,000 | $17 | 78 |
| 2420 Bancroft St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 845 (0%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $71 | 75 |
| 2316 Whittier St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 932 (+10%) | 11mo | $11,250 | $12 | 61 |
| 945 S 27th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 884 (+5%) | 2mo | $13,000 | $15 | 58 |
| 812 25th St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+2%) | 12mo | $59,900 | $69 | 56 |
| 2021 Cumberland St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 874 (+3%) | 5mo | $14,500 | $17 | 51 |
| 645 S 23rd | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 780 (-8%) | 7mo | $37,000 | $47 | 49 |
| 3410 Harold St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 796 (-6%) | 12mo | $43,900 | $55 | 48 |
| 427 S 19th St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 874 (+3%) | 11mo | $19,000 | $22 | 47 |
| 558 S 24th St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (+8%) | 12mo | $89,000 | $98 | 42 |
| 3015 Perkins St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+14%) | 12mo | $63,500 | $66 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $19,740
- Equity at exit
- $11,108
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.79×
- Total profit
- $58,160
- Equity at exit
- $6,441
Cash invested: $20,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48601
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$391
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $796/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $499
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $542 | -5% $521 | +0% $499 | +5% $478 | +10% $457 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $401 | -5% $450 | +0% $499 | +5% $549 | +10% $598 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $537 | -0.5pp $518 | base $499 | +0.5pp $480 | +1.0pp $461 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,625
- Closing costs
- $2,235
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3328 Webber St Saginaw, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $74,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $74,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$74,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $796 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $972 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$176/yr (+$15/mo · 22.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,173
- − Property taxes
- −$796
- − Insurance
- −$372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,167
- Taxable income
- $5,091
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,222
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,772/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- City population
- 54,884
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,069
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.46%
- Current HPI
- 197.3359
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+132.8% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $74,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-08 Listed $74,500 REALCOMP
- 2024-04-05 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-05 Sold (MLS) $20,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-04-01 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-01 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-03-29 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2024-03-29 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-03-26 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2024-03-26 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-03-19 Price Changed $27,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-19 Price Changed $27,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-03-16 Price Changed $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-16 Price Changed $28,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-03-11 Listed $33,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-11 Listed $33,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-11-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-11-04 Sold (MLS) $24,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-11-04 Sold (MLS) $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-06-04 Listed $27,300 REALCOMP
- 2003-06-04 Listed $27,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-05-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-05-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2002-11-06 Listed $32,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-11-06 Listed $32,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $796 · +25.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…