320 Forest Loop · Mandeville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your New Beginning Awaits! Step into this beautifully renovated home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Ideal as a charming starter home or a smart investment property, this residence is located in a highly desirable school system. The heavy lifting has been done for you--rest easy knowing the roof and HVAC system were both replaced within the past 5 years. Outside, the fully fenced backyard offers a space for pets, play, or entertaining, and includes a handy storage shed. Perfectly positioned for convenience, you are just a stone's throw from everyday shopping and the causeway for a seamless commute. Come see why this beautifully updated house is the perfect place to call home! Agent is related to seller.
Key facts
- Renovated home
- Storage shed
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is rectangular and located outside city limits (60x125)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Shingle roof; Brick and vinyl siding construction; Excellent condition; Entry level: slab foundation
- Construction: Built with brick and vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fan(s); Pull-down attic stairs
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($455/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (19.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $170k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.4% in Mandeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#13 in LA, #3,224 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pontchartrain Elementary School (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #9 of 646 statewide, top 1%, 748 students, 22% FRL); Tchefuncte Middle School (math 65% / reading 71%, grade A-, #5 of 218 statewide, top 2%, 697 students, 24% FRL); Mandeville High School (math 59% / reading 63%, grade C+, #19 of 265 statewide, top 7%, 2,259 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 40% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 49% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the St. Tammany Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $210k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.77%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $214,500
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260 Forest Loop | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 994 (-10%) | 20mo | $203,000 | $204 | 62 |
| 410 Forest Loop | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,220 (+11%) | 18mo | $218,500 | $179 | 59 |
| 651 Forest Loop | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (-11%) | 20mo | $189,900 | $195 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-31,133
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-22,005
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70471
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,697 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,366/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $38
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $157 | -5% $97 | +0% $38 | +5% $-22 | +10% $-81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-96 | -5% $-29 | +0% $38 | +5% $105 | +10% $172 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $144 | -0.5pp $91 | base $38 | +0.5pp $-17 | +1.0pp $-72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 Audubon Dr Mandeville, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,800 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 500 Aries Dr Unit 4B Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 500 Aries Dr Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1400 | $2,020 | $1.44 | 4d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 740 Heavens Dr #10 Mandeville, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1296 | $1,800 | $1.39 | 19d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 736 Heavens Dr #8 Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 733 Heavens Dr #4 Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,370 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 725 Heavens Dr #3 Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1102 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 700 Heavens Dr Unit 5 Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4840 Highway 22 Mandeville, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1341 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 200 Chapel Crk Mandeville, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $1,676 | $1.43 | 3d | 11 | 0.63mi |
| Parkview Blvd #410 Parish Governing Authority District 4, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 825 | $1,300 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 103 Parkview Blvd #103 Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,300 | $1.57 | 19d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 544 Cedarwood Dr Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1205 | $1,400 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 631 Cedarwood Dr Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1130 | $1,300 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 509 Cedarwood Dr #509 Mandeville, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1320 | $1,675 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 32 S Court Villa Dr #32 Mandeville, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $210,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-14$235,000 Active
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
Your New Beginning Awaits! Step into this beautifully renovated home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Ideal as a charming starter home or a smart investment property, this residence is located in a highly desirable school system. The heavy lifting has been done for you--rest easy knowing the roof and HVAC system were both replaced within the past 5 years. Outside, the fully fenced backyard offers a space for pets, play, or entertaining, and includes a handy storage shed. Perfectly positioned for convenience, you are just a stone's throw from everyday shopping and the causeway for a seamless commute. Come see why this beautifully updated house is the perfect place to call home! Agent is related to seller.
-
2026-05-14$235,000 Active 718-char remark
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
Your New Beginning Awaits! Step into this beautifully renovated home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Ideal as a charming starter home or a smart investment property, this residence is located in a highly desirable school system. The heavy lifting has been done for you--rest easy knowing the roof and HVAC system were both replaced within the past 5 years. Outside, the fully fenced backyard offers a space for pets, play, or entertaining, and includes a handy storage shed. Perfectly positioned for convenience, you are just a stone's throw from everyday shopping and the causeway for a seamless commute. Come see why this beautifully updated house is the perfect place to call home! Agent is related to seller.
-
2007-05-07soldstatus $135,000
-
2007-05-04soldstatus $135,000
-
2007-03-24$135,000
-
2007-03-24$135,000
-
1999-03-02soldstatus $68,000
-
1998-05-08soldstatus $63,000
-
1998-02-27$74,500
-
1998-02-27$74,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,366 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,366 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,362
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$1,366
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,629
- − Management
- −$1,629
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$3,184
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$764
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,219/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Mandeville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #3224
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
- City population
- 50,537
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,199
- Household income
- $96,501
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 475.0
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.41%
- Current HPI
- 188.0159
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.32%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+215.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $235,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $235,000 GSREIN
- 2007-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-04 Sold (MLS) $135,000 GSREIN
- 2007-03-24 Listed $135,000 GSREIN
- 2007-03-24 Listed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1999-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 1998-05-08 Sold (MLS) $63,000 GSREIN
- 1998-02-27 Listed $74,500 AcadianaMLS
- 1998-02-27 Listed $74,500 GSREIN
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,366 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…