1814 22nd Ave S #317 · Grand Forks, ND
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This peaceful condo is move-in ready! It has new carpet in the bedrooms, tile floors in both the kitchen and bathroom, and a garage. There is even a balcony to relax on while you watch someone else do the lawncare and snow removal for you!
Key facts
- Sauna
- Secured building
- Laundry in building
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax amount provided
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee (amount provided)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with one space and garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available
- Home design: Condominium (residential); One story
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; One-level layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($520/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in ND, #2,645 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
- Grand Forks 1 (urban): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #27 of 53 in ND (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.3%/yr); 284 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.32%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-3,848
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $29,029
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58201
- Rents YoY
- 9.3%
- Active inventory
- 284
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,211/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$321
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $43
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $89 | -5% $66 | +0% $43 | +5% $21 | +10% $-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-49 | -5% $-3 | +0% $43 | +5% $89 | +10% $135 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $84 | -0.5pp $64 | base $43 | +0.5pp $23 | +1.0pp $1 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 905 32nd Ave S Grand Forks, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,260 | $1.26 | 44d | 3 | 0.97mi |
| 1850 S 34th St Grand Forks, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $925 | $1.11 | 44d | 4 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $321 · $3,852/yr
- Likely covers
- snow removal
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15status $80,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-10status Active
-
2026-04-07historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-19$80,000 Active
-
2023-05-01soldstatus
-
2023-04-28soldstatus Closed 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
This peaceful condo is move-in ready! It has new carpet in the bedrooms, tile floors in both the kitchen and bathroom, and a garage. There is even a balcony to relax on while you watch someone else do the lawncare and snow removal for you!
-
2023-03-15$72,900 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
This peaceful condo is move-in ready! It has new carpet in the bedrooms, tile floors in both the kitchen and bathroom, and a garage. There is even a balcony to relax on while you watch someone else do the lawncare and snow removal for you!
-
2021-03-30soldstatus $62,500
-
2021-03-29soldstatus 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Updated condo that's ready to move into! Beautiful 6 panel oak doors, ceramic tile in kitchen, updated kitchen cabinets, and gorgeous custom tile work in the bathroom. Enjoy beautiful views of the courtyard from your deck, and heated indoor pool and sauna on the first floor!
-
2020-09-14$68,500 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Updated condo that's ready to move into! Beautiful 6 panel oak doors, ceramic tile in kitchen, updated kitchen cabinets, and gorgeous custom tile work in the bathroom. Enjoy beautiful views of the courtyard from your deck, and heated indoor pool and sauna on the first floor!
-
2017-06-01soldstatus
-
2012-06-13soldstatus
-
2000-05-16soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,211 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,211 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,946
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,211
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − HOA
- −$3,852
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable loss
- −$557
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$134
- After-tax cash flow
- $653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Forks 1
- NCES district ID
- 3808130
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,234
- Composite
- 36.39/100
- National rank
- #4681
- State rank
- #27 of 53 in ND
Livability — Grand Forks
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Forks, ND
- County
- Grand Forks County · 58,851 people
- City population
- 58,851
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,373
- Household income
- $68,143
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2110.0
Population outlook (Grand Forks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,606 people
- By 2030
- 86,489 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 99,506 · +23.4%
- By 2050
- 115,269 · +43.0%
- By 2075
- 171,303 · +112.5%
- By 2100
- 238,330 · +195.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 26% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Forks
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.1% · R 58.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+13.3 2016: R+18.5 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.56%
- Current HPI
- 183.128
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.31%
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+16.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — GFAAR
- 2026-04-10 Relisted — GFAAR
- 2026-04-07 Contingent — GFAAR
- 2026-03-19 Listed $80,000 GFAAR
- 2023-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) — GFAAR
- 2023-03-15 Listed $72,900 GFAAR
- 2021-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 2021-03-29 Sold (MLS) — GFAAR
- 2020-09-14 Listed $68,500 GFAAR
- 2017-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-06-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-05-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,211 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…