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273 Mcmillan Dr
D+ Composite 49.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,900

273 Mcmillan Dr · Edneyville, NC 28792
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 70 Days on market
Built 2019 0.78 ac lot ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2019 Year Model Approximately 840 Sq Ft 2 Bedroom 2 Full Bath Clayton Manufactured Home. Living Room, Eat in Kitchen with Range, Refrigerator and Dishwasher, Laundry Room, Primary Bath with Tub/Shower Combo and Walk in Closet. Central Heat and Air, Permanent Foundation, .78 Acre Lot, Conveniently Located on Publicly Maintained Paved Road. Private Well and Septic. Nice!

Key facts

  • 0.78 acre lot
  • Built 2019
  • Listed 70 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic system; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family manufactured home (singlewide); One story; Completed development
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding; Asbestos shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built by Clayton
  • Exterior features: Publicly maintained road frontage; Gravel and paved road access; Lot approximately 0.78 acres; No additional structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Exhaust fan; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Window treatments; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $176k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (11.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.1% in Edneyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#393 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Henderson County Schools (suburban): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #64 of 178 in NC (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Edneyville Elementary (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 439 students, 71% FRL); North Henderson High (math 72% / reading 58%, grade B, #161 of 535 statewide, top 30%, 1,146 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 46% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 1,534 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henderson County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $155,763 (11.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.39%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-16,117
Equity at exit
$26,227
10-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$4,549
Equity at exit
$15,209

Cash invested: $49,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28792

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
364
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,558 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$922
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $656/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$180

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,330
Max offer price $175,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,975
Closing costs
$5,277
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,900 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,900 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,900 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,900 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,900 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $175,900 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,900 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,900 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $185,900 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,900 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,900 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,900 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,900 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,900 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-05-20
    price $185,900
  18. 2026-05-05
    price $199,900
  19. 2026-05-04
    price $205,000
  20. 2026-04-16
    price $225,000
  21. 2026-04-09
    listed $235,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$656 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,442 · $120/mo
Expected delta
+$786/yr (+$66/mo · 119.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,692
− Mortgage interest
−$9,853
− Property taxes
−$656
− Insurance
−$880
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,495
− Management
−$1,495
− Depreciation
−$5,117
Taxable loss
−$805
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$193
After-tax cash flow
$2,355/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henderson County Schools
NCES district ID
3702100
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$47,101
Composite
42.5/100
National rank
#3206
State rank
#64 of 178 in NC

Livability — Edneyville

Score
63/100
State rank
#393
US rank
#15232

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Henderson County · 78,587 people
City population
36,071
Metro
Asheville, NC
Population (ZIP)
36,645
Household income
$55,522
Rent vs Own
38.5% rent · 61.5% own
Severe rent burden
1420.0

Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
124,075 people
By 2030
129,690 · +4.5%
By 2040
139,898 · +12.8%
By 2050
148,298 · +19.5%
By 2075
163,980 · +32.2%
By 2100
166,962 · +34.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 16%

Political lean MEDSL · Henderson

2024 margin
R (+14.6) · D 42.1% · R 56.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+6.5pp toward D · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -14.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.6 2020: R+18.8 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+21.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.29%
Current HPI
214.0215
Rent YoY
▲ 3.63%
Metro
Asheville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $185,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $199,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $205,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $225,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $235,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+18.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $656 · +100.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…