273 Mcmillan Dr · Edneyville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2019 Year Model Approximately 840 Sq Ft 2 Bedroom 2 Full Bath Clayton Manufactured Home. Living Room, Eat in Kitchen with Range, Refrigerator and Dishwasher, Laundry Room, Primary Bath with Tub/Shower Combo and Walk in Closet. Central Heat and Air, Permanent Foundation, .78 Acre Lot, Conveniently Located on Publicly Maintained Paved Road. Private Well and Septic. Nice!
Key facts
- 0.78 acre lot
- Built 2019
- Listed 70 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family manufactured home (singlewide); One story; Completed development
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding; Asbestos shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built by Clayton
- Exterior features: Publicly maintained road frontage; Gravel and paved road access; Lot approximately 0.78 acres; No additional structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Exhaust fan; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Window treatments; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $176k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (11.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $156k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.1% in Edneyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#393 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Henderson County Schools (suburban): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #64 of 178 in NC (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Edneyville Elementary (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 439 students, 71% FRL); North Henderson High (math 72% / reading 58%, grade B, #161 of 535 statewide, top 30%, 1,146 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 46% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 1,534 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henderson County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.39%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-16,117
- Equity at exit
- $26,227
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $4,549
- Equity at exit
- $15,209
Cash invested: $49,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28792
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 364
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,558 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$922
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $656/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $180
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,975
- Closing costs
- $5,277
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $175,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $185,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $185,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $185,900
-
2026-05-05price $199,900
-
2026-05-04price $205,000
-
2026-04-16price $225,000
-
2026-04-09$235,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $656 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,442 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$786/yr (+$66/mo · 119.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,692
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,853
- − Property taxes
- −$656
- − Insurance
- −$880
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,495
- − Management
- −$1,495
- − Depreciation
- −$5,117
- Taxable loss
- −$805
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$193
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,355/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henderson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702100
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,101
- Composite
- 42.5/100
- National rank
- #3206
- State rank
- #64 of 178 in NC
Livability — Edneyville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #393
- US rank
- #15232
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Henderson County · 78,587 people
- City population
- 36,071
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,645
- Household income
- $55,522
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1420.0
Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,075 people
- By 2030
- 129,690 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 139,898 · +12.8%
- By 2050
- 148,298 · +19.5%
- By 2075
- 163,980 · +32.2%
- By 2100
- 166,962 · +34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 16%
Political lean MEDSL · Henderson
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.6) · D 42.1% · R 56.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.5pp toward D · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -14.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.6 2020: R+18.8 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+21.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.29%
- Current HPI
- 214.0215
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.63%
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
-20.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $185,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $199,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $205,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $225,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listed $235,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+18.7%/yrLatest (2025): $656 · +100.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…