206 Gannett St · Paxtonia, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 1771 square foot cape cod on lovely, landscaped yard. 3 bedrooms, 2 on first floor and large bedroom on 2nd floor with room to add extra bath. First floor features living room, dining room, office, foyer, kitchen, large mud/laundry room and 2 bedrooms. Wrap around deck leads down to brick paver patio. Beautiful outdoor setting with privacy fence. Large shed for all your outdoor equipment. Roof new within last 3 years and the rubber roof in the last 9 years. Windows replaced about 9 years ago. Economical gas heat. Check out this home today!
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1940
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $885 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#233 in PA, #2,016 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Central Dauphin SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #305 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Paxtonia El Sch (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C+, #444 of 1,518 statewide, top 32%, 689 students, 42% FRL); Central Dauphin East Ms (math 11% / reading 42%, grade F, #410 of 512 statewide, top 80%, 779 students, 99% FRL); Central Dauphin Shs (math 71% / reading 24%, grade D, #164 of 437 statewide, top 38%, 1,975 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 33% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.93%
- DSCR
- 2.69
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $307,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144 S Lockwillow Ave | 0.10mi | 3/3.0 | 2,079 (-0%) | 0mo | $405,000 | $195 | 87 |
| 5724 Kenwood Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 2,034 (-2%) | 2mo | $377,000 | $185 | 73 |
| 22 Carolyn St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 2,204 (+6%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $116 | 67 |
| 170 S Johnson St | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,207 (+6%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $93 | 67 |
| 8 Crums Ln | 0.53mi | 3/— | 1,960 (-6%) | 3mo | $289,900 | $148 | 63 |
| 107 S Johnson St | 0.31mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,960 (-6%) | 8mo | $192,000 | $98 | 62 |
| 115 Suffolk Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 2,142 (+3%) | 6mo | $345,000 | $161 | 55 |
| 5453 Devonshire Rd | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,250 (+8%) | 2mo | $451,000 | $200 | 52 |
| 36 State Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,020 (-3%) | 7mo | $290,000 | $144 | 50 |
| 5738 Cloverdale Rd | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,334 (+12%) | 8mo | $465,000 | $199 | 43 |
| 5220 Earl Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,193 (+5%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $144 | 42 |
| 123 Lincoln Pl | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,770 (-15%) | 6mo | $246,000 | $139 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $37,381
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.36×
- Total profit
- $94,022
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17112
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,139 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,862/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $885
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $942 | -5% $913 | +0% $885 | +5% $857 | +10% $828 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $716 | -5% $801 | +0% $885 | +5% $970 | +10% $1,054 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $935 | -0.5pp $911 | base $885 | +0.5pp $859 | +1.0pp $833 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6101 Blue Valley Ave Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2352 | $1,995 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-01-12$100,000
-
2026-01-12historical
-
2019-02-07soldstatus $162,900
-
2019-01-30soldstatus $162,900 Closed 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Great 1771 square foot cape cod on lovely, landscaped yard. 3 bedrooms, 2 on first floor and large bedroom on 2nd floor with room to add extra bath. First floor features living room, dining room, office, foyer, kitchen, large mud/laundry room and 2 bedrooms. Wrap around deck leads down to brick paver patio. Beautiful outdoor setting with privacy fence. Large shed for all your outdoor equipment. Roof new within last 3 years and the rubber roof in the last 9 years. Windows replaced about 9 years ago. Economical gas heat. Check out this home today!
-
2018-12-24status Pending 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Great 1771 square foot cape cod on lovely, landscaped yard. 3 bedrooms, 2 on first floor and large bedroom on 2nd floor with room to add extra bath. First floor features living room, dining room, office, foyer, kitchen, large mud/laundry room and 2 bedrooms. Wrap around deck leads down to brick paver patio. Beautiful outdoor setting with privacy fence. Large shed for all your outdoor equipment. Roof new within last 3 years and the rubber roof in the last 9 years. Windows replaced about 9 years ago. Economical gas heat. Check out this home today!
-
2018-11-30price $159,900 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Great 1771 square foot cape cod on lovely, landscaped yard. 3 bedrooms, 2 on first floor and large bedroom on 2nd floor with room to add extra bath. First floor features living room, dining room, office, foyer, kitchen, large mud/laundry room and 2 bedrooms. Wrap around deck leads down to brick paver patio. Beautiful outdoor setting with privacy fence. Large shed for all your outdoor equipment. Roof new within last 3 years and the rubber roof in the last 9 years. Windows replaced about 9 years ago. Economical gas heat. Check out this home today!
-
2018-10-22price $164,900 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Great 1771 square foot cape cod on lovely, landscaped yard. 3 bedrooms, 2 on first floor and large bedroom on 2nd floor with room to add extra bath. First floor features living room, dining room, office, foyer, kitchen, large mud/laundry room and 2 bedrooms. Wrap around deck leads down to brick paver patio. Beautiful outdoor setting with privacy fence. Large shed for all your outdoor equipment. Roof new within last 3 years and the rubber roof in the last 9 years. Windows replaced about 9 years ago. Economical gas heat. Check out this home today!
-
2018-09-28$169,900 Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Great 1771 square foot cape cod on lovely, landscaped yard. 3 bedrooms, 2 on first floor and large bedroom on 2nd floor with room to add extra bath. First floor features living room, dining room, office, foyer, kitchen, large mud/laundry room and 2 bedrooms. Wrap around deck leads down to brick paver patio. Beautiful outdoor setting with privacy fence. Large shed for all your outdoor equipment. Roof new within last 3 years and the rubber roof in the last 9 years. Windows replaced about 9 years ago. Economical gas heat. Check out this home today!
-
2007-06-20soldstatus $159,000
-
2007-06-15soldstatus $159,000 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
Complete rehab! New drywall, electric, flooring, windows, siding and roof, just to name a few of the improvements. Convenient location to amenities and highways. Good schools. One year Home Warranty included.
-
2006-09-26$159,942 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
Complete rehab! New drywall, electric, flooring, windows, siding and roof, just to name a few of the improvements. Convenient location to amenities and highways. Good schools. One year Home Warranty included.
-
2006-02-13soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,862 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,862 · $238/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,665
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$2,862
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,053
- − Management
- −$2,053
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $9,686
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,325
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Dauphin SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205400
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,792
- Composite
- 36.46/100
- National rank
- #4664
- State rank
- #305 of 539 in PA
Livability — Paxtonia
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #233
- US rank
- #2016
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paxtonia, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,502
- Household income
- $103,876
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 412.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 8% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · India, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -207.10%
- Current HPI
- 244.5366
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.64%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $162,900 Public Records
- 2019-01-30 Sold (MLS) $162,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-12-24 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-11-30 Price Changed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-10-22 Price Changed $164,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-09-28 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $159,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-15 Sold (MLS) $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-09-26 Listed $159,942 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $2,862 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…