824 St. Anne · New Madrid, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$107,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great affordable, starter home in an established neighborhood. 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. 1 car carport with attached storage.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1976
- Listed 26 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Seller may consider concessions; Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with space for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (single phase)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Front and back yard; Paved city street frontage
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Street lights in the community
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $25 ($304/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (19.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $86k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#309 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- New Madrid County R-I (rural): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #291 of 324 in MO (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: New Madrid Elementary (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 280 students, 100% FRL); Central High School (math 2% / reading 32%, grade F, #483 of 521 statewide, top 93%, 400 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 63% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in New Madrid County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($743 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- New Madrid County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.01%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $60,121
- Equity at exit
- $96,845
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.84×
- Total profit
- $175,696
- Equity at exit
- $208,849
Cash invested: $30,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63869
- Home prices YoY
- 22.5%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $862 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$564
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $564/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$181
- Net cashflow
- $25
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,875
- Closing costs
- $3,225
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $107,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $107,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $107,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $107,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $107,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $107,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $107,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $107,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $107,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $107,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $107,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $107,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $107,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $107,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-23price $107,500
-
2026-05-22$10,750,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $564 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,043 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$478/yr (+$40/mo · 84.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,343
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,022
- − Property taxes
- −$564
- − Insurance
- −$538
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$827
- − Management
- −$827
- − Depreciation
- −$3,127
- Taxable loss
- −$1,563
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$375
- After-tax cash flow
- $679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Madrid County R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2900004
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,286
- Composite
- 20.64/100
- National rank
- #8543
- State rank
- #291 of 324 in MO
Livability — New Madrid
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #14083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Madrid, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,184
Population outlook (New Madrid County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,712 people
- By 2030
- 15,845 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 14,152 · -15.3%
- By 2050
- 12,604 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 9,478 · -43.3%
- By 2100
- 7,157 · -57.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 17% Two or more races 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New Madrid
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.5) · D 22.9% · R 76.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -53.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.5 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+20.3 2008: R+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 50.78%
- Current HPI
- 276.21
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-99.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $107,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-22 Listed $10,750,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $564 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…