5152 Conroy Road Rd #1317 · Orlando, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Two-bedroom, one-bathroom unit located within a gated community offering amenities such as a swimming pool, fitness center, clubhouse, picnic areas with BBQ facilities, and sports courts; the property features a functional layout with well-lit living spaces and is situated in a high-demand area due to its excellent location, with convenient access to shopping, dining, major roadways, and entertainment, making it an ideal option as a first home or first investment in the United States in a desirable rental market.
Key facts
- 6,711 sq ft lot
- Built 1988
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.1% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Millennia Elementary (math 31% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,773 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 833 students, 47% FRL); Southwest Middle (math 49% / reading 53%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,385 students, 40% FRL); Dr. Phillips High (math 21% / reading 49%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 3,202 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 344 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 58d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.81%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,121
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -17.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5144 Conroy Rd #13 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,028 (+12%) | 0mo | $149,000 | $145 | 74 |
| 5100 Conroy Rd #26 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 711 (-23%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $176 | 60 |
| 5314 Indian Creek Dr Unit D08 | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,123 (+22%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 3707 Conroy Rd #1729 | 1.41mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-8%) | 1mo | $158,000 | $186 | 47 |
| 5483 Vineland Rd #10301 | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,004 (+9%) | 1mo | $177,000 | $176 | 45 |
| 5247 Vineland Rd #202 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,048 (+14%) | 0mo | $173,000 | $165 | 42 |
| 3313 S Kirkman Rd #217 | 1.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,105 (+20%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $115 | 35 |
| 3751 Conroy Rd #2315 | 1.31mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 782 (-15%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $166 | 35 |
| 5820 Peregrine Ave Unit C04-1 | 1.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,139 (+24%) | 1mo | $134,000 | $118 | 35 |
| 4336 S Kirkman Rd #705 | 1.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 729 (-21%) | 1mo | $137,000 | $188 | 34 |
| 4332 S Kirkman Rd #1004 | 1.03mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 779 (-15%) | 1mo | $123,430 | $158 | 34 |
| 5971 Windhover Dr Unit 7E | 1.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,146 (+25%) | 1mo | $154,000 | $134 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-15,715
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-13,882
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active
- Median asking
- $1,675 ($2/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 1 d
- This list price
- 100% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +12050.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32811
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 344
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,569 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $307 | -5% $255 | +0% $203 | +5% $151 | +10% $100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $79 | -5% $141 | +0% $203 | +5% $265 | +10% $327 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $279 | -0.5pp $241 | base $203 | +0.5pp $164 | +1.0pp $125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5160 Conroy Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,400 | $1.97 | 30d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 5160 Conroy Rd #1422 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,680 | $1.70 | 119d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 5160 Conroy Rd #11 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,700 | $1.72 | 30d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 5156 Conroy Rd #16 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 30d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 5152 Conroy Rd Unit 1316 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 597 | $1,200 | $2.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 5164 Conroy Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,275 | $1.79 | 119d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 5164 Conroy Rd #31 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,545 | $1.56 | 7d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 5156 Conroy Rd #1116 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,550 | $1.51 | 119d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 5124 Conroy Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 849 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 7d | 2 | 0.05mi |
| 5124 Conroy Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 849 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 67d | 2 | 0.05mi |
| 5124 Conroy Rd #17 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,700 | $1.72 | 57d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 5128 Conroy Rd Unit 713HOA Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 597 | $1,250 | $2.09 | 87d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 5128 Conroy Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 597 | $1,250 | $2.09 | 84d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 5128 Conroy Rd Unit 717 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 5168 Conroy Rd #28 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,600 | $1.74 | 40d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5124 Conroy Rd #12 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,700 | $1.72 | 88d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5148 Conroy Rd Unit 1216 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,250 | $1.76 | 77d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5148 Conroy Rd Unit 12-28 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,550 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5144 Conroy Rd Unit 10-33 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,600 | $1.56 | 119d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5168 Conroy Rd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,575 | $1.71 | 59d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5168 Conroy Rd Unit 21 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,525 | $1.66 | 119d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5168 Conroy Rd #1636 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,650 | $1.80 | 7d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5144 Conroy Rd #35 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,690 | $1.64 | 79d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5140 Conroy Rd Unit 817 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,700 | $1.72 | 2d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5120 Conroy Rd Unit 516 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,250 | $1.76 | 63d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5120 Conroy Rd #28 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,750 | $1.77 | 119d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5120 Conroy Rd #511 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,595 | $1.61 | 111d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5120 Conroy Rd #511 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,595 | $1.61 | 119d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5116 Conroy Rd #15 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,300 | $1.83 | 27d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5112 Conroy Rd Unit 311 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 119d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5112 Conroy Rd #14 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,350 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5112 Conroy Rd #315 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,250 | $1.76 | 107d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5108 Conroy Rd #1718 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 919 | $1,650 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4771 Walden Cir Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,529 | $1.92 | 0d | 10 | 0.20mi |
| 4860 Cypress Woods Dr Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 830 | $1,719 | $2.07 | 3d | 8 | 0.22mi |
| 4807 Brighton Ter Unit F-202 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 7d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4000 Middlebrook Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1045 | $1,899 | $1.82 | 0d | 10 | 0.23mi |
| 4817 Normandy Pl #105 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 30d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4807 Normandy Pl #202 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 77d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4852 Marks Ter #52 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 934 | $1,800 | $1.93 | 40d | 1 | 0.24mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-30days on market $150,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $150,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $150,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $150,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $150,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $150,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $150,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-04-22status Active
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2026-02-11status Pending
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2026-01-13$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,507
- − Management
- −$1,507
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $54
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$13
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
A well-maintained, move-in-ready townhouse with good condition and potential for cosmetic upgrades to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both trim landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Orlando
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orlando, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,618,226 people
- City population
- 964,969
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,475
- Household income
- $54,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 17% White 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 7% Estonian 4% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.37%
- Current HPI
- 284.9191
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.15%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-29 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Listed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…