78 Periwinkle Dr · Olmsted Falls, OH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the ease and charm of one-story living in the highly sought-after 55+ community of Columbia Park in Olmsted Township, where this beautifully maintained 1999 Schult M29 manufactured home is ready to welcome you into the next exciting chapter of your life! Offering 1,652 square feet of bright, comfortable living space, this gem features 2 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a flexible bonus room you can shape into the perfect home office, creative studio, or relaxing sitting room, all designed with your lifestyle in mind. The primary suite is a true retreat, complete with a generous walk-in closet, while an elegant chandelier in the dining area sets the tone for warm gatherings
Key facts
- Private deck
- One story living
- Sun filled skylights
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
- Financial info: Land lease present (monthly amount disclosed in records)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (Columbia Park); Association fees billed annually and monthly; Association maintains grounds; Clubhouse; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Carport (1 space); Driveway parking
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Block and concrete perimeter foundation; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Patio; Storage shed(s); Updated/remodeled condition
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in closets; Blinds and window treatments; Electric fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 4.2% in Olmsted Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#343 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Olmsted Falls City (suburban): math 70% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #134 of 656 in OH (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $120k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.99%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,116
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- 26.16%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $22,738
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $74,313
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44138
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,971 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $661
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $744 | -5% $703 | +0% $661 | +5% $620 | +10% $578 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $506 | -5% $583 | +0% $661 | +5% $739 | +10% $817 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $722 | -0.5pp $692 | base $661 | +0.5pp $630 | +1.0pp $598 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26875 Bagley Rd Olmsted Twp, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $1,199 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8450 Daylily DR Olmsted Falls, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1541 | $2,410 | $1.56 | 2d | 10 | 1.19mi |
| 27080 Oakwood Dr Olmsted Falls, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,780 | $1.83 | 2d | 39 | 1.27mi |
| 7447 Stearns Rd Olmsted Twp, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,429 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5785 Fitch Rd North Olmsted, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$120,000 Active 1596-char remark
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-04-02$115,000 Active
-
2022-06-10soldstatus $65,000 Closed
-
2022-05-18status Pending
-
2022-04-28$74,900 Active
-
2017-09-26soldstatus $56,000 Sold
-
2017-09-19status Pending
-
2017-08-30historical Contingent
-
2017-08-29price $59,900
-
2017-06-27$64,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,650
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$1,398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,892
- − Management
- −$1,892
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $6,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,549
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,385/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olmsted Falls City
- NCES district ID
- 3904657
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,307
- Composite
- 61.12/100
- National rank
- #787
- State rank
- #134 of 656 in OH
Livability — Olmsted Falls
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #5595
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cuyahoga · 1,045,444 people
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,129
- Household income
- $93,877
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.6
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.76%
- Current HPI
- 201.9716
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+84.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2026-06-08 Listed $120,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-14 Listed $120,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-02 Listed $115,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-06-10 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-05-18 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2022-04-28 Listed $74,900 MLSNOW
- 2017-09-26 Sold (MLS) $56,000 MLSNOW
- 2017-09-19 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2017-08-30 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2017-08-29 Price Changed $59,900 MLSNOW
- 2017-06-27 Listed $64,900 MLSNOW
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…