9166 Devonshire Rd · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This classic 1929 two-story brick home boasts timeless curb appeal with its rich dark brick exterior, white trim accents, and covered front porch - a true example of Detroit's East English Village character and craftsmanship. property is rented 1350 Monthly
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Two story brick home
- 3,920 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the MORANGS THREE MILE DRIVE ANNEX SUB subdivision; Directions: at the corner of Devonshire Rd and Courville St in the East English Village neighborhood
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry; Brick exterior
- Construction: Brick construction; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (35 x 117.5)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $119k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.49%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,910
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9155 Grayton St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,554 (-2%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $109 | 67 |
| 5934 Haverhill St | 0.19mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,761 (+12%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $85 | 60 |
| 5236 Bedford St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,670 (+6%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $96 | 58 |
| 10346 Lakepointe St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,682 (+7%) | 2mo | $77,500 | $46 | 58 |
| 5791 Bedford St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,344 (-15%) | 1mo | $178,000 | $132 | 57 |
| 5574 Buckingham Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,430 (-9%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $73 | 57 |
| 5291 Devonshire Rd | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,650 (+5%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $148 | 56 |
| 9722 Wayburn St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,464 (-7%) | 2mo | $84,900 | $58 | 53 |
| 5200 Bedford St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,718 (+9%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $93 | 52 |
| 5541 Grayton St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,730 (+10%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $116 | 49 |
| 11323 Lansdowne St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,397 (-12%) | 2mo | $133,282 | $95 | 40 |
| 5050 Somerset Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,356 (-14%) | 1mo | $84,900 | $63 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-12,723
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-10,893
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48224
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 484
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,469 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$334 /mo · $4,013/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $152
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $220 | -5% $186 | +0% $152 | +5% $119 | +10% $85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $36 | -5% $94 | +0% $152 | +5% $210 | +10% $268 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $212 | -0.5pp $183 | base $152 | +0.5pp $122 | +1.0pp $90 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 9635 Everts St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1195 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,575 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5574 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,450 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,400 | $0.84 | 18d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 9142 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 9171 Bishop St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $1,300 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 10030 Bishop St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $1,200 | $0.70 | 18d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $900 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 9313 Harvard Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1329 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,473 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 18d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10370 Britain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 6225 Oldtown St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1330 | $1,199 | $0.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,325 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,500 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,299 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 10870 Marne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 18d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 13395 Maiden St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5944 Marseilles St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1910 | $1,300 | $0.68 | 18d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,300 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $970 | $0.85 | 18d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 257-char remark
-
2026-06-10$119,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,013 · $334/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,013 · $334/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,627
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$4,013
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,410
- − Management
- −$1,410
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $71
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$17
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,811/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,668
- Household income
- $44,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2515.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.38%
- Current HPI
- 161.886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+83.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-09 Listed $119,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,013 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…