11055 SE Federal Hwy #86 · Hobe Sound, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1.5 MILES TO HOBE SOUND BEACH. BOAT/RV STORAGE AVAILABLE. 2 BEDRM/2 BATH SPACIOUS 1998 MANF HOME. WIDE OPEN PLAN!! WOODBRIDGE 55+ COMM. WHICH DOES ALLOW 35 Y.O. IF LIVING W 55+ SHARE HOLDER. BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W SOLID SURFACE COUNTERS, WHITE CABINETS & PANTRY W PULL OUT SHELVES. COVERED PORCH OVERLOOKING PRIVATE TROPICAL YARD - NO HOMES ON RT OR BEHIND HOME. LR W EXTRA STORAGE LEADS OUT TO 20X10 GLASSED IN & SCREENED FL RM - OFF THAT ANOTHER 10X10 SCREEN RM. HUGE MASTER W DOUBLE DOOR ENTRY & ENSUITE BATH w DUAL SINKS, SOAKING TUB & STEP IN SHOWER. GOOD SIZE 2ND BEDRM & 2ND FULL BATH. NEW A/C 2022, METAL ROOF JUST RE-SEALED! SOARING CEILINGS - WINDOWS GALORE! NEW EXTERIOR DOORS AND PAINT. ACTIVE CLUBHOUSE, HEATED POOL, SHUFFLEBOARD & ACTIVITIES. $250/MO FEE INCLUDES WATER/SEWER/CABLE
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Active clubhouse
- Boat rv storage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.5% in Hobe Sound — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#497 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 279 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,690/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 317% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $200k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.11%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,000
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- 18.99%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $9,363
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $53,376
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33455
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 279
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,690 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $462/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$565
- Net cashflow
- $705
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $818 | -5% $762 | +0% $705 | +5% $648 | +10% $592 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $492 | -5% $599 | +0% $705 | +5% $811 | +10% $917 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $806 | -0.5pp $756 | base $705 | +0.5pp $653 | +1.0pp $600 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8968 SE Pine Cone Ln Hobe Sound, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,700 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8574 SE Seagrape Way Hobe Sound, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $3,600 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7916 SE Sugar Pines Way Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,700 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 8227 SE Croft Cir Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1177 | $2,100 | $1.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 10230 SE Federal Hwy Lot A Hobe Sound, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 8933 SE Ceres St Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,400 | $2.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8042 SE Villa Cir Unit 8042 Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8005 SE Villa Cir Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,850 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 9627 Crest Ct Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 9650 SE Eagle Ave Hobe Sound, FL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1241 | $2,330 | $1.88 | 24d | 5 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewercablepool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $199,900 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
1.5 MILES TO HOBE SOUND BEACH. BOAT/RV STORAGE AVAILABLE. 2 BEDRM/2 BATH SPACIOUS 1998 MANF HOME. WIDE OPEN PLAN!! WOODBRIDGE 55+ COMM. WHICH DOES ALLOW 35 Y.O. IF LIVING W 55+ SHARE HOLDER. BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W SOLID SURFACE COUNTERS, WHITE CABINETS & PANTRY W PULL OUT SHELVES. COVERED PORCH OVERLOOKING PRIVATE TROPICAL YARD - NO HOMES ON RT OR BEHIND HOME. LR W EXTRA STORAGE LEADS OUT TO 20X10 GLASSED IN & SCREENED FL RM - OFF THAT ANOTHER 10X10 SCREEN RM. HUGE MASTER W DOUBLE DOOR ENTRY & ENSUITE BATH w DUAL SINKS, SOAKING TUB & STEP IN SHOWER. GOOD SIZE 2ND BEDRM & 2ND FULL BATH. NEW A/C 2022, METAL ROOF JUST RE-SEALED! SOARING CEILINGS - WINDOWS GALORE! NEW EXTERIOR DOORS AND PAINT. ACTIVE CLUBHOUSE, HEATED POOL, SHUFFLEBOARD & ACTIVITIES. $250/MO FEE INCLUDES WATER/SEWER/CABLE
-
2026-03-13price $212,500 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
1.5 MILES TO HOBE SOUND BEACH. BOAT/RV STORAGE AVAILABLE. 2 BEDRM/2 BATH SPACIOUS 1998 MANF HOME. WIDE OPEN PLAN!! WOODBRIDGE 55+ COMM. WHICH DOES ALLOW 35 Y.O. IF LIVING W 55+ SHARE HOLDER. BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W SOLID SURFACE COUNTERS, WHITE CABINETS & PANTRY W PULL OUT SHELVES. COVERED PORCH OVERLOOKING PRIVATE TROPICAL YARD - NO HOMES ON RT OR BEHIND HOME. LR W EXTRA STORAGE LEADS OUT TO 20X10 GLASSED IN & SCREENED FL RM - OFF THAT ANOTHER 10X10 SCREEN RM. HUGE MASTER W DOUBLE DOOR ENTRY & ENSUITE BATH w DUAL SINKS, SOAKING TUB & STEP IN SHOWER. GOOD SIZE 2ND BEDRM & 2ND FULL BATH. NEW A/C 2022, METAL ROOF JUST RE-SEALED! SOARING CEILINGS - WINDOWS GALORE! NEW EXTERIOR DOORS AND PAINT. ACTIVE CLUBHOUSE, HEATED POOL, SHUFFLEBOARD & ACTIVITIES. $250/MO FEE INCLUDES WATER/SEWER/CABLE
-
2025-11-24$215,000 Active 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
1.5 MILES TO HOBE SOUND BEACH. BOAT/RV STORAGE AVAILABLE. 2 BEDRM/2 BATH SPACIOUS 1998 MANF HOME. WIDE OPEN PLAN!! WOODBRIDGE 55+ COMM. WHICH DOES ALLOW 35 Y.O. IF LIVING W 55+ SHARE HOLDER. BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W SOLID SURFACE COUNTERS, WHITE CABINETS & PANTRY W PULL OUT SHELVES. COVERED PORCH OVERLOOKING PRIVATE TROPICAL YARD - NO HOMES ON RT OR BEHIND HOME. LR W EXTRA STORAGE LEADS OUT TO 20X10 GLASSED IN & SCREENED FL RM - OFF THAT ANOTHER 10X10 SCREEN RM. HUGE MASTER W DOUBLE DOOR ENTRY & ENSUITE BATH w DUAL SINKS, SOAKING TUB & STEP IN SHOWER. GOOD SIZE 2ND BEDRM & 2ND FULL BATH. NEW A/C 2022, METAL ROOF JUST RE-SEALED! SOARING CEILINGS - WINDOWS GALORE! NEW EXTERIOR DOORS AND PAINT. ACTIVE CLUBHOUSE, HEATED POOL, SHUFFLEBOARD & ACTIVITIES. $250/MO FEE INCLUDES WATER/SEWER/CABLE
-
2025-04-16historical
-
2025-04-11price $197,000
-
2025-03-09price $199,000
-
2025-03-02price $185,000
-
2025-02-06price $199,000
-
2024-12-08historical
-
2024-12-08$209,900 Active
-
2024-11-07historical
-
2024-11-07$215,000 Active
-
2024-08-28price $215,000
-
2024-07-10price $219,900
-
2024-06-26price $238,000
-
2024-06-13price $245,000
-
2024-05-07$249,000 Active
-
2024-05-06historical
-
2018-07-13soldstatus $65,000 Closed
-
2018-06-19historical Contingent
-
2018-05-06$90,000 Active
-
2014-09-30historical
-
2010-12-13$65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $462 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,659 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,197/yr (+$100/mo · 259.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$462
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,582
- − Management
- −$2,582
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $5,641
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,354
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Hobe Sound
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #497
- US rank
- #8763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hobe Sound, FL
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 20,018
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,018
- Household income
- $70,389
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 317.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.05%
- Current HPI
- 356.7273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.80%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+207.5% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $199,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $212,500 Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-24 Listed $215,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-04-16 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $197,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-03-09 Price Changed $199,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-03-02 Price Changed $185,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-02-06 Price Changed $199,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-12-08 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-12-08 Listed $209,900 Beaches MLS
- 2024-11-07 Listed $215,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-11-07 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-08-28 Price Changed $215,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-07-10 Price Changed $219,900 Beaches MLS
- 2024-06-26 Price Changed $238,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-06-13 Price Changed $245,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-05-07 Listed $249,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-05-06 Coming Soon — Beaches MLS
- 2018-07-13 Sold (MLS) $65,000 Beaches MLS
- 2018-06-19 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2018-05-06 Listed $90,000 Beaches MLS
- 2014-09-30 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2010-12-13 Listed $65,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $462 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…