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528 Belle Vis
C+ Composite 62.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,000

528 Belle Vis · Bellevue, MI 49021
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · Manufactured · 210 Days on market
Built 2025 Fair condition $550/mo HOA · 47% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

nNestled in the heart of Eaton County, Riverwood in Bellevue offers the perfect balance of peaceful living and convenient access to nearby cities. Bellevue is known for its warm, small-town atmosphere, friendly neighbors, and scenic surroundings. Residents enjoy easy access to local parks, the Battle Creek River, and outdoor recreation areas, making it a wonderful place for families and nature lovers alike. Riverwood combines the comfort of modern living with the charm of Bellevue's small-town lifestyle. It's more than a place to live-it's a place to belong. * * * * * Land is leased, not owned. Monthly Lot rent $550

Key facts

  • Local parks
  • Battle creek river
  • Built 2025

Tags

LOCAL PARKSBATTLE CREEK RIVEROUTDOOR RECREATION AREAS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $39k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.3% in Bellevue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#355 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bellevue Community Schools (rural): math 14% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #445 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 98 units permitted in Eaton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Eaton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 47% of rent.
Recommended offer $34,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.97%
Cap rate
9.26%
Cash-on-cash
10.58%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$168
Equity at exit
$5,815
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$9,486
Equity at exit
$3,372

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49021

Home prices YoY
-10.1%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,159 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax est. 1.5%
$49 /mo · $585/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$550
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,037
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$550 · $6,600/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $39,000 Active 210 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,000 Active 209 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,000 Active 208 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,000 Active 207 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,000 Active 206 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,000 Active 204 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,000 Active 203 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,000 Active 201 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 200 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 199 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,000 Active 198 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,000 Active 195 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,000 Active 194 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,000 Active 193 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,000 Active 192 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,000 Active 191 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,000 Active 190 DOM
  18. 2025-11-22
    listed $39,000 Active 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    nNestled in the heart of Eaton County, Riverwood in Bellevue offers the perfect balance of peaceful living and convenient access to nearby cities. Bellevue is known for its warm, small-town atmosphere, friendly neighbors, and scenic surroundings. Residents enjoy easy access to local parks, the Battle Creek River, and outdoor recreation areas, making it a wonderful place for families and nature lovers alike. Riverwood combines the comfort of modern living with the charm of Bellevue's small-town lifestyle. It's more than a place to live-it's a place to belong. * * * * * Land is leased, not owned. Monthly Lot rent $550

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,911
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$585
− Insurance
−$195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,113
− Management
−$1,113
− HOA
−$6,600
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$986
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$237
After-tax cash flow
$919/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in fair condition with some cosmetic repairs needed. Painting the exterior and replacing the carpet would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration
  • Minor Landscaping — Basic landscaping

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and rental appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Some discoloration Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Basic landscaping Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and rental appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bellevue Community Schools
NCES district ID
2604650
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,826
Composite
19.59/100
National rank
#8757
State rank
#445 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bellevue

Score
69/100
State rank
#355
US rank
#9043

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellevue, MI
Population (ZIP)
6,467

Population outlook (Eaton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,811 people
By 2030
110,598 · -0.2%
By 2040
108,304 · -2.3%
By 2050
104,961 · -5.3%
By 2075
97,197 · -12.3%
By 2100
85,150 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Eaton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 50.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: R+0.8 2016: R+5.5 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.20%
Current HPI
267.6519
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-11-22 Listed $39,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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