2029 Wellington Ln · Slidell, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$168,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
Key facts
- Entertaining space
- Large yard
- Sunroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $168k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.9% in Slidell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: W.L. Abney Elementary School (math 31% / reading 38%, grade F, #284 of 646 statewide, top 46%, 1,094 students, 70% FRL); St. Tammany Junior High School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #114 of 218 statewide, top 53%, 793 students, 68% FRL); Salmen High School (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #179 of 265 statewide, top 68%, 1,216 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 40% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 49% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Tammany Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 594 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.37%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,068
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2029 Wellington Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+2%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $115 | 95 |
| 323 Almond Creek Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (+1%) | 4mo | $89,980 | $68 | 71 |
| 105 Foxcroft Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (+8%) | 3mo | $179,000 | $125 | 64 |
| 300 Somerset Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,390 (+6%) | 11mo | $169,000 | $122 | 62 |
| 307 Almond Creek Rd | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,351 (+2%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $152 | 60 |
| 130 Trafalgar Sq | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,136 (-14%) | 1mo | $166,000 | $146 | 58 |
| 1811 Admiral Nelson Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,441 (+9%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $163 | 58 |
| 304 Almond Creek Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,194 (-9%) | 10mo | $115,500 | $97 | 57 |
| 134 Foxbriar Ct | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,335 (+1%) | 7mo | $188,500 | $141 | 53 |
| 1714 Kings Row | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+14%) | 10mo | $189,000 | $126 | 50 |
| 1409 Kings Row | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,510 (+15%) | 2mo | $132,000 | $87 | 43 |
| 314 Brookhaven Ct | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,505 (+14%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $159 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-15,305
- Equity at exit
- $25,049
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-4,065
- Equity at exit
- $14,526
Cash invested: $47,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70461
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 594
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,810 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$881
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,276/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $222
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $317 | -5% $270 | +0% $222 | +5% $175 | +10% $127 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $79 | -5% $151 | +0% $222 | +5% $294 | +10% $365 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $307 | -0.5pp $265 | base $222 | +0.5pp $179 | +1.0pp $135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,000
- Closing costs
- $5,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1805 Brookter St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2012 Dylan Dr Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,950 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1918 Hempstead Dr Unit NA Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $1,750 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1000 Clairise Ct Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1402 Shakespeare Ct Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,725 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 310 Foxcroft Dr Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $1,950 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 128 Foxbriar Ct Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 221 Bella Sera Ln Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,525 | $1.48 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 57346 Maple Ave Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $1,500 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 57389 Brookter Rd Slidell, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,200 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 57376 Beech Ave Slidell, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 19d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 57376 Beech Ave Slidell, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1004 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 577 Panther Dr Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $1,850 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1640 Town Center Pkwy Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 959 | $1,895 | $1.98 | 4d | 46 | 1.10mi |
| 1303 Town Center Pkwy Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,825 | $1.84 | 4d | 31 | 1.35mi |
| 200 Long St Slidell, LA | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,373 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2026-04-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2026-03-26status Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2026-03-26status Active
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2026-03-26historical
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2026-02-02price $168,000 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2026-02-02price $168,000
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2025-11-23price $171,000 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2025-11-23price $171,000
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2025-11-03price $176,000 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2025-11-03price $176,000
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2025-10-17status Active
-
2025-10-16historical
-
2025-10-15$182,000 Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2025-10-15$182,000 Active
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Great move in ready property! 3 bed 2 bath property with a large yard. Property has a large 3rd bedroom. Lots of great features that includes stainless steel appliances, lots of entertaining space and a great sunroom. A Must See! !
-
2021-11-29soldstatus $160,155
-
2021-11-23soldstatus $160,155 Closed
-
2021-10-23status Pending
-
2021-10-19$159,000
-
2021-10-19$159,000 Active
-
2003-02-05soldstatus $79,000
-
2003-01-29soldstatus $79,000
-
2002-09-07$82,500
-
1997-04-30soldstatus $65,000
-
1997-03-24$67,000
-
1997-03-24$67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,276 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,276 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,714
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,411
- − Property taxes
- −$2,276
- − Insurance
- −$1,637
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,737
- − Management
- −$1,737
- − Depreciation
- −$4,887
- Taxable income
- $29
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,662/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Slidell
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #7673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
- City population
- 95,511
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,808
- Household income
- $89,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 328.0
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.47%
- Current HPI
- 151.3353
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+150.7% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-20 Pending — GSREIN
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $168,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $168,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-23 Price Changed $171,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-23 Price Changed $171,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $176,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $176,000 GSREIN
- 2025-10-17 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2025-10-16 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2025-10-15 Listed $182,000 GSREIN
- 2025-10-15 Listed $182,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $160,155 Public Records
- 2021-11-23 Sold (MLS) $160,155 GSREIN
- 2021-10-23 Pending — GSREIN
- 2021-10-19 Listed $159,000 GSREIN
- 2021-10-19 Listed $159,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2003-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2003-01-29 Sold (MLS) $79,000 GSREIN
- 2002-09-07 Listed $82,500 GSREIN
- 1997-04-30 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GSREIN
- 1997-03-24 Listed $67,000 GSREIN
- 1997-03-24 Listed $67,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,276 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…