1506 W Milam St · Beeville, TX 78102

$55,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,994 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1996

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Needs work sold as is. Has two living rooms, will need a new roof, has a storage room in back yard that can be turned into a separate room and has electricity to it. Has full a deck from house to back storage room.

Key facts

• Storage room
• Full deck
• Two living rooms

Tags

• TWO LIVING ROOMS
• STORAGE ROOM
• FULL DECK

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
• Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 3.4% in Beeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#354 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
• Beeville ISD (town): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #638 of 826 in TX (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Bee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bee County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $55,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.80%
• Cash-on-cash: 30.39%
• DSCR: 2.35
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 25.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.04×
• Total profit: $16,012
• Equity at exit: $8,201

10-year hold

• IRR: 32.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.00×
• Total profit: $46,274
• Equity at exit: $4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78102

• Home prices YoY: -34.5%
• Active inventory: 185
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,116 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$180 /mo · $2,161/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$234
• Net cashflow: $390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $622

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $421	-5% $406	+0% $390	+5% $374	+10% $359
Rent	-10% $302	-5% $346	+0% $390	+5% $434	+10% $478
Rate	-1.0pp $418	-0.5pp $404	base $390	+0.5pp $376	+1.0pp $361

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
908 W Youst St Beeville, TX	3.0	1.5	1400	$1,150	$0.82	22d	1	0.49mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-12
   listed $55,000 Active 214-char remark
2. 2011-10-11
   soldstatus $59,000
3. 1994-06-30
   soldstatus
4. 1989-06-06
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,161 · $180/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,161 · $180/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,389
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$2,161
• − Insurance: −$275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,071
• − Management: −$1,071
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $4,130
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$991
• After-tax cash flow: $3,689/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Beeville ISD
• NCES district ID: 4809720
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 37% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $40,319
• Composite: 25.23/100
• National rank: #7503
• State rank: #638 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beeville

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #354
• US rank: #7698

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Beeville, TX
• County: Bee County · 27,455 people
• City population: 27,455
• Metro: Beeville, TX
• Population (ZIP): 27,455
• Household income: $58,939
• Rent vs Own: 30.3% rent · 69.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 853.0

Population outlook (Bee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 35,003 people
• By 2030: 36,447 · +4.1%
• By 2040: 39,810 · +13.7%
• By 2050: 43,525 · +24.3%
• By 2075: 51,766 · +47.9%
• By 2100: 53,434 · +52.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Hispanic (62%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 29% White 27% Black 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 55%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 66% English-only · Spanish 33%

Political lean MEDSL · Bee

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -39.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+11.5 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -76.59%
• Current HPI: 145.1182
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Beeville, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2011-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
• 1994-06-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1989-06-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,161 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.