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B- Composite 66.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

1149 S Camino Del Pueblo · Bernalillo, NM 87004
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1935 0.33 ac lot Est $227k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The property is zoned C-1 and has residential, commercial, or multi-family potential. The value is in the property that is located on the main drive in Bernalillo. The house is a fixer-upper and needs a lot of work. The home is adobe with wide walls. Eager to sell this property. Use your imagination. Great potential and an excellent location. PRICE REDUCED for quick sale from $180 to $170.

Key facts

  • Zoned c-1
  • Wide walls
  • Adobe

Tags

ZONED C-1LOCATED ON THE MAIN DRIVEFIXER-UPPERADOBEWIDE WALLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family house; Living area around 1,600
  • Exterior features: Lot of approximately one-third acre

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.6% in Bernalillo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#123 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, schools F.
  • Bernalillo Public Schools (suburban): math 5% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #18 of 29 in NM (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,278 units permitted in Sandoval County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sandoval County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.20%
Cash-on-cash
10.40%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,200
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
912 Camino Del Pueblo 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,400 (-12%) 7mo $199,000 $142 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,217
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$31,882
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87004

Home prices YoY
-15.6%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$400

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
213 Calle Evangeline Bernalillo, NM 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,950 $1.34 1d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    remarks 392-char remark
  6. 2026-06-05
    listed $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,400
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,475
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,872
− Management
−$1,872
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$2,313
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$555
After-tax cash flow
$4,247/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bernalillo Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500210
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 31.00%
Median HH income
$50,974
Composite
23.63/100
National rank
#7846
State rank
#18 of 29 in NM

Livability — Bernalillo

Score
59/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#19766

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bernalillo, NM
Population (ZIP)
11,274

Population outlook (Sandoval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
155,072 people
By 2030
161,714 · +4.3%
By 2040
171,831 · +10.8%
By 2050
178,536 · +15.1%
By 2075
192,517 · +24.1%
By 2100
197,952 · +27.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 25% Two or more races 20% Native American 16%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 31% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sandoval

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.8) · D 51.8% · R 46.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 5.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+2.7 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.93%
Current HPI
199.1521
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $165,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…