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163 County House Rd
C+ Composite 60.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$299,000

163 County House Rd · Mount Royal, NJ 08061
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,094 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1910 0.53 ac lot Est $359k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Starter Home In Desirable East Greenwich. Home Is Set On 1/2 Acre Of Property. Walk Up Attic With Plenty Of Potential. House Is Being Sold Strictly As Is. House Is In Need Of Minor Cosmetics. However, The Seller Will Provide A Certificate Of Occupancy And A Termite Certification. Seller Will Spakle And Prime Walls And Remove Carpets Prior To Settlement. Please Do Not Park On Neighbors Property Across The Street!

Key facts

  • 0.53 acre lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Finished above-grade living area reported as 1,094 (assessor source)
  • Financial info: No finance or investor-specific income/expense details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Security: No security features provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (no septic); Natural gas hot water; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Detached structure; Property in very good condition; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Building not winterized; Built year reported by assessor
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 308; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: 90% efficient forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit (located in basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($917/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (8.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $275k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • East Greenwich Township School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #119 of 472 in NJ (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Samuel Mickle School (math 38% / reading 59%, grade D, #294 of 1,303 statewide, top 23%, 726 students, 6% FRL); Kingsway Regional Middle School (math 27% / reading 55%, grade F, #188 of 431 statewide, top 44%, 954 students, 11% FRL); Kingsway Regional High School (math 31% / reading 51%, grade F, #180 of 399 statewide, top 46%, 1,947 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 9% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $142k; list at $299k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $275,152 (8.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.09%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$358,832
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12 Mantua Rd 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,081 (-1%) 23mo $215,000 $199 66
20 Somers Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,250 (+14%) 20mo $410,000 $328 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$167,769
Equity at exit
$269,363
10-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
6.86×
Total profit
$490,346
Equity at exit
$580,891

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08061

Home prices YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,752 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$405 /mo · $4,857/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$578
Net cashflow
$76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,655
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $246 -5% $161 +0% $76 +5% $-8 +10% $-93
Rent -10% $-141 -5% $-32 +0% $76 +5% $185 +10% $294
Rate -1.0pp $227 -0.5pp $152 base $76 +0.5pp $-1 +1.0pp $-80

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-05-03
    listed $299,000 Active
  4. 2026-04-30
    historical $299,000
  5. 2015-06-04
    soldstatus $142,500
  6. 2004-08-13
    soldstatus $121,000
  7. 2004-08-05
    soldstatus $121,000 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Great Starter Home In Desirable East Greenwich. Home Is Set On 1/2 Acre Of Property. Walk Up Attic With Plenty Of Potential. House Is Being Sold Strictly As Is. House Is In Need Of Minor Cosmetics. However, The Seller Will Provide A Certificate Of Occupancy And A Termite Certification. Seller Will Spakle And Prime Walls And Remove Carpets Prior To Settlement. Please Do Not Park On Neighbors Property Across The Street!

  8. 2004-07-10
    historical 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Great Starter Home In Desirable East Greenwich. Home Is Set On 1/2 Acre Of Property. Walk Up Attic With Plenty Of Potential. House Is Being Sold Strictly As Is. House Is In Need Of Minor Cosmetics. However, The Seller Will Provide A Certificate Of Occupancy And A Termite Certification. Seller Will Spakle And Prime Walls And Remove Carpets Prior To Settlement. Please Do Not Park On Neighbors Property Across The Street!

  9. 2004-05-04
    listed $121,000 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Great Starter Home In Desirable East Greenwich. Home Is Set On 1/2 Acre Of Property. Walk Up Attic With Plenty Of Potential. House Is Being Sold Strictly As Is. House Is In Need Of Minor Cosmetics. However, The Seller Will Provide A Certificate Of Occupancy And A Termite Certification. Seller Will Spakle And Prime Walls And Remove Carpets Prior To Settlement. Please Do Not Park On Neighbors Property Across The Street!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,857 · $405/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,151 · $513/mo
Expected delta
+$1,294/yr (+$108/mo · 26.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,018
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$4,857
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,641
− Management
−$2,641
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$4,063
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$975
After-tax cash flow
$1,892/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Greenwich Township School District
NCES district ID
3404140
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$106,820
Composite
46.89/100
National rank
#2367
State rank
#119 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Mount Royal

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Royal, NJ
Population (ZIP)
4,411

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% English 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
8%
Languages at home
84% English-only · Arabic 8% Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.30%
Current HPI
283.4103
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+147.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $299,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $299,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $142,500 Public Records
  • 2004-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
  • 2004-08-05 Sold (MLS) $121,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-07-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-05-04 Listed $121,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,857 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…