300 W 135th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$420,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Strivers Gardens! Offered is a 1126+/- square foot corner north/west facing 2-bedroom condominium unit on the 4th floor. Unit features hardwood floors, new kitchen and bath and generous closet space. The building is 7+/- years old and features full-time doorman, elevators, large common lobby and roof terrace, complimentary on-site gym, 2x on-site laundry rooms, bike racks, on-site parking garage. Pets welcome! $784+/- monthly common charge includes doorman, porters, hot water, use of gym etc. 18+/- year tax abatement remaining! Conveniently located just a few steps from the West 135th Street (B, C) subway station at St Nicholas Ave. Where you can find St. Nicholas Park, YMCA, Cha
Key facts
- New bath
- New kitchen
- Large common lobby
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $420k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-359k ($-4.31M/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $420k).
- Recommended offer: $414k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate -1019.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,666/mo this rent would consume 141% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 4110% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $37k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$59k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($414k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 7710% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- -1019.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3662.66%
- DSCR
- -161.97
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.05% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -189.83×
- Total profit
- $-22,441,044
- Equity at exit
- $320,414
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -403.88×
- Total profit
- $-47,614,116
- Equity at exit
- $637,290
Cash invested: $117,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10030
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.8%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,666 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,203
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$525 /mo · $6,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$175
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$359,724
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$980
- Net cashflow
- $-358,941
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-358,650 | -5% $-358,796 | +0% $-358,941 | +5% $-359,086 | +10% $-359,231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-359,309 | -5% $-359,125 | +0% $-358,941 | +5% $-358,756 | +10% $-358,572 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-358,729 | -0.5pp $-358,834 | base $-358,941 | +0.5pp $-359,049 | +1.0pp $-359,160 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $105,000
- Closing costs
- $12,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watergymdoorman
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $420,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $420,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $420,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $420,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $420,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $420,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$420,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,527
- − Property taxes
- −$6,300
- − Insurance
- −$2,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,479
- − Management
- −$4,479
- − HOA
- −$4,316,688
- − Depreciation
- −$12,218
- Taxable loss
- −$4,313,803
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,035,313
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,271,975/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,297
- Household income
- $39,802
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4110.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 27% White 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.05%
- Current HPI
- 354.2971
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.84%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+10400.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $420,000 FSBO.com
- 2025-06-02 Rental Removed $4,150 LISTANZA
- 2025-05-03 Listed for Rent $4,150 LISTANZA
- 2025-01-16 Rental Removed $2,350 REBNY
- 2024-12-24 Rental Removed $2,350 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-12-17 Listed for Rent $2,350 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-12-14 Rental Removed $2,205 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-02 Listed for Rent $2,205 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-09-21 Listed for Rent $4,000 REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…