1215 Athena Dr · Portland, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$232,749
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This new home is conveniently laid out on a single floor for maximum comfort and convenience. At its heart stands an open-concept layout connecting a spacious family room, a multi-functional kitchen and lovely dining area. The owner's suite is situated in a private corner and comes complete with an adjoining bathroom, while the two secondary bedrooms are located near the foyer.
Key facts
- Private corner
- Adjoining bathroom
- Open-concept layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Address: 1215 Athena Dr, Portland TX 78374
- Financial info: List price $230,999
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered garage spaces (2 parking spaces total)
- Home design: Single-family home, Beckman plan; Spec inventory
- Exterior features: Living area 1269
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec home built on the Beckman plan
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $233k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-304/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (1.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (13.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#36 in TX, #1,740 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Gregory-Portland ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #314 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Andrews El (math 35% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,514 of 4,322 statewide, top 36%, 636 students, 64% FRL); Gregory-Portland Middle (math 43% / reading 39%, grade F, #613 of 1,662 statewide, top 38%, 1,124 students, 48% FRL); Gregory-Portland H S (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #859 of 1,632 statewide, top 53%, 1,464 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 344 units permitted in San Patricio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Patricio County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.47%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $263,952
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1109 Poseidon Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-1%) | 1mo | $224,999 | $179 | 97 |
| 1103 Poseidon Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-1%) | 1mo | $233,999 | $186 | 96 |
| 1119 Poseidon Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-1%) | 2mo | $239,999 | $190 | 95 |
| 1104 Demeter Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,226 (-3%) | 2mo | $258,000 | $210 | 85 |
| 1301 Hera Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-1%) | 9mo | $267,999 | $213 | 82 |
| 1305 Hera Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-1%) | 9mo | $237,199 | $188 | 82 |
| 1113 Athena Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-1%) | 10mo | $217,749 | $173 | 81 |
| 1135 Athena Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-1%) | 12mo | $264,999 | $210 | 80 |
| 1112 Athena Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-1%) | 11mo | $261,999 | $208 | 80 |
| 1119 Athena Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-1%) | 12mo | $221,385 | $176 | 80 |
| 1107 Athena Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-1%) | 11mo | $267,999 | $213 | 80 |
| 2246 Medusa Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+12%) | 10mo | $309,685 | $219 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-45,172
- Equity at exit
- $34,704
- IRR
- -22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-63,986
- Equity at exit
- $20,124
Cash invested: $65,170 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78374
- Rents YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,004 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,221
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$291 /mo · $3,491/yr
- Insurance
- −$97
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $-25
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $136 | -5% $55 | +0% $-25 | +5% $-106 | +10% $-186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-184 | -5% $-104 | +0% $-25 | +5% $54 | +10% $133 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $92 | -0.5pp $34 | base $-25 | +0.5pp $-86 | +1.0pp $-147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,187
- Closing costs
- $6,982
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1203 Athena Dr Portland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $2,400 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2012 Cottonwood Dr Portland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1619 | $2,350 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2112 Westwood Dr Portland, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1863 | $2,350 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6736 Buddy Ganem Dr Portland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,595 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1801 Atascosa Dr Portland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1594 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1601 Moore Ave Portland, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1295 | $1,899 | $1.47 | 15d | 18 | 0.98mi |
| 201 Walker Ave Portland, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1195 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1719 Austin St Portland, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1127 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 46d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1506 Briar St Portland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1803 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1461 Moore Ave Portland, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1313 | $1,750 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1404 Moore Ave Portland, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,400 | $1.82 | 15d | 10 | 1.33mi |
| 1400 Moore Ave Portland, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $1,160 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 102 N Commonsway Dr Unit C Portland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2201 Timberline Dr Unit Na Portland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 101 S Commonsway Dr Portland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 101 S Commonsway Dr Unit 103C Portland, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1028 Starlite Dr Portland, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 984 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $232,749 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $232,749 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $232,749 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $232,749 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-15price $232,749 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $231,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $231,999 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $231,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $231,999 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $231,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $231,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $231,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $231,999 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $231,999 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $231,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31price $231,999 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $231,499 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $231,499 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,048
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,038
- − Property taxes
- −$3,491
- − Insurance
- −$1,164
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,924
- − Management
- −$1,924
- − Depreciation
- −$6,771
- Taxable loss
- −$4,263
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,023
- After-tax cash flow
- $719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof, exterior walls, HVAC, and landscaping. Significant moss and algae growth on the roof and peeling paint on interior walls indicate poor condition. Landscaping and fencing are lacking, with visible dirt and debris around the property. Immediate repairs and maintenance are necessary to improve the property's value and curb appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant moss and algae growth on the roof.
- Major exterior walls — Peeling paint and visible damage on interior walls.
- Major HVAC condensers — Visible rust and debris on HVAC condensers.
- Major landscaping — Lack of landscaping and fencing, with visible dirt and debris around the property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping and fencing — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
- Both HVAC maintenance — Improves comfort and energy efficiency.
- Both paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and value.
- Both roof repair — Prevents further damage and improves property value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Significant moss and algae growth on the roof. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior walls · Peeling paint and visible damage on interior walls. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC condensers · Visible rust and debris on HVAC condensers. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Lack of landscaping and fencing, with visible dirt and debris around the property. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping and fencing — Enhances curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Improves comfort and energy efficiency. ↑
- Both paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and value. ↑
- Both roof repair — Prevents further damage and improves property value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gregory-Portland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821780
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,135
- Composite
- 36.62/100
- National rank
- #4622
- State rank
- #314 of 826 in TX
Livability — Portland
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1740
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portland, TX
- County
- San Patricio County · 31,224 people
- City population
- 20,408
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,408
- Household income
- $83,504
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 523.0
Population outlook (San Patricio County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,538 people
- By 2030
- 79,575 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 87,670 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 96,107 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 117,984 · +56.2%
- By 2100
- 130,010 · +72.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 19% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Estonian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 0%
Political lean MEDSL · San Patricio
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.4% · R 67.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.6pp · 2024: -36.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.4 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.28%
- Current HPI
- 166.5529
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.84%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…