1631 Cunningham Dr · Helena, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 44.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits on this 1.67± acre property in Helena, featuring 1631 Cunningham Drive plus four adjoining parcels. The existing home is being sold as-is and is best suited for a larger-scale renovation or redevelopment project. With street access from both Cunningham Drive and Johnston Street, the property offers flexibility for redevelopment—whether you envision multiple home sites or a fresh start with a single estate-sized lot. A rare chance to own this much land in an established area just minutes from Old Town Helena, schools, and parks.
Key facts
- Street access
- 1.67 acre property
- Multiple home sites
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.1% in Helena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#39 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Shelby County (suburban): math 30% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #16 of 129 in AL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Helena Intermediate School (math 32% / reading 71%, grade C-, #110 of 627 statewide, top 18%, 945 students, 29% FRL); Helena Middle (math 17% / reading 63%, grade F, #59 of 257 statewide, top 23%, 1,035 students, 30% FRL); Helena High School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #34 of 305 statewide, top 12%, 1,418 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.19%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $329,364
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -45.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Lake Davidson Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 2,124 (-7%) | 2mo | $324,500 | $153 | 63 |
| 509 Elm St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 2,036 (-11%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $157 | 51 |
| 126 1st Ave W | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 2,118 (-7%) | 7mo | $405,000 | $191 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $8,711
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $56,145
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35080
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,118 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $710/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $596
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $697 | -5% $646 | +0% $596 | +5% $545 | +10% $494 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $428 | -5% $512 | +0% $596 | +5% $679 | +10% $763 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $686 | -0.5pp $641 | base $596 | +0.5pp $549 | +1.0pp $502 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4418 Englewood Rd Helena, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $2,099 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $179,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $234,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $234,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $234,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $234,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $234,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-03-04status Active 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Opportunity awaits on this 1.67± acre property in Helena, featuring 1631 Cunningham Drive plus four adjoining parcels. The existing home is being sold as-is and is best suited for a larger-scale renovation or redevelopment project. With street access from both Cunningham Drive and Johnston Street, the property offers flexibility for redevelopment—whether you envision multiple home sites or a fresh start with a single estate-sized lot. A rare chance to own this much land in an established area just minutes from Old Town Helena, schools, and parks.
-
2026-02-24historical Contingent 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Opportunity awaits on this 1.67± acre property in Helena, featuring 1631 Cunningham Drive plus four adjoining parcels. The existing home is being sold as-is and is best suited for a larger-scale renovation or redevelopment project. With street access from both Cunningham Drive and Johnston Street, the property offers flexibility for redevelopment—whether you envision multiple home sites or a fresh start with a single estate-sized lot. A rare chance to own this much land in an established area just minutes from Old Town Helena, schools, and parks.
-
2026-01-10price $234,000 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Opportunity awaits on this 1.67± acre property in Helena, featuring 1631 Cunningham Drive plus four adjoining parcels. The existing home is being sold as-is and is best suited for a larger-scale renovation or redevelopment project. With street access from both Cunningham Drive and Johnston Street, the property offers flexibility for redevelopment—whether you envision multiple home sites or a fresh start with a single estate-sized lot. A rare chance to own this much land in an established area just minutes from Old Town Helena, schools, and parks.
-
2025-11-17$240,000 Active 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Opportunity awaits on this 1.67± acre property in Helena, featuring 1631 Cunningham Drive plus four adjoining parcels. The existing home is being sold as-is and is best suited for a larger-scale renovation or redevelopment project. With street access from both Cunningham Drive and Johnston Street, the property offers flexibility for redevelopment—whether you envision multiple home sites or a fresh start with a single estate-sized lot. A rare chance to own this much land in an established area just minutes from Old Town Helena, schools, and parks.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $710 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $738 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$28/yr (+$2/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$710
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,033
- − Management
- −$2,033
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $4,428
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,084/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shelby County
- NCES district ID
- 0103030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,672
- Composite
- 39.29/100
- National rank
- #3995
- State rank
- #16 of 129 in AL
Livability — Helena
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #7223
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Helena, AL
- County
- Shelby County · 188,970 people
- City population
- 20,251
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,251
- Household income
- $118,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 174.0
Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 237,024 people
- By 2030
- 249,868 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 272,778 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 326,049 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 335,870 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shelby
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.03%
- Current HPI
- 209.2727
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-2.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-24 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $234,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-11-17 Listed $240,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2024): $710 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…